FF Jaro vs SJK Prediction

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 17

Post on X

SJK

Away

AI call SJK or draw

27%

29%

44%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FF Jaro vs SJK prediction: Sportiko gives FF Jaro a 27% chance of winning, SJK 44% and the draw 29%. Last updated 24 Jul 2026, 17:56.

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Under 2.5 Goals 72%

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Timeline

M. Ogungbaro Yellow Card

28' ▮

H. Sjögrell Penalty

32' ⚽ 1–0

Yellow Card

45+1' ▮

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

J. Moisio ⇄ S. Yussif

⇄ 46'

V. Hänninen

⚽ 1–1 50'

assist: A. Wilson

assist: R. Vikström

62' ⚽ 2–1

J. Myrevik ⇄ A. Bjonbäck

70' ⇄

⇄ 75'

⇄ E. Mastokangas

⇄ 79'

A. Boström

R. Vikström ⇄ V. Vuorinen

80' ⇄

Altti Hellemaa ⇄ A. Vidjeskog

80' ⇄

▮ 82'

Yellow Card

⇄ 84'

E. Mömmö

⇄ J. Brunell

84' ⇄

▮ 90+1'

Kelvin Pires Yellow Card

A. Vidjeskog Yellow Card

90+2' ▮

▮ 90+5'

R. Paunio Yellow Card

FT 2–1

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Our lean

SJK or draw

Most likely score

0:0 · 17.6%

Both teams to score

36%

Over 2.5 goals

28%

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FF Jaro

DDLLL

SJK

WDDDL

Last 2 meetings FF Jaro · 0W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Veikkausliiga clash, FF Jaro faces SJK, with both teams looking to improve their standings. FF Jaro has shown inconsistency, with a recent home record that reflects mixed results. Conversely, SJK has been more stable, showcasing a stronger attacking output and a solid defensive line. Key players for SJK will need to exploit Jaro's defensive vulnerabilities, while Jaro must leverage any opportunities to capitalize on set pieces. This match could be pivotal for both teams as they push for crucial points in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

27%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

44%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

SJK goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	18	16	10	4	1
1	10	14	7	3	1
2	4	5	3	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ FF Jaro goals · most likely 0–0 (17.6%)

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Players in form

FF Jaro

No scorer data.

SJK

E. Mastokangas 2 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Draw

29%

Home Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

43%

1.5

57%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

96%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Draw

29%

Home Win

27%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

66% Away (No Draw) 34% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Away Scores More 35% Equal Goals 22% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

43%

1.5

57%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

96%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

26%

29%

17%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

55% Even Total Goals 45% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	17.6%	16.1%	10.0%	3.7%	1.0%
1	9.8%	14.5%	7.2%	2.7%	0.8%
2	4.1%	4.6%	2.6%	1.0%	0.3%
3	1.0%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

41%

35%

18%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FF Jaro	Draw	SJK
FF Jaro	11.9%	3.2%	1.0%
Draw	9.9%	25.3%	14.8%
SJK	1.0%	4.3%	28.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

49%

35%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: FF Jaro vs SJK

0 FF Jaro Wins

1 Draws

1 SJK Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Sep 2026	FF Jaro	1 - 1	SJK
18 Mar 2026	SJK	2 - 1	FF Jaro

FF Jaro — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Lahti	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H SJK	D	1 - 1
08 Sep	A Ilves	L	2 - 0
31 Aug	A Mariehamn	L	2 - 0
22 Aug	H AC Oulu	L	0 - 1

SJK — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Mariehamn	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A FF Jaro	D	1 - 1
08 Sep	A Turku PS	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A AC Oulu	D	0 - 0
21 Aug	H Lahti	L	1 - 2

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

SJK

Formation: 4-3-1-2 Coach: Jarkko Wiss

1 Paunio

15 Mömmö

4 Pires

5 Väistö

26 Moisio

8 Bostrom

31 Onuoha

23 Wilson

19 Hänninen

9 Streng

25 Nascimento

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Roope Paunio	G
26	Jaakko Moisio	D
5	Oskari Väistö	D
4	Kelvin Pires	D
15	Eetu Mömmö	D
23	Armaan Wilson	M
31	Gospel Chibueze Junior Onuoha	M
8	Aapo Bostrom	M
19	Vertti Hänninen	M
25	Kelwin Souza do Nascimento	F
9	Jeremiah Streng	F

Substitutes

6	Salim Giabo Yussif	D
22	Murilo	M
35	Johannes Viitala	G
43	Souleymane Bagayogo	D
18	Markus Arsalo	M
19	Elias Mastokangas	M
42	Caio Araújo	M
47	Muhammed Suso	M
51	Aziz Cisse	F

FF Jaro

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Jens Karlsson

1 Vits

19 Ness

3 Gunnarsson

4 Ogungbaro

21 Myrevik

8 Kawo

13 Hellemaa

7 Skau

22 Hardén

15 Vikström

11 Sjögrell

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Senne Vits	G
21	Jim Myrevik	D
4	Michael Ogungbaro	D
3	Erik Gunnarsson	D
19	Fabian Östigard Ness	D
7	Jesper Svenungsen Skau	D
13	Altti Hellemaa	M
8	Oliver Kass Kawo	M
11	Herman Sjögrell	M
15	Rudi Vikström	F
22	Kaius Hardén	M

Substitutes

5	Aron Bjonbäck	D
12	Joas Snellman	G
2	Felix Kass	D
6	Johan Brunell	D
20	Ted Soderstrom	D
16	Adam Vidjeskog	M
24	Valde Lofs	M
91	Ville Vuorinen	M
27	Joas Vikström	F