Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia Prediction

First League · Regular Season - 1

Post on X

Lokomotiv Sofia

Away

Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv

AI call Too close to call

46%

30%

24%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia prediction: Sportiko gives Botev Plovdiv a 46% chance of winning, Lokomotiv Sofia 24% and the draw 30%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Home to Score 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%

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Timeline

⇄ 5'

▮ 43'

Yellow Card

HT 0–0

⇄ 46'

⚽ 0–1 49'

53' ⇄

⇄ 67'

67' ⇄

78' ⇄

79' ⚽ 1–1

Yellow Card

84' ▮

▮ 86'

Yellow Card

⇄ 86'

▮ 89'

Yellow Card

🖵 90+5'

Goal Disallowed - offside

FT 1–1

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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Our lean

Too close to call

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Botev Plovdiv

WLDLW

Lokomotiv Sofia

DLDDL

Match summary

Botev Plovdiv faces Lokomotiv Sofia in a key First League matchup. Historically, Botev Plovdiv has a strong offensive record, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season, while Lokomotiv Sofia's defense has been solid, conceding only 1.2 goals per game. Both teams have shown resilience, with Botev winning 55% of their home matches and Lokomotiv securing 40% of their away fixtures. The outcome may hinge on Botev's ability to break through Lokomotiv's defense, making this a tactical battle worth watching.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

46%

45%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

24%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lokomotiv Sofia goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	7	4	1
1	11	14	6	2
2	9	9	4	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	2	2	1
5

↑ Botev Plovdiv goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

30%

Away Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

30%

Away Win

24%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

65% Home (No Draw) 35% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

46% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 24% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.9%	7.3%	4.3%	1.4%	0.3%
1	11.4%	14.3%	6.2%	2.0%	0.5%
2	9.3%	9.0%	4.4%	1.4%	0.3%
3	4.4%	4.3%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.6%	1.5%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Botev Plovdiv	Draw	Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Plovdiv	27.8%	4.1%	1.3%
Draw	17.1%	19.7%	9.9%
Lokomotiv Sofia	2.1%	4.2%	13.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

24%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Botev Plovdiv — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Cherno More Varna	W	1 - 0
27 Jul	A CSKA Sofia	L	3 - 2
21 Jul	H Lokomotiv Sofia	D	1 - 1
04 Jul	H Etar Veliko Tarnovo	L	1 - 2
01 Jul	H Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	W	4 - 0

Lokomotiv Sofia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
31 Jul	A Slavia Sofia	D	1 - 1
25 Jul	H Levski Sofia	L	1 - 2
21 Jul	A Botev Plovdiv	D	1 - 1
05 May	H Botev Vratsa	D	2 - 2
21 Mar	A CSKA 1948	L	3 - 2

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Ludogorets	3	3	0	0	5	1	+4	9
3	Spartak Varna	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
4	CSKA 1948	3	2	1	0	6	4	+2	7
5	CSKA Sofia	3	2	1	0	5	3	+2	7
6	Botev Plovdiv	3	1	1	1	4	4	0	4
7	Arda Kardzhali	3	1	1	1	3	3	0	4
8	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	4	1	0	3	2	5	-3	3
9	Lokomotiv Sofia	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2
10	Slavia Sofia	3	0	2	1	1	2	-1	2
11	Botev Vratsa	3	0	1	2	3	5	-2	1
12	Septemvri Sofia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1
13	Cherno More Varna	3	0	1	2	1	5	-4	1
14	Dunav Ruse	3	0	0	3	2	6	-4	0

Botev Plovdiv

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Stanislav Genchev

29 Naumov

27 Hein

4 Soldo

20 Awany

41 Vidolov

10 Chandarov

14 López

90 Kalu

19 Tonev

88 Oluebube

9 Okoh

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
29	Daniel Naumov	G
41	Veliyan Vidolov	M
20	Timothy Awany	D
4	Nikola Soldo	D
27	Bryan-Anthony Chibuike Hein	D
14	Carlos Algarra López	M
10	Asen Chandarov	M
88	Williams Chimezie Oluebube	F
19	Dimitar Tonev	M
90	Samuel Kalu	M
9	Chidera Micheal Okoh	F

Substitutes

17	Georgi Milanov	M
45	Edson Silva	M
44	Carlos Meotti	M
30	Franklin Mascote	F
1	Hristiyan Slavkov	G
82	Vladimir Mendes	D
15	Bogdan Kostov	D
6	Ivaylo Videv	D
87	Simeon Petrov	D
77	Lucas Araujo	M
7	Nikola Iliev	M

Lokomotiv Sofia

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Lyuboslav Penev

99 Velichkov

14 Lyaskov

91 Bidounga

44 Katsarov

22 Daskalov

31 Stanoev

5 Dost

17 Papazov

20 Kostadinov

7 Delev

10 Minchev

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	Martin Velichkov	G
22	Reyan Daskalov	D
44	Bozhidar Katsarov	D
91	Ryan Bidounga	D
14	Angel Lyaskov	D
5	Erol Dost	M
31	Krasimir Stanoev	M
7	Spas Delev	M
20	Dimitar Kostadinov	M
17	Mark Emilio Papazov	M
10	Georgi Minchev	F

Substitutes

3	Kaloyan Kostov	D
71	Nikolas Penev	M
26	Krasimir Miloshev	M
21	Kristian Chachev	M
11	Adil Taoui	M
24	Aleksandar Lyubenov	G
19	Mitko Mitkov	D
45	Gerov Emil	F
77	Caue Caruzo Alves	F