IFK Goteborg vs FC Levadia Tallinn Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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FC Levadia Tallinn

Away

AI call FC Levadia Tallinn or draw

33%

28%

39%

Home Win Draw Away Win

IFK Goteborg vs FC Levadia Tallinn prediction: Sportiko gives IFK Goteborg a 33% chance of winning, FC Levadia Tallinn 39% and the draw 28%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Home to Score 75%
1st Half Draw or Away 73%

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Match Report

IFK Goteborg suffered a disappointing home defeat against FC Levadia Tallinn, falling 1–2 in the UEFA Europa Conference League second qualifying round. The Estonian side were dominant in the first half, taking control with goals in the 33rd and 45th minutes to head into the break with a commanding 2–0 lead. Goteborg struggled to contain their visitors and were further hampered by yellow cards shown to August Erlingmark and others before half-time.

The Swedish hosts made a triple substitution at the start of the second half, bringing on Jonas Bager and Max Fenger among others in an attempt to turn the tide. Despite sustained pressure and further changes, Goteborg could not find a breakthrough, with discipline remaining an issue as bookings continued to mount for both sides.

A 90th-minute own goal gave Goteborg a consolation, but it proved too little too late. The match ended on a sour note as Erlingmark received a second yellow card in stoppage time, earning a red. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Levadia Tallinn victory as the most likely outcome at 39%, a call that proved correct.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 17'

Yellow Card

21' ▮

⚽ 0–1 33'

August Erlingmark Yellow Card

43' ▮

⚽ 0–2 45+1'

HT 0–2

Jonas Bager ⇄ Sam Larsson

46' ⇄

⇄ Noah Tolf

46' ⇄

Max Fenger

46' ⇄

Noah Tolf Yellow Card

56' ▮

Felix Eriksson ⇄ Alexander Jallow

75' ⇄

⇄ 79'

Alexander Jallow Yellow Card

82' ▮

▮ 84'

Yellow Card

Own Goal

90+2' ⚽ 1–2

August Erlingmark Red Card

90+3' ▮

FT 1–2

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Our lean

FC Levadia Tallinn or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

60%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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IFK Goteborg

WWWWW

FC Levadia Tallinn

DWWWW

Last 1 meetings IFK Goteborg · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League matchup, IFK Goteborg will face FC Levadia Tallinn. Historically, Goteborg has demonstrated strong performances at home, evidenced by their higher win percentage in group stages compared to Levadia's away results. However, Levadia has been effective in their domestic league, showcasing a solid defense, which could challenge Goteborg's attacking strategies. Key players to watch include Goteborg's forward line and Levadia's defensive unit. The outcome may hinge on Goteborg's ability to convert chances against a disciplined Levadia side.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Levadia Tallinn goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	7	6	3	1
1	6	13	9	4	2	1
2	5	8	6	3	1
3	2	4	3	1	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ IFK Goteborg goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

33%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

33%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

54% Away (No Draw) 46% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Away Win by 2+ 16% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Away Scores More 33% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	6.9%	6.3%	3.2%	1.2%
1	6.2%	13.2%	8.8%	4.4%	1.7%
2	5.4%	8.1%	6.1%	3.1%	1.2%
3	2.5%	3.8%	2.8%	1.4%	0.5%
4	0.9%	1.3%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	IFK Goteborg	Draw	FC Levadia Tallinn
IFK Goteborg	19.7%	4.6%	2.4%
Draw	12.5%	16.6%	13.9%
FC Levadia Tallinn	2.2%	4.7%	23.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

34%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: IFK Goteborg vs FC Levadia Tallinn

1 IFK Goteborg Wins

0 Draws

0 FC Levadia Tallinn Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Jul 2026	FC Levadia Tallinn	1 - 3	IFK Goteborg

IFK Goteborg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A IF Brommapojkarna	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Halmstad	W	2 - 1
07 Sep	A Mjallby AIF	W	1 - 4
02 Sep	A Olympic	W	0 - 5
30 Aug	H Orgryte IS	W	1 - 0

FC Levadia Tallinn — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Trans Narva	D	1 - 1
17 Sep	H Tammeka	W	6 - 0
12 Sep	H Vaprus	W	4 - 0
09 Sep	H Kuressaare	W	4 - 0
06 Sep	A Paide	W	0 - 2

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

FC Levadia Tallinn

Formation: 4-3-1-2 Coach: Vjatseslav Zahovaiko

99 Vallner

29 Saliste

20 Nwankwo

35 Iboro

23 Liivak

11 Ainsalu

6 Peetson

5 Roosnupp

36 Pedro

9 Tambedou

10 Gabriel

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	Karl Andre Vallner	G
23	Frank Liivak	D
35	Victory Iboro	D
20	Abraham Nwankwo	D
29	Joseph Saliste	D
5	Mark Oliver Roosnupp	M
6	Rasmus Peetson	M
11	Mihkel Ainsalu	M
36	João Pedro	M
10	Wendell Gabriel	F
9	Bubacarr Tambedou	F

Substitutes

21	Maksimilian Skvortsov	M
33	Enock Otoo	M
1	Oliver Ani	G
4	Tanel Tammik	D
30	Hubert Liiv	D
71	Kauã Davi	D
7	Gregor Lehtmets	F
17	Robert Kirss	F
19	Moussa Sambe	F

IFK Goteborg

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Stefan Billborn

25 Bishesari

28 Seidu

5 Bager

4 Yeboah

18 Eriksson

14 Heintz

15 Kruse

3 Erlingmark

7 Clemmensen

9 Fenger

29 Wiberg

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
25	Elis Bishesari	G
18	Felix Eriksson	D
4	Rockson Yeboah	D
5	Jonas Bager	D
28	Issaka Seidu	D
3	August Erlingmark	D
15	David Kruse	M
14	Tobias Heintz	M
29	Adam Bergmark Wiberg	F
9	Max Fenger	F
7	Sebastian Clemmensen	F

Substitutes

22	Noah Tolf	D
8	Sam Larsson	M
23	Kolbeinn Thordarson	M
17	Alexander Jallow	D
1	Jonathan Rasheed	G
12	Viktor Andersson	G
6	Hjörtur Hermannsson	D
11	Saidou Alioum Moubarak	M
16	Filip Ottosson	M
24	Oliver Mansson	M
30	Tiago Coimbra	F