Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez Prediction
Estadio AKRON, Zapopan
AI call
Difficult Guadalajara Chivas win or draw
60%
24%
16%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez prediction: Sportiko gives Guadalajara Chivas a 60% chance of winning, FC Juarez 16% and the draw 24%. Last updated 26 Jul 2026, 01:06.
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Timeline
HT 0–0
▮
46'
Haret Ortega
Yellow Card
Jordan Carrillo
⇄ Efrain Alvarez
61'
⇄
⇄
66'
Javier Aquino
⇄ Francisco Nevarez
⇄
66'
Ricardinho
⇄ Jairo Torres
⇄
66'
Haret Ortega
⇄ Monchu
⇄
70'
Óscar Estupiñán
⇄ Luca Martínez Dupuy
Richard Ledezma
⇄ Ricardo Marín
74'
⇄
Brian Gutiérrez
⇄ Kevin Castañeda
74'
⇄
José Castillo
⇄ Diego Campillo
74'
⇄
⇄
82'
Gilberto Sepúlveda
⇄ Ricardo Juárez
▮
87'
Jairo Torres
Yellow Card
Ricardo Marín
Yellow Card
90'
▮
Bryan González
⇄ Jonathan Perez
90+3'
⇄
Roberto Alvarado
assist: Ricardo Marín
90+6'
⚽
1–0
FT 1–0
Guadalajara Chivas
Match Stats
FC Juarez
78%
Ball Possession
22%
1.45
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49
21
Total Shots
6
7
Shots on Goal
0
5
Shots off Goal
6
9
Blocked Shots
0
14
Shots insidebox
3
7
Shots outsidebox
3
19
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
0
10
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
2
Red Cards
0
Goalkeeper Saves
7
704
Total passes
208
626
Passes accurate
147
89%
Passes %
71%
0.99
goals_prevented
0.99
Guadalajara Chivas
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Luis Romo D | 8.3 | 93' | – | – | – | 74 (67%) | 2 |
| 28 Fernando González M | 7.9 | 93' | – | – | – | 91 (83%) | – |
| 25 Roberto Alvarado F | 7.7 | 93' | – | – | – | 78 (73%) | 1 |
| 23 Daniel Aguirre D | 7.6 | 93' | – | – | – | 73 (65%) | 2 |
| 2 José Castillo D | 7.3 | 74' | – | – | – | 71 (61%) | 1 |
| 11 Brian Gutiérrez M | 7.2 | 74' | – | – | – | 62 (53%) | 1 |
| 37 Richard Ledezma M | 7.2 | 74' | – | – | – | 50 (42%) | 4 |
| 19 Kevin Castañeda M | 7.2 | 19' | – | – | 1 | 24 (23%) | – |
| 5 Bryan González M | 6.9 | 93' | – | – | 3 | 43 (41%) | 2 |
| 10 Efrain Alvarez F | 6.7 | 32' | – | – | 1 | 22 (20%) | – |
| 1 Raúl Rangel G | 6.6 | 93' | – | – | – | 26 (24%) | – |
| 17 Ricardo Marín F | 6.6 | 19' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 34 Armando González F | 6.3 | 93' | – | – | 3 | 18 (10%) | – |
| 3 Diego Campillo D | 6.3 | 19' | – | – | – | 14 (13%) | – |
| 33 Jordan Carrillo M | 6.3 | 61' | – | – | 3 | 53 (46%) | – |
FC Juarez
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sebastián Jurado G | 8.0 | 93' | – | – | – | 32 (12%) | – |
| 3 Jesús Murillo D | 7.9 | 93' | – | – | – | 14 (11%) | 2 |
| 23 Haret Ortega D | 7.5 | 66' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 3 |
| 5 Denzell Garcia M | 7.5 | 93' | – | – | – | 22 (16%) | 7 |
| 20 Javier Aquino D | 7.3 | 66' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | 2 |
| 33 Francisco Nevarez D | 7.2 | 27' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | 1 |
| 2 Gilberto Sepúlveda D | 7.2 | 82' | – | – | – | 23 (20%) | 1 |
| 11 José Luis Rodríguez M | 6.7 | 93' | – | – | 2 | 20 (17%) | – |
| 4 Alejandro Mayorga D | 6.7 | 93' | – | – | – | 17 (12%) | – |
| 8 Guilherme Castilho M | 6.7 | 93' | – | – | – | 24 (16%) | – |
| 19 Óscar Estupiñán F | 6.7 | 70' | – | – | 2 | 12 (9%) | – |
| 6 Monchu M | 6.6 | 27' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 198 Ricardo Juárez D | 6.6 | 11' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 17 Luca Martínez Dupuy F | 6.5 | 23' | – | – | 2 | 3 (2%) | 1 |
| 10 Jairo Torres F | 6.3 | 27' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 21 Ricardinho M | 6.2 | 66' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (60%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Guadalajara Chivas win or draw
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Guadalajara Chivas
DWWWD
FC Juarez
WWDLL
Last 2 meetings
Guadalajara Chivas · 1W 0D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Liga MX clash, Guadalajara Chivas will face FC Juarez. Chivas has showcased a solid home record, with a focus on maintaining possession and utilizing their attacking prowess, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season. FC Juarez, on the other hand, struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match, which could be a critical factor in this matchup. The tactical battle will likely center on Chivas' ability to exploit Juarez's defensive vulnerabilities while Juarez will need to capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities. Expect a competitive match with potential for goals from both sides.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
60%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
16%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Guadalajara Chivas
No scorer data.
FC Juarez
Ó. Estupiñán
7 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez
1
Guadalajara Chivas Wins
0
Draws
1
FC Juarez Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | FC Juarez | 0 - 1 | Guadalajara Chivas |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 - 2 | FC Juarez |
Guadalajara Chivas — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | A Leon | D | 1 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | H Atlante FC | W | 4 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | A Monterrey | W | 0 - 1 |
| 21 Oct | H Necaxa | W | 1 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | H Tigres UANL | D | 1 - 1 |
FC Juarez — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Atletico San Luis | W | 0 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H Club Queretaro | W | 3 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A Necaxa | D | 1 - 1 |
| 21 Oct | H Atlante FC | L | 0 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | A Cruz Azul | L | 5 - 0 |
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Club America
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 36 | 21 | +15 | 29 |
| 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 14 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |
Cruz Azul
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 24 | +10 | 29 |
| 4 |
Atlas
|
16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 27 |
| 5 |
Santos Laguna
|
16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 25 |
| 6 |
Toluca
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 21 | +10 | 24 |
| 7 |
CF Pachuca
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 20 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |
Club Tijuana
|
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |
Leon
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 22 |
| 10 |
Monterrey
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 21 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 |
Club Queretaro
|
14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 |
Atletico San Luis
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 |
Puebla
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 |
Tigres UANL
|
15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |
Atlante FC
|
16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 |
Necaxa
|
16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |
FC Juarez
|
16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 11 |
Guadalajara Chivas
Formation: 3-1-4-2
Coach: G. Milito
1
Rangel
2
Castillo
7
Romo
23
Aguirre
28
González
5
González
33
Carrillo
11
Gutiérrez
37
Ledezma
34
González
25
Alvarado
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raúl Rangel | G |
| 23 | Daniel Aguirre | D |
| 7 | Luis Romo | D |
| 2 | José Castillo | D |
| 28 | Fernando González | M |
| 37 | Richard Ledezma | M |
| 11 | Brian Gutiérrez | M |
| 33 | Jordan Carrillo | M |
| 5 | Bryan González | M |
| 25 | Roberto Alvarado | F |
| 34 | Armando González | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | Óscar Whalley | G |
| 24 | Miguel Gómez | D |
| 56 | Ángel Chávez | D |
| 3 | Diego Campillo | D |
| 18 | Jonathan Perez | M |
| 16 | Luis Gabriel Rey | D |
| 19 | Kevin Castañeda | M |
| 17 | Ricardo Marín | F |
| 10 | Efrain Alvarez | F |
| 67 | Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillo | F |
FC Juarez
Formation: 5-4-1
Coach: Pedro Caixinha
1
Jurado
4
Mayorga
23
Ortega
3
Murillo
2
Sepúlveda
20
Aquino
11
Rodríguez
8
Castilho
5
Garcia
21
Ricardinho
19
Estupiñán
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sebastián Jurado | G |
| 20 | Javier Aquino | D |
| 2 | Gilberto Sepúlveda | D |
| 3 | Jesús Murillo | D |
| 23 | Haret Ortega | D |
| 4 | Alejandro Mayorga | D |
| 21 | Ricardinho | M |
| 5 | Denzell Garcia | M |
| 8 | Guilherme Castilho | M |
| 11 | José Luis Rodríguez | M |
| 19 | Óscar Estupiñán | F |
Substitutes
| 27 | Guillermo Ruiz | G |
| 33 | Francisco Nevarez | D |
| 198 | Ricardo Juárez | D |
| 7 | Raymundo Fulgencio | M |
| 25 | Said Godínez | M |
| 201 | Jan Carmona | M |
| 6 | Monchu | M |
| 29 | Ettson Ayón | F |
| 10 | Jairo Torres | F |
| 17 | Luca Martínez Dupuy | F |