Inter Turku vs Gnistan Prediction

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 17

Post on X

Gnistan

Away

AI call Difficult Inter Turku win or draw

51%

26%

22%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Inter Turku vs Gnistan prediction: Sportiko gives Inter Turku a 51% chance of winning, Gnistan 22% and the draw 26%. Last updated 26 Jul 2026, 13:56.

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Under 3.5 Goals 74%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 23'

Red Card

45' ▮

⚽ 0–2 45+2'

Penalty

HT 0–2

Janne-Pekka Laine

46' ⇄

Penalty

52' ⚽ 1–2

⇄ 57'

Seth Saarinen ⇄ Jussi Niska

61' ⇄

▮ 66'

Yellow Card

⇄ Luka Kuittinen

73' ⇄

Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué ⇄ Jasse Tuominen

73' ⇄

⇄ Vincent Ulundu

85' ⇄

⇄ 85'

⇄ 90'

FT 1–2

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Confidence Medium (51%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Inter Turku win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Inter Turku

WWLWW

Gnistan

DWDDW

Last 1 meetings Inter Turku · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Veikkausliiga clash, Inter Turku faces Gnistan. Inter Turku has shown strong form at home, with a solid record in recent matches, averaging over 1.5 goals per game. On the other hand, Gnistan struggles defensively, conceding more than 1.8 goals per match on average this season. The match could hinge on Inter's ability to exploit Gnistan's defensive weaknesses, while Gnistan will need to enhance their attacking output to compete effectively. Overall, Inter Turku is favored due to their offensive prowess and recent performances.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

51%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

22%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Gnistan goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	6	4	1
1	10	14	6	2	1
2	9	10	5	2
3	5	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Inter Turku goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

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Players in form

Inter Turku

H. Sjögrell 6 gls

J. Yli-Kokko 2 gls

Gnistan

A. Akinyemi 3 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

26%

Away Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

26%

Away Win

22%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

67% Home (No Draw) 33% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 23% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.9%	6.1%	4.0%	1.4%	0.4%
1	10.0%	13.6%	6.3%	2.2%	0.6%
2	9.2%	9.5%	5.0%	1.7%	0.5%
3	4.8%	5.0%	2.6%	0.9%	0.2%
4	1.9%	2.0%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Inter Turku	Draw	Gnistan
Inter Turku	28.0%	4.0%	1.4%
Draw	18.7%	17.9%	9.6%
Gnistan	2.7%	4.4%	13.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Inter Turku vs Gnistan

0 Inter Turku Wins

0 Draws

1 Gnistan Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 May 2026	Gnistan	2 - 0	Inter Turku

Inter Turku — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A AC Oulu	W	0 - 1
14 Sep	H VPS	W	1 - 0
09 Sep	A HJK Helsinki	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	H HJK Helsinki	W	1 - 0
31 Aug	H KuPS	W	1 - 0

Gnistan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H HJK Helsinki	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A AC Oulu	W	1 - 2
08 Sep	H KuPS	D	1 - 1
31 Aug	H Turku PS	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	A HJK Helsinki	W	2 - 3

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

Inter Turku

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Vesa-Pekka Vasara

1 Huuhtanen

24 Tauriainen

21 Kangasniemi

30 Amankwah

18 Saarinen

4 Ahiabu

14 Laine

35 Kiiskila

16 Jephta

11 Botué

23 Essomba

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Eetu Huuhtanen	G
18	Seth Saarinen	D
30	Yeboah Amankwah	D
21	Ilari Kangasniemi	D
24	Julius Tauriainen	D
35	Eeli Kiiskila	M
14	Janne-Pekka Laine	M
4	Prosper Ahiabu	M
23	Antoin Loic Essomba	F
11	Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué	F
16	Clinton Jephta	F

Substitutes

12	Eero Vuorjoki	G
22	Luka Kuittinen	D
2	Jussi Niska	D
17	Bismark Ampofo	M
19	Iiro Järvinen	M
25	Henri Salomaa	M
27	Vincent Ulundu	M
9	Jasse Tuominen	F
10	Alie Conteh	F

Gnistan

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Jussi Leppalahti

32 Juricka

4 Costa

67 Obileye

24 Gnanou

12 Arko-Mensah

15 Europaeus

31 Jouhi

27 Hannula

10 Latonen

23 Ylätupa

17 Akinyemi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
32	Matej Juricka	G
24	Rachide Gnanou	D
67	Ayo Obileye	D
4	Marcelo Costa	D
27	Otto Hannula	M
31	Adam Jouhi	M
15	Gabriel Europaeus	M
12	Edmund Arko-Mensah	D
23	Saku Ylätupa	M
10	Joakim Latonen	F
17	Adeleke Akinyemi	F

Substitutes

13	Oskar Lyberopoulos	G
40	Juhani Ojala	D
2	Benjamin Dahlström	D
25	Noah Rossi	D
14	Sergei Eremenko	M
26	Roman Eremenko	M
50	Jeff Selenge	M
11	Danny Pérez	F