Fenerbahçe vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction

UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League · 2nd Qualifying Round
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AI call Difficult Fenerbahçe win or draw
60%
24%
15%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Fenerbahçe vs Gornik Zabrze prediction: Sportiko gives Fenerbahçe a 60% chance of winning, Gornik Zabrze 15% and the draw 24%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 70%
  • Under 3.5 Goals 70%
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Match Report

Fenerbahçe secured a narrow but controlled 1–0 victory over Gornik Zabrze in the UEFA Champions League second qualifying round, with the decisive moment arriving in the 37th minute through a goal that gave the Turkish side a lead they would not relinquish. The hosts went into the break with their advantage intact and a firm grip on the contest.

The second half told a similar story of Fenerbahçe dominance. The home side finished with 79% possession, nine corner kicks, and 15 total shots compared to just two from the visitors, who managed only a single effort on target throughout the entire match. A series of substitutions, including the introduction of Kerem Aktürkoğlu and later İrfan Can Kahveci, allowed the hosts to manage the game comfortably without ever truly being threatened.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Fenerbahçe win as the most likely outcome at 60%, a call that proved accurate. The result sets Fenerbahçe up well ahead of the second leg, though Gornik will need a significant turnaround to progress further in the competition.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

37' ⚽ 1–0
HT 1–0
N. Aké
46' ⇄
Kerem Aktürkoğlu ⇄ Oğuz Aydın
69' ⇄
69' ⇄
⇄ 72'
⇄ 72'
⇄ 76'
İrfan Can Kahveci
83' ⇄
87' ⇄
⇄ 90+2'
FT 1–0
Fenerbahçe

Match Stats

Gornik Zabrze
79% Ball Possession 21%
Expected Goals (xG)
15 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 1
4 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 1
9 Shots outsidebox 1
9 Corner Kicks 2
Offsides
15 Fouls 11
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
765 Total passes 203
703 Passes accurate 148
92% Passes % 73%
goals_prevented
Fenerbahçe
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
27 Nélson Semedo D 7.6 90' – – – 60 (57%) 1
6 Mattéo Guendouzi M 7.6 90' – – – 105 (97%) 1
7 Fred M 7.6 90' – – 1 88 (81%) 2
15 N. Aké D 7.5 45' – – – 60 (57%) 1
28 Bartuğ Elmaz M 7.3 69' – – 3 66 (64%) 2
94 Talisca F 7.3 87' 1 – 5 25 (19%) –
17 İrfan Can Kahveci M 7.2 83' – – 1 52 (47%) 3
24 Jayden Oosterwolde D 7.2 90' – – – 87 (78%) 3
34 Mert Günok G 6.9 90' – – – 11 (9%) –
37 Milan Škriniar D 6.9 90' – – – 109 (105%) 2
22 Levent Mercan D 6.9 45' – – – 36 (35%) 1
9 Kerem Aktürkoğlu M 6.6 69' – – – 31 (24%) 1
70 Oğuz Aydın F 6.6 21' – – – 17 (14%) 2
10 Marco Asensio M 6.6 21' – – – 11 (10%) –
11 Mason Greenwood F 6.3 12' – – 1 6 (5%) –
26 Sidiki Cherif F 6.3 8' – – – 1 (1%) –
Gornik Zabrze
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
26 Rafał Janicki D 7.9 90' – – – 20 (18%) 2
1 Philipp Schulze G 7.3 90' – – – 23 (13%) –
11 Erik Prekop F 7.3 90' – – – 14 (8%) –
61 Michal Sáček D 6.9 90' – – – 15 (8%) 3
20 Josema D 6.9 90' – – – 31 (26%) 2
82 Kacper Urbański M 6.9 72' – – – 16 (14%) 1
28 Bastien Donio M 6.9 14' – – – 3 (2%) 1
21 Ondřej Zmrzlý D 6.7 18' – – – 7 (5%) –
33 Maksym Khlan F 6.6 89' – – – 11 (8%) 1
23 Sondre Liseth F 6.6 18' – – – 4 (2%) –
7 Yvan Ikia Dimi F 6.5 72' – – – 11 (7%) –
64 Erik Janža D 6.3 90' – – 1 15 (12%) 1
18 Lukáš Sadílek M 6.2 90' – – – 17 (10%) –
66 Maximilian Dietz M 6.2 76' – – – 15 (14%) –
2 Patryk Warczak D — 1' – – – 1 (1%) –
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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Fenerbahçe win or draw
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Fenerbahçe
WDDLW
Gornik Zabrze
DWWWW
Last 1 meetings Fenerbahçe · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

Fenerbahçe will face Gornik Zabrze in their UEFA Champions League matchup, showcasing the Turkish side’s tactical prowess against the Polish team. Fenerbahçe has a strong attacking record, averaging 2 goals per match in their domestic league, while Gornik Zabrze has displayed resilience in defense, conceding only 1.2 goals per game. Key players for Fenerbahçe, such as their leading scorer, will be crucial for breaking down Gornik's backline. Conversely, Gornik Zabrze will need to capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities to exploit any defensive lapses. This matchup promises to be a tactical battle, with Fenerbahçe expected to dominate possession.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Fenerbahçe
Talisca 4 gls
M. Greenwood 2 gls
A. Brown 2 gls
Gornik Zabrze

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Fenerbahçe vs Gornik Zabrze

0 Fenerbahçe Wins
1 Draws
0 Gornik Zabrze Wins
Date Home Score Away
29 Jul 2026 Gornik Zabrze 1 - 1 Fenerbahçe

Fenerbahçe — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Eyüpspor W 8 - 0
14 Sep A Gaziantep FK D 0 - 0
10 Sep H AS Roma D 1 - 1
05 Sep H Beşiktaş L 1 - 2
30 Aug A Samsunspor W 0 - 2

Gornik Zabrze — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Motor Lublin D 0 - 0
15 Sep A Korona Kielce W 0 - 2
12 Sep H Lech Poznan W 2 - 1
06 Sep A Cracovia Krakow W 0 - 1
03 Sep A Raków Częstochowa W 1 - 2

UEFA Champions League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
1 1 0 0 +5 3
2
Bayern München
1 1 0 0 +5 3
3
Barcelona
1 1 0 0 +4 3
4
Manchester United
1 1 0 0 +4 3
5
Como
1 1 0 0 +3 3
6
VfB Stuttgart
1 1 0 0 +2 3
7
Sporting CP
1 1 0 0 +2 3
8
Manchester City
1 1 0 0 +2 3
9
Aston Villa
1 1 0 0 +1 3
10
Lens
1 1 0 0 +1 3
11
Real Betis
1 1 0 0 +1 3
12
Borussia Dortmund
1 1 0 0 +1 3
13
Liverpool
1 1 0 0 +1 3
14
Real Madrid
1 1 0 0 +1 3
15
Arsenal
1 1 0 0 +1 3
16
AEK Athens FC
1 1 0 0 +1 3
17
AS Roma
1 0 1 0 0 1
18
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 0 1 0 0 1
19
PSV Eindhoven
1 0 1 0 0 1
20
Fenerbahçe
1 0 1 0 0 1
21
Villarreal
1 0 0 1 -1 0
22
Lille
1 0 0 1 -1 0
23
Slavia Praha
1 0 0 1 -1 0
24
Club Brugge KV
1 0 0 1 -1 0
25
Inter
1 0 0 1 -1 0
26
Atletico Madrid
1 0 0 1 -1 0
27
Napoli
1 0 0 1 -1 0
28
Lask Linz
1 0 0 1 -1 0
29
Viking
1 0 0 1 -2 0
30
Galatasaray
1 0 0 1 -2 0
31
FC Porto
1 0 0 1 -2 0
32
RB Leipzig
1 0 0 1 -3 0
33
Feyenoord
1 0 0 1 -4 0
34
Sabah FA
1 0 0 1 -4 0
35
Slovan Bratislava
1 0 0 1 -5 0
36
Bodo/Glimt
1 0 0 1 -5 0

Fenerbahçe

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Ismail Kartal
34 Günok
24 Oosterwolde
15 Aké
37 Škriniar
27 Semedo
28 Elmaz
6 Guendouzi
9 Aktürkoğlu
7 Fred
17 Kahveci
94 Talisca

Starting XI

# Player Pos
34 Mert Günok G
27 Nélson Semedo D
37 Milan Škriniar D
15 Nathan Aké D
24 Jayden Oosterwolde D
6 Mattéo Guendouzi M
28 Bartuğ Elmaz M
17 İrfan Can Kahveci M
7 Fred M
9 Kerem Aktürkoğlu M
94 Talisca F

Substitutes

22 Levent Mercan D
10 Marco Asensio M
70 Oğuz Aydın F
11 Mason Greenwood F
26 Sidiki Cherif F
13 Tarık Çetin G
31 Ederson G
3 Archie Brown D
4 Çağlar Söyüncü D
18 Mert Müldür D
5 İsmail Yüksek M
20 Anthony Musaba F

Gornik Zabrze

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Michal Gasparik
1 Schulze
64 Janža
20 Josema
26 Janicki
61 Sáček
82 Urbański
66 Dietz
18 Sadílek
33 Khlan
11 Prekop
7 Dimi

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Philipp Schulze G
61 Michal Sáček D
26 Rafał Janicki D
20 Josema D
64 Erik Janža D
18 Lukáš Sadílek M
66 Maximilian Dietz M
82 Kacper Urbański M
7 Yvan Ikia Dimi F
11 Erik Prekop F
33 Maksym Khlan F

Substitutes

21 Ondřej Zmrzlý D
23 Sondre Liseth F
28 Bastien Donio M
2 Patryk Warczak D
29 Wiktor Kania G
4 Paweł Bochniewicz D
19 Peter González M
34 Bruno Durdov F

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