Dunajska Streda vs Velež Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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Velež

Away

AI call Dunajska Streda to win or draw

68%

21%

12%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Dunajska Streda vs Velež prediction: Sportiko gives Dunajska Streda a 68% chance of winning, Velež 12% and the draw 21%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 18:21.

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Under 3.5 Goals 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 74%

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Match Report

Dunajska Streda secured a narrow 1–0 victory over Velež in the UEFA Europa Conference League second qualifying round, with the decisive moment arriving from the penalty spot in the 59th minute. The first half was a cautious affair, ending goalless despite a yellow card shown in each half before the break.

The penalty proved to be the turning point, and Dunajska Streda managed the game effectively from that point, making four substitutions across the final quarter of the match to see out the result. Velež pushed for an equaliser but were unable to find a way through, with the closing stages growing tense as both sides picked up further yellow cards in the 82nd and 85th minutes.

The Slovak side's defensive discipline ultimately proved the difference, keeping a clean sheet across 90 minutes to claim a crucial first-leg advantage. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Dunajska Streda win as the most likely outcome at 68%, a call that proved correct. Velež will need to overturn the deficit in the second leg to stay in the competition.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 12'

Yellow Card

43' ▮

HT 0–0

Penalty

59' ⚽ 1–0

67' ⇄

⇄ 77'

78' ⇄

Yellow Card

82' ▮

▮ 85'

Yellow Card

86' ⇄

FT 1–0

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Confidence Medium (68%)

At a glance

Our lean

Dunajska Streda to win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.8%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Dunajska Streda

DLWWW

Velež

LWLDL

Last 1 meetings Dunajska Streda · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

Dunajska Streda faces Velež in the UEFA Europa Conference League, a crucial match for both teams in their quest for European advancement. Dunajska Streda has shown solid form domestically, with a strong home record, while Velež will rely on their counter-attacking prowess to exploit any defensive lapses. Key players for Dunajska Streda will need to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities, while Velež must focus on defensive organization to withstand the pressure. The outcome will likely hinge on which team can execute their game plan more effectively.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Velež goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	6	4	1
1	10	14	6	2	1
2	9	9	5	2
3	5	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Dunajska Streda goals · most likely 1–1 (13.8%)

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Match Result

Home Win

68%

Draw

21%

Away Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

68%

Draw

21%

Away Win

12%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

66% Home (No Draw) 34% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 24% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	6.3%	4.1%	1.4%	0.4%
1	10.3%	13.8%	6.3%	2.2%	0.6%
2	9.1%	9.4%	4.8%	1.7%	0.4%
3	4.7%	4.8%	2.5%	0.9%	0.2%
4	1.8%	1.9%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Dunajska Streda	Draw	Velež
Dunajska Streda	29.1%	4.2%	1.4%
Draw	17.2%	18.3%	9.7%
Velež	2.3%	4.2%	13.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Dunajska Streda vs Velež

1 Dunajska Streda Wins

0 Draws

0 Velež Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Jul 2026	Velež	0 - 3	Dunajska Streda

Dunajska Streda — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Spartak Trnava	D	2 - 2
15 Sep	A Veľké Ludince	L	3 - 2
12 Sep	A AS Trencin	W	1 - 4
05 Sep	H Slovan Bratislava	W	2 - 0
30 Aug	A Skalica	W	1 - 6

Velež — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Zrinjski	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H FK Sarajevo	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	L	3 - 1
02 Sep	H Radnik Bijeljina	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	A Čelik	L	3 - 0

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Velež

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Ibro Rahimic

1 Ribić

18 Duranović

8 Hrkać

13 Omerović

11 Mešić

29 Babić

6 Abdullah

7 Nukić

10 Salčin

9 Spahic

80 Stojanović

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Faris Ribić	G
13	Anes Omerović	D
8	Ante Hrkać	D
18	Said Duranović	D
7	Ajdin Nukić	D
6	Rafidine Abdullah	M
29	Andro Babić	M
11	Aldin Mešić	M
80	Nino Stojanović	F
9	Armin Spahic	F
10	Đani Salčin	M

Substitutes

22	Elmin Mataradžić	G
55	Adin Bajrić	D
17	Ayham Shhade	M
20	Damir Halilović	M
38	Dženan Puce	M
21	Alan Pajević	F
83	Mahir Bešić	F

Dunajska Streda

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Craig Bellamy

31 Ivačič

18 Juklerød

81 Nemanič

26 Blažek

22 Kapanadze

10 Ramadan

17 Bationo

44 Ouro

7 Kabić

11 Gueye

29 Gagua

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
31	Aljaž Ivačič	G
22	Tsotne Kapanadze	D
26	Filip Blažek	D
81	Klemen Nemanič	D
18	Simen Juklerød	D
7	Uroš Kabić	M
44	Samsondin Ouro	M
17	Julien Eymard Bationo	M
10	Ammar Ramadan	M
29	Giorgi Gagua	F
11	Abdoulaye Gueye	F

Substitutes

1	Leandro Filipe	G
90	Attila Németh	G
33	Taras Kacharaba	D
48	Jakub Majer	D
19	Alioune Sylla	M
27	Fallou Diongue	M
36	Nathan Udvaros	M
38	Martin Jenčuš	M
9	Andreas Gruber	F
14	Pa Assan Corr	F
40	Bálint Csóka	F
46	Matej Trusa	F