Debreceni VSC vs Pyunik Yerevan Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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Pyunik Yerevan

Away

AI call Debreceni VSC or draw

43%

28%

30%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Debreceni VSC vs Pyunik Yerevan prediction: Sportiko gives Debreceni VSC a 43% chance of winning, Pyunik Yerevan 30% and the draw 28%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 17:54.

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1st Half Draw or Away 75%
Home to Score 72%

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Match Report

Debreceni VSC secured a narrow but important 1–0 victory over Pyunik Yerevan in the UEFA Europa Conference League second qualifying round, with the decisive moment arriving early in the second half. The first half was a cautious, evenly contested affair that ended goalless, though Pyunik were forced into an early change when Artak Dashyan came off injured in the 29th minute.

The match turned on 59 minutes when Debreceni broke the deadlock with a goal shortly after introducing Filipe Almeida from the bench, giving the Hungarian side the platform they needed. Both teams made multiple substitutions in search of either a winner or an equaliser, with veteran Balázs Dzsudzsák among those introduced by the hosts in the closing stages. Pyunik, despite registering three shots on target to Debreceni's one, could not find a way through, and the game grew increasingly fractious late on, with yellow cards shown to Witi, Mikhail Kovalenko, and Blaž Bošković.

The result was a tight one, reflecting the fine margins involved — our pre-match AI model had rated a Debreceni win as the most likely outcome at 43%, a call that proved correct. The hosts now hold a slender advantage heading into the second leg.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⇄ 29'

Artak Dashyan ⇄ Nikolaos Kenourgios

▮ 33'

James Yellow Card

HT 0–0

⇄ 57'

Filipe Almeida ⇄ Robert Darbinyan

assist: Sohan Baldoni

59' ⚽ 1–0

Sohan Baldoni

64' ⇄

⇄ 66'

Hovhannes Harutyunyan ⇄ Witi

⇄ 66'

Momo Yansane ⇄ Iasonas Pikis

⇄ 67'

Daniil Kulikov ⇄ Iman Griffith

⇄ Máté Macsó

73' ⇄

Adrián Guerrero ⇄ Rotem Keller

80' ⇄

Balázs Dzsudzsák ⇄ Balázs Sain

80' ⇄

Gergő Tercza ⇄ Márk Szécsi

80' ⇄

▮ 82'

Witi Yellow Card

▮ 88'

Mikhail Kovalenko Yellow Card

Blaž Bošković Yellow Card

90+4' ▮

FT 1–0

Debreceni VSC

Match Stats

Pyunik Yerevan

51% Ball Possession 49%

Expected Goals (xG)

20 Total Shots 18

1 Shots on Goal 3

10 Shots off Goal 10

9 Blocked Shots 5

13 Shots insidebox 8

7 Shots outsidebox 10

4 Corner Kicks 4

0 Offsides 6

13 Fouls 7

0 Yellow Cards 3

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 0

388 Total passes 384

300 Passes accurate 295

77% Passes % 77%

goals_prevented

Debreceni VSC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
99 Flórián Cibla F	7.9	73'	1	–	3	24 (16%)	1
10 Balázs Dzsudzsák M	7.5	80'	–	–	–	33 (26%)	2
28 Maximilian Hofmann D	7.2	93'	–	–	2	56 (49%)	2
23 Gergő Tercza D	7.0	80'	–	–	–	28 (21%)	2
1 Plamen Andreev G	6.9	93'	–	–	–	30 (21%)	–
26 Ádám Lang D	6.9	93'	–	–	1	55 (42%)	–
3 Adrián Guerrero D	6.9	80'	–	–	–	37 (33%)	4
20 Máté Macsó M	6.7	20'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
6 Blaž Bošković M	6.6	93'	–	–	–	28 (18%)	–
11 Ákos Szendrei F	6.6	29'	–	–	–	8 (3%)	–
16 Sergi Samper M	6.3	93'	–	–	1	54 (49%)	–
19 Dominik Kocsis F	6.3	93'	–	–	3	14 (10%)	–
25 Sohan Baldoni F	6.3	64'	–	1	1	13 (8%)	–
72 Rotem Keller D	6.3	13'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
77 Márk Szécsi F	6.3	13'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	–
78 Balázs Sain M	6.2	13'	–	–	–	–	–

Pyunik Yerevan

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
79 Sergiy Vakulenko D	7.2	93'	–	–	–	49 (40%)	1
15 Mikhail Kovalenko D	7.2	93'	–	–	1	44 (40%)	2
18 Karlen Hovhannisyan M	7.0	93'	–	–	2	37 (34%)	2
22 Sead Islamović M	6.9	93'	–	–	1	39 (28%)	2
10 Iman Griffith F	6.7	26'	–	–	–	10 (10%)	–
76 Filipe Almeida D	6.6	57'	–	–	1	25 (21%)	–
95 Momo Yansane F	6.6	66'	–	–	–	15 (11%)	–
11 Hovhannes Harutyunyan M	6.5	66'	–	–	2	25 (18%)	1
9 Artak Dashyan D	6.3	29'	–	–	2	17 (11%)	–
5 James D	6.3	93'	–	–	3	30 (22%)	1
88 Robert Darbinyan D	6.3	36'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	1
16 Henri Avagyan G	6.2	93'	–	–	–	40 (22%)	–
25 Daniil Kulikov M	6.2	67'	–	–	1	17 (12%)	–
3 Nikolaos Kenourgios D	6.2	64'	–	–	–	20 (14%)	–
23 Witi F	6.2	27'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
29 Iasonas Pikis F	6.2	27'	–	–	–	2	–

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Our lean

Debreceni VSC or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.7%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Debreceni VSC

LWWDD

Pyunik Yerevan

DWWWW

Last 1 meetings Debreceni VSC · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League clash, Debreceni VSC faces Pyunik Yerevan. Debreceni has shown a strong defensive record in recent matches, conceding only 1.2 goals per game on average in their last five outings. Conversely, Pyunik Yerevan has struggled with consistency, averaging 1.5 goals conceded in their recent games. Both teams will look to establish control early, but Debreceni's better form may give them the edge. Expect a tactical battle with potential for a low-scoring affair.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Pyunik Yerevan goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	8	7	4	1
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	5	8	6	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Debreceni VSC goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Away Win

30%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Away Win

30%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

57% Away (No Draw) 43% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Away Scores More 31% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.0%	8.0%	7.1%	3.6%	1.3%
1	6.5%	13.7%	9.0%	4.5%	1.7%
2	5.1%	7.6%	5.7%	2.8%	1.1%
3	2.1%	3.2%	2.4%	1.2%	0.4%
4	0.7%	1.0%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Debreceni VSC	Draw	Pyunik Yerevan
Debreceni VSC	18.0%	4.6%	2.3%
Draw	11.6%	17.5%	14.9%
Pyunik Yerevan	1.9%	4.5%	24.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Debreceni VSC vs Pyunik Yerevan

0 Debreceni VSC Wins

1 Draws

0 Pyunik Yerevan Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Jul 2026	Pyunik Yerevan	0 - 0	Debreceni VSC

Debreceni VSC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Vasas	L	2 - 4
12 Sep	A Gödöllő	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	A Paks	W	2 - 4
28 Aug	H MTK Budapest	D	2 - 2
23 Aug	A Kisvarda FC	D	0 - 0

Pyunik Yerevan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Alashkert	D	3 - 3
13 Sep	H Shirak	W	2 - 0
09 Sep	A Sardarapat	W	2 - 4
31 Aug	H Ararat-Armenia	W	2 - 1
21 Aug	A Ararat	W	0 - 2

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Debreceni VSC

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Gert Remmel

1 Andreev

3 Guerrero

26 Lang

28 Hofmann

23 Tercza

6 Bošković

16 Samper

10 Dzsudzsák

99 Cibla

25 Baldoni

19 Kocsis

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Plamen Andreev	G
23	Gergő Tercza	D
28	Maximilian Hofmann	D
26	Ádám Lang	D
3	Adrián Guerrero	D
10	Balázs Dzsudzsák	M
16	Sergi Samper	M
6	Blaž Bošković	M
19	Dominik Kocsis	F
25	Sohan Baldoni	F
99	Flórián Cibla	F

Substitutes

11	Ákos Szendrei	F
12	Benedek Erdélyi	G
4	Josua Mejías	D
72	Rotem Keller	D
77	Márk Szécsi	F
5	Bence Batik	D
20	Máté Macsó	M
75	Dávid Patai	M
78	Balázs Sain	M
8	Leon Myrtaj	M
24	Imre Egri	F
27	Máté Kohut	M

Pyunik Yerevan

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Eghishe Melikyan

16 Avagyan

5 James

15 Kovalenko

79 Vakulenko

76 Almeida

9 Dashyan

25 Kulikov

18 Hovhannisyan

22 Islamović

11 Harutyunyan

95 Yansane

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	Henri Avagyan	G
9	Artak Dashyan	D
76	Filipe Almeida	D
79	Sergiy Vakulenko	D
15	Mikhail Kovalenko	D
5	James	D
11	Hovhannes Harutyunyan	M
22	Sead Islamović	M
18	Karlen Hovhannisyan	M
25	Daniil Kulikov	M
95	Momo Yansane	F

Substitutes

3	Nikolaos Kenourgios	D
88	Robert Darbinyan	D
23	Witi	F
29	Iasonas Pikis	F
10	Iman Griffith	F
71	Stanislav Buchnev	G
4	Erik Simonyan	D
49	Aram Aharonyan	D
7	Edgar Malakyan	M
8	Gevorg Tarakhchyan	F
17	Vyacheslav Afyan	M
19	Sargis Metoyan	F