Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction

UEFA Champions League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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Shamrock Rovers

Away

AI call Ararat-Armenia or draw

35%

31%

34%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers prediction: Sportiko gives Ararat-Armenia a 35% chance of winning, Shamrock Rovers 34% and the draw 31%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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1st Half Home or Draw 74%
2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%

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Confidence Low (35%)

At a glance

Our lean

Ararat-Armenia or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.9%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Ararat-Armenia

WLWWL

Shamrock Rovers

WLDDL

Last 1 meetings Ararat-Armenia · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the UEFA Champions League clash between Ararat-Armenia and Shamrock Rovers, both teams will be looking to establish early dominance. Ararat-Armenia has shown resilience in their recent matches, boasting a solid defensive record, but will need to improve their goal-scoring efficiency to capitalize on scoring opportunities. On the other hand, Shamrock Rovers possess a dynamic attacking lineup that can exploit defensive weaknesses. With both teams aiming for a strong start in the tournament, this match could be pivotal in setting the tone for their respective campaigns.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

35%

45%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

34%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Shamrock Rovers goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	9	6	3	1
1	10	15	8	3	1
2	7	8	5	2	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Ararat-Armenia goals · most likely 1–1 (14.9%)

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Match Result

Home Win

35%

Away Win

34%

Draw

31%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

35%

Away Win

34%

Draw

31%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

51% Home (No Draw) 49% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

16% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

35% Home Scores More 34% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.1%	9.3%	6.4%	2.5%	0.7%
1	9.5%	14.9%	7.7%	3.0%	0.9%
2	6.8%	7.9%	4.6%	1.8%	0.5%
3	2.7%	3.2%	1.9%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.8%	1.0%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ararat-Armenia	Draw	Shamrock Rovers
Ararat-Armenia	20.6%	4.4%	1.7%
Draw	13.8%	20.4%	13.2%
Shamrock Rovers	1.8%	4.4%	19.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers

0 Ararat-Armenia Wins

0 Draws

1 Shamrock Rovers Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Jul 2026	Shamrock Rovers	2 - 1	Ararat-Armenia

Ararat-Armenia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Shirak	W	1 - 3
16 Sep	H Sparta Praha	L	1 - 4
11 Sep	H Syunik	W	3 - 0
05 Sep	A Ararat	W	0 - 1
31 Aug	A Pyunik Yerevan	L	2 - 1

Shamrock Rovers — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Waterford	W	3 - 2
11 Sep	A St Patrick's Athl.	L	2 - 0
04 Sep	H Shelbourne	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A Derry City	D	3 - 3
27 Aug	A KuPS	L	1 - 0

UEFA Champions League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	1	1	0	0	6	1	+5	3
2	Bayern München	1	1	0	0	5	0	+5	3
3	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	5	1	+4	3
4	Manchester United	1	1	0	0	4	0	+4	3
5	Como	1	1	0	0	4	1	+3	3
6	VfB Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	3	1	+2	3
7	Sporting CP	1	1	0	0	3	1	+2	3
8	Manchester City	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
9	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	3	2	+1	3
10	Lens	1	1	0	0	3	2	+1	3
11	Real Betis	1	1	0	0	3	2	+1	3
12	Borussia Dortmund	1	1	0	0	3	2	+1	3
13	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
14	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
15	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
16	AEK Athens FC	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
17	AS Roma	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
18	Shakhtar Donetsk	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
19	PSV Eindhoven	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
20	Fenerbahçe	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
21	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0
22	Lille	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0
23	Slavia Praha	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0
24	Club Brugge KV	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0
25	Inter	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
26	Atletico Madrid	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
27	Napoli	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
28	Lask Linz	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
29	Viking	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0
30	Galatasaray	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0
31	FC Porto	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
32	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0
33	Feyenoord	1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0
34	Sabah FA	1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0
35	Slovan Bratislava	1	0	0	1	1	6	-5	0
36	Bodo/Glimt	1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.