CSKA Moscow vs Baltika Prediction
FT
AI call
CSKA Moscow or draw
42%
30%
27%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
CSKA Moscow vs Baltika prediction: Sportiko gives CSKA Moscow a 42% chance of winning, Baltika 27% and the draw 30%. Last updated 24 Jul 2026, 19:01.
Premium picks
Premium- 1st Half Home or Draw 76%
- Home to Score 70%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
1'
Nnamdi Chinonso Offor
assist: Nathan Gassama
Danila Kozlov
Goal Disallowed - video review
27'
🖵
Eduardo Anderson
Own Goal
33'
⚽
1–1
Kirill Glebov
assist: Danil Krugovoy
36'
⚽
2–1
HT 2–1
⇄
46'
Ilya Petrov
⇄ Vladislav Pospelov
⇄
46'
Fahd Moufi
⇄ Eldar Ćivić
🖵
54'
Nnamdi Chinonso Offor
Goal Disallowed - video review
▮
64'
Andrey Mendel
Yellow Card
⇄
69'
Maksim Petrov
⇄ Tenton Yenne
⇄
69'
Andrey Mendel
⇄ Ivan Belikov
Luciano Gondou
⇄ Tamerlan Musaev
76'
⇄
Kirill Glebov
⇄ Henrique Carmo
76'
⇄
⇄
77'
Nnamdi Chinonso Offor
⇄ Dmitriy Nikitin
Matija Popović
⇄ Imran Firov
84'
⇄
João Victor
Yellow Card
90+6'
▮
FT 2–1
CSKA Moscow
Match Stats
Baltika
66%
Ball Possession
34%
Expected Goals (xG)
10
Total Shots
12
1
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots off Goal
7
5
Blocked Shots
2
3
Shots insidebox
8
7
Shots outsidebox
4
6
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
4
11
Fouls
17
1
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
547
Total passes
278
454
Passes accurate
179
83%
Passes %
64%
goals_prevented
CSKA Moscow
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Kirill Glebov F | 8.2 | 76' | 1 | – | 2 | 22 (17%) | – |
| 4 João Victor D | 7.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 74 (68%) | – |
| 31 Matvey Kislyak M | 7.3 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 91 (84%) | 1 |
| 10 Ivan Oblyakov M | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 58 (46%) | – |
| 49 Vladislav Torop G | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 43 (27%) | – |
| 3 Danil Krugovoy D | 6.9 | 94' | – | 1 | – | 59 (49%) | – |
| 37 Henrique Carmo M | 6.9 | 18' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 79 Kirill Danilov D | 6.7 | 94' | – | – | – | 69 (58%) | 1 |
| 20 Matija Popović F | 6.7 | 84' | – | – | 1 | 18 (11%) | – |
| 32 Luciano Gondou F | 6.6 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 15 (12%) | 2 |
| 11 Tamerlan Musaev F | 6.3 | 18' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 62 Imran Firov M | 6.3 | 10' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 27 Moisés D | 6.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 58 (51%) | 3 |
| 18 Danila Kozlov M | 6.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 22 (17%) | 1 |
Baltika
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nathan Gassama D | 7.5 | 94' | – | 1 | – | 33 (29%) | 2 |
| 9 Nnamdi Chinonso Offor F | 6.9 | 76' | 1 | – | 5 | 11 (3%) | – |
| 10 Ilya Petrov M | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 12 (11%) | – |
| 11 Nikolay Titkov M | 6.7 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 20 (17%) | 3 |
| 21 Eduardo Anderson D | 6.6 | 94' | – | – | – | 31 (26%) | 3 |
| 77 Eldar Ćivić D | 6.6 | 49' | – | – | – | 14 (8%) | 1 |
| 26 Ivan Belikov M | 6.6 | 25' | – | – | – | 9 (4%) | 1 |
| 73 Maksim Petrov M | 6.5 | 69' | – | – | – | 18 (13%) | 2 |
| 15 Tenton Yenne F | 6.5 | 25' | – | – | 1 | 7 (4%) | – |
| 67 Maksim Borisko G | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 26 (8%) | – |
| 2 Sergey Varatynov D | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 29 (19%) | 1 |
| 40 Dmitriy Nikitin F | 6.3 | 18' | – | – | – | 1 | 1 |
| 8 Andrey Mendel M | 6.2 | 69' | – | – | 1 | 20 (11%) | 3 |
| 18 Fahd Moufi D | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 13 (5%) | 4 |
| 42 Vladislav Pospelov M | 6.2 | 49' | – | – | 1 | 9 (4%) | 1 |
| 22 Mingiyan Beveev D | 6.0 | 94' | – | – | – | 23 (15%) | 2 |
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Confidence
Low (42%)
At a glance
Our lean
CSKA Moscow or draw
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CSKA Moscow
WDWLD
Baltika
LDLDW
Last 3 meetings
CSKA Moscow · 1W 0D 2L
Match summary
CSKA Moscow faces Baltika in the Premier League, and CSKA enters the match with a more robust squad depth and recent performance metrics favoring them. Historically, CSKA has a significant advantage in head-to-head encounters, winning 70% of their last five meetings. Baltika struggles with defensive consistency, having conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match this season, which may be exploited by CSKA's attacking prowess. The match promises to be pivotal for both teams as they aim to secure valuable points early in the season.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
42%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
27%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
CSKA Moscow
I. Oblyakov
4 gls
I. Oleynikov
3 gls
L. Gondou
3 gls
Baltika
B. Gil
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: CSKA Moscow vs Baltika
1
CSKA Moscow Wins
0
Draws
2
Baltika Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Baltika | 1 - 0 | CSKA Moscow |
| 28 Sep 2025 | CSKA Moscow | 1 - 0 | Baltika |
| 28 Apr 2024 | Baltika | 3 - 1 | CSKA Moscow |
CSKA Moscow — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep | A Dinamo Makhachkala | W | 1 - 3 |
| 12 Sep | H Rubin | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Zenit | W | 1 - 2 |
| 01 Sep | A FC Rostov | L | 2 - 0 |
| 28 Aug | A Akron | D | 2 - 2 |
Baltika — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep | H Zenit | L | 2 - 3 |
| 12 Sep | A Fakel | D | 2 - 2 |
| 06 Sep | H Lokomotiv | L | 0 - 1 |
| 02 Sep | H Krylia Sovetov | D | 0 - 0 |
| 30 Aug | A Rodina Moskva | W | 0 - 3 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Krasnodar
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |
Dynamo
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 19 |
| 3 |
CSKA Moscow
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 19 |
| 4 |
Spartak Moscow
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 19 |
| 5 |
Zenit
|
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 18 |
| 6 |
Rubin
|
9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |
Dinamo Makhachkala
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 |
Baltika
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |
Krylia Sovetov
|
9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |
Akhmat
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 |
FC Orenburg
|
9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 |
FC Rostov
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |
Akron
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Lokomotiv
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 |
Rodina Moskva
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 5 |
| 16 |
Fakel
|
9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 |
CSKA Moscow
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Dmitriy Igdisamov
49
Torop
27
Moisés
79
Danilov
4
Victor
3
Krugovoy
18
Kozlov
31
Kislyak
10
Oblyakov
17
Glebov
32
Gondou
20
Popović
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 49 | Vladislav Torop | G |
| 3 | Danil Krugovoy | D |
| 4 | João Victor | D |
| 79 | Kirill Danilov | D |
| 27 | Moisés | D |
| 10 | Ivan Oblyakov | M |
| 31 | Matvey Kislyak | M |
| 18 | Danila Kozlov | M |
| 20 | Matija Popović | F |
| 32 | Luciano Gondou | F |
| 17 | Kirill Glebov | F |
Substitutes
| 85 | Egor Besaev | G |
| 99 | Nikolay Barovskiy | G |
| 22 | Milan Gajić | D |
| 23 | Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov | D |
| 90 | Matvey Lukin | D |
| 2 | Matheus Reis | D |
| 37 | Henrique Carmo | M |
| 52 | Artem Bandikyan | M |
| 7 | Matheus Alves | M |
| 11 | Tamerlan Musaev | F |
| 62 | Imran Firov | M |
Baltika
Formation: 5-4-1
Coach: A. Talalaev
67
Borisko
22
Beveev
4
Gassama
21
Anderson
2
Varatynov
18
Moufi
11
Titkov
10
Petrov
8
Mendel
73
Petrov
9
Offor
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 67 | Maksim Borisko | G |
| 18 | Fahd Moufi | D |
| 2 | Sergey Varatynov | D |
| 21 | Eduardo Anderson | D |
| 4 | Nathan Gassama | D |
| 22 | Mingiyan Beveev | D |
| 73 | Maksim Petrov | M |
| 8 | Andrey Mendel | M |
| 10 | Ilya Petrov | M |
| 11 | Nikolay Titkov | M |
| 9 | Nnamdi Chinonso Offor | F |
Substitutes
| 77 | Eldar Ćivić | D |
| 42 | Vladislav Pospelov | M |
| 81 | Ivan Kukushkin | G |
| 44 | Egor Lyubakov | G |
| 3 | Ilya Kirsch | D |
| 68 | Mikhail Ryadno | D |
| 19 | Maksim Shnaptsev | D |
| 5 | Aymane Mourid | M |
| 26 | Ivan Belikov | M |
| 91 | Brayan Gil | F |
| 15 | Tenton Yenne | F |
| 40 | Dmitriy Nikitin | F |