FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz Prediction
FT
AI call
FC Lugano to win or draw
68%
20%
12%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz prediction: Sportiko gives FC Lugano a 68% chance of winning, FC Vaduz 12% and the draw 20%. Last updated 26 Jul 2026, 16:28.
Premium picks
Premium- Home/Draw & Over 1.5 73%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 72%
- Under 3.5 Goals 71%
- Home 2H Over 0.5 70%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
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Timeline
Antonios Papadopoulos
assist: Lars Lukas Mai
29'
⚽
1–0
Antonios Papadopoulos
Yellow Card
32'
▮
Lars Lukas Mai
assist: Renato Steffen
37'
⚽
2–0
HT 2–0
⇄
46'
Dejan Đokić
⇄ Dejan Sorgić
⇄
57'
Mischa Beeli
⇄ Nicolas Hasler
⇄
58'
Juan Cabrera
⇄ Mischa Eberhard
Renato Steffen
⇄ Dereck Moncada
60'
⇄
Ahmed Kendouci
⇄ Daniel Dos Santos
60'
⇄
⇄
66'
Julian Stark
⇄ Miloš Cocić
Yanis Cimignani
⇄ Mattia Zanotti
70'
⇄
Elias Pihlström
⇄ Kevin Behrens
70'
⇄
⚽
2–1
71'
Lutfi Dalipi
assist: Dejan Sorgić
▮
74'
Marcel Monsberger
Yellow Card
⇄
80'
Malik Sawadogo
▮
82'
Leon Schaffran
Red Card
Ezgjan Alioski
⇄ Carbone
90+3'
⇄
FT 2–1
FC Lugano
Match Stats
FC Vaduz
48%
Ball Possession
52%
2.02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
22
Total Shots
11
8
Shots on Goal
3
10
Shots off Goal
8
4
Blocked Shots
0
14
Shots insidebox
9
8
Shots outsidebox
2
9
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
1
14
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6
399
Total passes
439
323
Passes accurate
353
81%
Passes %
80%
1.04
goals_prevented
1.04
FC Lugano
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Lars Lukas Mai D | 8.9 | 95' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 43 (36%) | 3 |
| 8 Anto Grgić M | 8.0 | 95' | – | – | 2 | 63 (54%) | 2 |
| 25 Uran Bislimi M | 7.7 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 55 (49%) | 2 |
| 7 Ezgjan Alioski M | 7.5 | 93' | – | – | – | 46 (42%) | 4 |
| 6 Antonios Papadopoulos D | 7.3 | 95' | 1 | – | 3 | 23 (19%) | 3 |
| 11 Renato Steffen F | 7.3 | 59' | – | 1 | 2 | 24 (19%) | – |
| 91 Kevin Behrens F | 7.2 | 25' | – | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | – |
| 18 Joel Bichsel D | 7.2 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 31 (26%) | 2 |
| 21 Yanis Cimignani M | 7.0 | 70' | – | – | – | 34 (28%) | – |
| 30 Dereck Moncada F | 6.9 | 36' | – | – | 1 | 5 (2%) | – |
| 46 Mattia Zanotti D | 6.7 | 25' | – | – | 1 | 10 (7%) | – |
| 24 Elias Pihlström F | 6.7 | 70' | – | – | 3 | 19 (13%) | – |
| 14 Ahmed Kendouci F | 6.5 | 60' | – | – | 1 | 14 (12%) | 1 |
| 16 David von Ballmoos G | 6.3 | 95' | – | – | – | 21 (8%) | – |
| 27 Daniel Dos Santos M | 6.3 | 35' | – | – | 1 | 6 (5%) | – |
| 44 Carbone D | — | 2' | – | – | – | – | – |
FC Vaduz
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Leon Schaffran G | 7.9 | 82' | – | – | – | 42 (29%) | – |
| 27 Niklas Lang D | 7.6 | 95' | – | – | – | 59 (54%) | 2 |
| 11 Lutfi Dalipi M | 7.3 | 95' | 1 | – | 2 | 30 (27%) | – |
| 4 Nicolas Hasler D | 7.2 | 38' | – | – | – | 15 (13%) | 3 |
| 19 Dejan Đokić F | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | 2 | 7 (4%) | 2 |
| 5 Liridon Berisha D | 6.7 | 95' | – | – | – | 70 (58%) | 2 |
| 7 Dominik Schwizer M | 6.7 | 15' | – | – | – | 9 (6%) | – |
| 39 Dejan Sorgić F | 6.7 | 50' | – | 1 | 1 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 20 Luca Mack M | 6.6 | 95' | – | – | – | 66 (56%) | – |
| 28 Miloš Cocić M | 6.6 | 29' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | 1 |
| 14 Mischa Beeli D | 6.3 | 57' | – | – | 1 | 19 (13%) | – |
| 17 Julian Stark M | 6.3 | 66' | – | – | – | 32 (24%) | 1 |
| 10 Juan Cabrera M | 6.3 | 58' | – | – | 1 | 12 (10%) | 1 |
| 22 Mischa Eberhard M | 6.3 | 37' | – | – | 1 | 11 (10%) | 1 |
| 29 Malik Sawadogo D | 6.2 | 80' | – | – | – | 42 (31%) | 1 |
| 9 Marcel Monsberger F | 5.9 | 95' | – | – | 3 | 10 (6%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (68%)
At a glance
Our lean
FC Lugano to win or draw
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FC Lugano
WWDWW
FC Vaduz
LLWLW
Last 3 meetings
FC Lugano · 1W 1D 1L
Match summary
FC Lugano faces FC Vaduz in a Super League clash on July 26, 2026. Lugano's recent form shows a strong offense, averaging 2 goals per match over their last five fixtures, while Vaduz has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. The matchup highlights Lugano's home scoring prowess against Vaduz's inconsistent defense, suggesting a potential advantage for the hosts. However, Vaduz's counter-attacking capability could pose a threat if they capitalize on defensive lapses. Overall, this match could hinge on whether Vaduz can stabilize their defense against Lugano's attacking intensity.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
68%
45%
Draw
20%
45%
Away
12%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
FC Lugano
D. Moncada
3 gls
H. Delcroix
3 gls
FC Vaduz
M. Monsberger
4 gls
Juan Cabrera
4 gls
L. Dalipi
3 gls
M. Ćoćić
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz
1
FC Lugano Wins
1
Draws
1
FC Vaduz Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May 2021 | FC Lugano | 0 - 2 | FC Vaduz |
| 14 Mar 2021 | FC Vaduz | 0 - 3 | FC Lugano |
| 03 Feb 2021 | FC Lugano | 1 - 1 | FC Vaduz |
FC Lugano — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Lausanne | W | 0 - 4 |
| 16 Sep | H FC ST. Gallen | W | 4 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H BSC Young Boys | D | 2 - 2 |
| 06 Sep | A FC Basel 1893 | W | 1 - 3 |
| 03 Sep | H Servette FC | W | 1 - 0 |
FC Vaduz — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H FC Thun | L | 1 - 2 |
| 13 Sep | A FC Zurich | L | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Lausanne | W | 3 - 1 |
| 02 Sep | A FC Luzern | L | 2 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | H Grasshoppers | W | 5 - 2 |
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Lugano
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 7 | +20 | 25 |
| 2 |
BSC Young Boys
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 18 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 |
FC Sion
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 14 | +9 | 19 |
| 4 |
FC Basel 1893
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 |
FC ST. Gallen
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 |
| 6 |
FC Luzern
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 |
FC Zurich
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 |
Servette FC
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 |
FC Thun
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
| 10 |
Grasshoppers
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 8 |
| 11 |
FC Vaduz
|
9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lausanne
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 6 |
FC Lugano
Formation: 3-4-1-2
Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti
16
Ballmoos
18
Bichsel
17
Mai
6
Papadopoulos
7
Alioski
25
Bislimi
8
Grgić
21
Cimignani
14
Kendouci
11
Steffen
24
Pihlström
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | David von Ballmoos | G |
| 6 | Antonios Papadopoulos | D |
| 17 | Lars Lukas Mai | D |
| 18 | Joel Bichsel | D |
| 21 | Yanis Cimignani | M |
| 8 | Anto Grgić | M |
| 25 | Uran Bislimi | M |
| 7 | Ezgjan Alioski | M |
| 14 | Ahmed Kendouci | F |
| 24 | Elias Pihlström | F |
| 11 | Renato Steffen | F |
Substitutes
| 28 | Felix Gebhardt | G |
| 46 | Mattia Zanotti | D |
| 4 | Damian Kelvin | D |
| 44 | Carbone | D |
| 27 | Daniel Dos Santos | M |
| 30 | Dereck Moncada | F |
| 22 | Beckham Castro | F |
| 23 | Gjan Ajdin | M |
| 91 | Kevin Behrens | F |
FC Vaduz
Formation: 4-3-1-2
Coach: Marc Schneider
25
Schaffran
29
Sawadogo
5
Berisha
27
Lang
14
Beeli
10
Cabrera
20
Mack
17
Stark
11
Dalipi
19
Đokić
9
Monsberger
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Leon Schaffran | G |
| 14 | Mischa Beeli | D |
| 27 | Niklas Lang | D |
| 5 | Liridon Berisha | D |
| 29 | Malik Sawadogo | D |
| 17 | Julian Stark | M |
| 20 | Luca Mack | M |
| 10 | Juan Cabrera | M |
| 11 | Lutfi Dalipi | M |
| 9 | Marcel Monsberger | F |
| 19 | Dejan Đokić | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Benjamin Büchel | G |
| 6 | Denis Simani | D |
| 7 | Dominik Schwizer | M |
| 37 | Luca Celentano | D |
| 4 | Nicolas Hasler | D |
| 22 | Mischa Eberhard | M |
| 23 | Mats Hammerich | M |
| 28 | Miloš Cocić | M |
| 39 | Dejan Sorgić | F |