Zimbru vs FC Noah Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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FC Noah

Away

AI call FC Noah or draw

25%

26%

49%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Zimbru vs FC Noah prediction: Sportiko gives Zimbru a 25% chance of winning, FC Noah 49% and the draw 26%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 18:53.

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1st Half Draw or Away 75%
Home to Score 73%

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Match Report

Zimbru and FC Noah played out a 1–1 draw in their UEFA Europa Conference League second qualifying round first leg, with the decisive moments coming late in each half.

Zimbru took the lead just before the interval, scoring in the 43rd minute to head into the break with a slender advantage. A yellow card was issued in stoppage time before both sides made significant changes after the restart, with multiple substitutions reshaping the contest across the second half.

FC Noah showed resilience and were rewarded in the 89th minute, equalising to earn a valuable away goal and level the tie heading into the second leg. Our pre-match AI model had rated an FC Noah win as the most likely outcome at 49%, a call that proved well-founded given the visitors' late intervention. The result leaves the tie finely poised, with Noah holding the slight edge through that crucial away goal.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

43' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 45'

Yellow Card

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

⇄ 64'

70' ⇄

78' ⇄

82' ⇄

83' ⇄

⇄ 83'

Yellow Card

87' ▮

⚽ 1–1 89'

FT 1–1

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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Our lean

FC Noah or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.3%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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Zimbru

LWWWW

FC Noah

WWWWW

Last 1 meetings Zimbru · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League matchup, Zimbru faces FC Noah. Historically, Zimbru has shown strength in defensive organization, averaging 1.2 goals conceded per match in recent competitions. FC Noah, on the other hand, relies on a potent attacking line, netting an average of 2 goals per game this season. Key battles will likely emerge in midfield, where possession could determine the match's tempo. Both teams will look to capitalize on their respective strengths, with Zimbru aiming to solidify their defense against Noah's offensive prowess.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Noah goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	8	7	4	1
1	6	13	9	5	2	1
2	5	8	6	3	1
3	2	3	3	1	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Zimbru goals · most likely 1–1 (13.3%)

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

26%

Home Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

26%

Home Win

25%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

57% Away (No Draw) 43% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Away Scores More 31% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	7.5%	7.0%	3.6%	1.4%
1	6.1%	13.3%	9.1%	4.7%	1.8%
2	5.0%	7.7%	5.9%	3.0%	1.2%
3	2.2%	3.3%	2.6%	1.3%	0.5%
4	0.7%	1.1%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Zimbru	Draw	FC Noah
Zimbru	17.9%	4.6%	2.4%
Draw	11.6%	16.9%	14.9%
FC Noah	2.0%	4.6%	25.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

33%

26%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Zimbru vs FC Noah

0 Zimbru Wins

0 Draws

1 FC Noah Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Jul 2026	FC Noah	2 - 1	Zimbru

Zimbru — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Dacia-Buiucani	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Politehnica UTM	W	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Sireți	W	0 - 2
29 Aug	H Sheriff Tiraspol	W	2 - 1
22 Aug	A CSF Bălți	W	0 - 4

FC Noah — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Van	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	A FC Urartu	W	0 - 3
04 Sep	H Gandzasar	W	3 - 2
30 Aug	H Ararat	W	4 - 0
23 Aug	A BKMA	W	0 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

FC Noah

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Sandro Perkovic

99 Figueira

33 Sualehe

4 Mambo

39 Saintini

6 Boakye

14 Oshima

23 Khamoyan

44 Jakoliš

7 Ferreira

17 Sangaré

9 González

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	Dani Figueira	G
6	Eric Boakye	D
39	Nathanaël Saintini	D
4	Stone Muzalimoja Mambo	D
33	David Sualehe	D
23	Aram Khamoyan	M
14	Takuto Oshima	M
17	Gustavo Sangaré	M
7	Hélder Ferreira	M
44	Marin Jakoliš	M
9	Mario González	F

Substitutes

98	Brian Oddei	M
20	Valentin Costache	M
8	Marko Lazetić	F
29	Arthur Luiz Coneglian	G
77	Davit Davtyan	G
3	Sergey Muradyan	D
5	Mark Avetisyan	D
19	Hovhannes Hambardzumyan	D
21	Michael Pavlović	D
10	Gor Manvelyan	M
18	Mamadou Doumbia	F
24	Zaven Khudaverdyan	F

Zimbru

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: David Pagou

88 Dokić

35 Zolotov

4 Gonta

23 Marcello

77 Cojocari

7 Butucel

7 Dantas

8 Amoroso

14 Rosario

73 Bîtca

98 Stina

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
88	Ivan Dokić	G
77	Serafim Cojocari	M
23	Marcello	D
4	Cristian Gonta	D
35	Nikolay Zolotov	D
7	Tudor Butucel	M
73	Ștefan Bîtca	M
14	Rayvien Rosario	F
8	Matteo Amoroso	M
7	Caio Dantas	M
98	Victor Stina	M

Substitutes

24	Thiago Ceijas	M
12	Artem Odintsov	G
92	Cristian Sîrghi	G
2	Ilie Negru	D
3	Kevin Berkeley	D
18	Alexandru Gutium	D
44	Sergiu Ungureanu	D
10	Eugeniu Cociuc	M
20	Vlad Raileanu	M
11	Jonathas Abimael da Silva Conceição	M
22	Ahmed Bonnah	M
99	Alexandru Betivu	F