Keflavik vs IA Akranes Prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Regular Season - 15

Post on X

IA Akranes

Away

AI call Too close to call

45%

32%

24%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Keflavik vs IA Akranes prediction: Sportiko gives Keflavik a 45% chance of winning, IA Akranes 24% and the draw 32%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Home to Score 73%

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Timeline

⇄ 28'

34' ⚽ 1–0

36' ⚽ 2–0

HT 2–0

Penalty

52' ⚽ 3–0

54' ⚽ 4–0

Yellow Card

56' ▮

Yellow Card

56' ▮

⚽ 4–1 57'

Penalty

⇄ 61'

▮ 68'

Yellow Card

76' ⇄

⇄ 77'

83' ⇄

▮ 86'

Yellow Card

86' ⚽ 5–1

87' ⇄

⚽ 5–2 90+2'

FT 5–2

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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Our lean

Too close to call

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Keflavik

DLLLW

IA Akranes

WLWDD

Match summary

In the upcoming Úrvalsdeild clash, Keflavik will face IA Akranes. Both teams have shown varying strengths this season, with Keflavik currently sitting mid-table while IA Akranes struggles near the bottom. Key players to watch include Keflavik's leading scorer, who has netted five goals in the last five matches, and Akranes' goalkeeper, who has recorded a high number of saves despite the team's defensive vulnerabilities. The match could hinge on Keflavik's ability to capitalize on set-pieces, as they have been effective in this area, while Akranes must tighten their defense to avoid conceding early. Overall, expect a competitive encounter with both teams seeking critical points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

45%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

24%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

IA Akranes goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	13	8	4	1
1	13	15	6	2
2	10	9	4	1
3	4	4	2
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Keflavik goals · most likely 1–1 (14.6%)

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

32%

Away Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

32%

Away Win

24%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

66% Home (No Draw) 34% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 24% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.7%	8.1%	4.4%	1.3%	0.3%
1	12.8%	14.6%	5.8%	1.7%	0.4%
2	9.6%	8.5%	3.8%	1.1%	0.3%
3	4.2%	3.8%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
4	1.4%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Keflavik	Draw	IA Akranes
Keflavik	26.9%	4.0%	1.2%
Draw	17.4%	21.4%	10.0%
IA Akranes	1.9%	4.1%	13.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Keflavik vs IA Akranes

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Keflavik — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Fram Reykjavik	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	A Vikingur Reykjavik	L	4 - 1
05 Sep	H Valur Reykjavik	L	1 - 2
30 Aug	A FH hafnarfjordur	L	2 - 1
23 Aug	H IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W	1 - 0

IA Akranes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Breidablik	W	4 - 1
13 Sep	A KR Reykjavik	L	5 - 1
06 Sep	H KR Reykjavik	W	3 - 1
30 Aug	A Valur Reykjavik	D	2 - 2
23 Aug	H FH hafnarfjordur	D	1 - 1

Úrvalsdeild Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vikingur Reykjavik	22	16	5	1	67	21	+46	53
2	Fram Reykjavik	22	13	6	3	56	42	+14	45
3	KR Reykjavik	22	13	5	4	74	49	+25	44
4	Breidablik	22	8	6	8	43	41	+2	30
5	IA Akranes	22	8	6	8	39	41	-2	30
6	Keflavik	22	8	4	10	33	38	-5	28
7	Stjarnan	22	8	4	10	42	50	-8	28
8	Valur Reykjavik	22	8	3	11	39	45	-6	27
9	FH hafnarfjordur	22	4	9	9	27	39	-12	21
10	Thor Akureyri	22	6	3	13	22	50	-28	21
11	KA Akureyri	22	5	5	12	35	48	-13	20
12	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	22	4	6	12	32	45	-13	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.