NK Varazdin vs FK Jablonec Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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FK Jablonec

Away

AI call NK Varazdin or draw

37%

28%

34%

Home Win Draw Away Win

NK Varazdin vs FK Jablonec prediction: Sportiko gives NK Varazdin a 37% chance of winning, FK Jablonec 34% and the draw 28%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 19:58.

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Under 3.5 Goals 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 75%

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Match Report

NK Varaždin secured a 3–2 victory over FK Jablonec in their UEFA Europa Conference League second qualifying round encounter, with the match producing five goals across an entertaining 90 minutes. The game was level at 1–1 at the break, with both sides finding the net inside the opening half hour, goals arriving in the 24th and 27th minutes in quick succession.

The second half proved decisive for the Croatian hosts. Varaždin edged ahead with a 56th-minute strike before Jablonec levelled again in the 68th minute, setting up a tense finale. The winner arrived in the 82nd minute, giving Varaždin a hard-fought triumph that their second-half pressure ultimately merited. Both teams made extensive use of their substitutes as the match wore on, while five yellow cards across the 90 minutes reflected the competitive nature of the tie.

The result was not without its element of surprise — our pre-match AI model had rated a Varaždin win as the most likely outcome at 37%, a call that proved correct. Varaždin now advance to the next round of qualifying.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Yellow Card

5' ▮

Yellow Card

15' ▮

24' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 27'

37' ⇄

HT 1–1

⇄ 46'

⚽ 1–2 56'

61' ⇄

68' ⚽ 2–2

⇄ 73'

▮ 79'

Yellow Card

82' ⚽ 3–2

⇄ 83'

86' ⇄

⇄ 90'

Yellow Card

90+1' ▮

Yellow Card

90+3' ▮

FT 3–2

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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Our lean

NK Varazdin or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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NK Varazdin

DDWDW

FK Jablonec

DLWLD

Last 1 meetings NK Varazdin · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League match, NK Varazdin faces off against FK Jablonec. Varazdin has shown solid form domestically, emphasizing strong defensive organization, while Jablonec brings experience from competing in European competitions. Both teams will likely prioritize midfield control, with Varazdin seeking to exploit any defensive lapses from Jablonec. Key players to watch include Varazdin's top scorer, who has been pivotal in their attacking play, and Jablonec's playmaker, known for his vision and passing accuracy. This matchup promises a tactical battle that could hinge on set-piece execution and transition play.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FK Jablonec goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	7	4	2
1	10	14	6	2	1
2	9	9	5	2
3	4	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5

↑ NK Varazdin goals · most likely 1–1 (14.1%)

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

34%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

34%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

65% Home (No Draw) 35% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

46% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	6.8%	4.4%	1.5%	0.4%
1	10.4%	14.1%	6.5%	2.2%	0.6%
2	8.9%	9.2%	4.8%	1.7%	0.4%
3	4.4%	4.5%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.6%	1.7%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	NK Varazdin	Draw	FK Jablonec
NK Varazdin	25.9%	3.8%	1.3%
Draw	18.3%	18.8%	9.7%
FK Jablonec	2.6%	4.8%	14.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: NK Varazdin vs FK Jablonec

0 NK Varazdin Wins

0 Draws

1 FK Jablonec Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Jul 2026	FK Jablonec	2 - 0	NK Varazdin

NK Varazdin — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H NK Osijek	D	0 - 0
14 Sep	A HNK Gorica	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	A Zagora	W	0 - 4
04 Sep	H Istra 1961	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Rudes	W	2 - 0

FK Jablonec — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Zlin	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Sparta Praha	L	2 - 0
09 Sep	H Baník Ostrava	W	3 - 0
06 Sep	H Slovan Liberec	L	1 - 2
02 Sep	A Bohemians 1905	D	1 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

NK Varazdin

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Nikola Safaric

33 Silić

3 Duraković

4 Škaričić

14 Punčec

23 Maglica

8 Duvnjak

28 Canjuga

38 Tavares

22 Mamić

10 Latković

17 Mamut

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
33	Josip Silić	G
23	Frane Maglica	D
14	Roberto Punčec	D
4	Luka Škaričić	D
3	Elvir Duraković	M
28	Ivan Canjuga	F
8	Tomislav Duvnjak	M
10	Aleksa Latković	M
22	Luka Mamić	M
38	Iuri Tavares	M
17	Ivan Mamut	F

Substitutes

16	Novak Tepšić	D
5	Sven Lesjak	D
7	Matej Vuk	M
1	Oliver Zelenika	G
13	Mario Mladenovski	D
30	Luka Posinkovic	D
6	David Puclin	M
21	Ivan Posavec	M
24	Mario Marina	M
9	Stipe Jurić	F

FK Jablonec

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Lubos Kozel

1 Hanuš

57 Novák

4 Tekijaški

18 Cedidla

23 Sobol

13 Sedláček

6 Okeke

7 Chanturishvili

8 Zorvan

44 Jawo

16 Ahl

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Jan Hanuš	G
18	Martin Cedidla	D
4	Nemanja Tekijaški	D
57	Filip Novák	D
7	Vakhtang Chanturishvili	M
6	Nelson Okeke	M
13	Richard Sedláček	M
23	Eduard Sobol	M
16	Hugo Ahl	M
44	Lamin Jawo	F
8	Filip Zorvan	M

Substitutes

9	Antonín Růsek	F
99	Klemen Mihelak	G
14	Daniel Souček	D
15	Dušan Pavlović	D
20	Jiří Sláma	D
21	Matěj Polidar	M
25	Sebastian Nebyla	M
42	Matej Malenšek	M
19	Jan Chramosta	F
27	Filip Vecheta	F