Dinamo Tbilisi vs US Mondorf-les-bains Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 1st Qualifying Round

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Dinamo Tbilisi

Home

1 : 1

HT 0 - 0

1st leg 2-1 · Aggregate 3-2

US Mondorf-les-bains

Away

AI call Difficult Dinamo Tbilisi win or draw

58%

25%

17%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Dinamo Tbilisi vs US Mondorf-les-bains prediction: Sportiko gives Dinamo Tbilisi a 58% chance of winning, US Mondorf-les-bains 17% and the draw 25%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Match Report

Dinamo Tbilisi and US Mondorf-les-bains played out a goalless first half in their UEFA Europa Conference League first qualifying round encounter, with the tie remaining finely balanced heading into the second period.

The match came to life after the break, with both sides making multiple substitutions and accumulating yellow cards as the contest grew more intense. A missed penalty at the 65th minute proved costly, and it was not until the 86th minute that the deadlock was finally broken through a normal goal. The tie was then levelled in extra time via a penalty on 111 minutes, sending the match to a draw after 120 minutes. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Dinamo Tbilisi win as the most likely outcome at 58%, a call that ultimately did not materialise.

The result means the tie remains open heading into the second leg, with Mondorf-les-bains — representing Luxembourg — having earned a creditable draw away from home against the Georgian giants. Both teams will now look ahead to the return fixture to determine who progresses to the next round.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0

46' ⇄

▮ 47'

Yellow Card

56' ▮

56' ⇄

Yellow Card

58' ▮

Missed Penalty

65' ✗

⇄ 65'

⇄ 82'

85' ⇄

⚽ 0–1 86'

⇄ 91'

⇄ 105'

▮ 111'

Yellow Card

Penalty

111' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 113'

114' ⇄

120+1' ⇄

FT 1–1

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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Dinamo Tbilisi win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.1%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Dinamo Tbilisi

WWDDW

US Mondorf-les-bains

LLWWW

Last 1 meetings Dinamo Tbilisi · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League matchup between Dinamo Tbilisi and US Mondorf-les-Bains, Dinamo will look to leverage their experience in European competitions. Historically, Dinamo has performed well at home, boasting a strong record in their domestic league. Conversely, US Mondorf-les-Bains will be eager to make an impact against a more established side, relying on their resilience and tactical discipline. Key players' performances, particularly in midfield, will likely dictate the tempo and outcome of the match. Expect a competitive clash where Dinamo's familiarity with European play could give them an edge.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

US Mondorf-les-bains goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	4	3	1
1	11	12	5	1
2	11	10	4	1
3	7	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Dinamo Tbilisi goals · most likely 1–1 (12.1%)

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

25%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

25%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

78% Home (No Draw) 22% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

58% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	4.4%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%
1	10.5%	12.1%	4.8%	1.5%	0.3%
2	11.1%	10.0%	4.5%	1.4%	0.3%
3	6.9%	6.2%	2.8%	0.8%	0.2%
4	3.2%	2.9%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Dinamo Tbilisi	Draw	US Mondorf-les-bains
Dinamo Tbilisi	37.7%	3.8%	1.1%
Draw	19.4%	15.8%	6.9%
US Mondorf-les-bains	2.5%	3.7%	9.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Dinamo Tbilisi vs US Mondorf-les-bains

1 Dinamo Tbilisi Wins

0 Draws

0 US Mondorf-les-bains Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 Jul 2026	US Mondorf-les-bains	1 - 2	Dinamo Tbilisi

Dinamo Tbilisi — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Samgurali	W	2 - 3
14 Sep	H Gagra	W	4 - 0
10 Sep	H Meshakhte	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	A Torpedo Kutaisi	D	1 - 1
31 Aug	H Dila	W	2 - 1

US Mondorf-les-bains — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Résidence Walferdange	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	H UNA Strassen	L	1 - 2
06 Sep	A Atert Bissen	W	1 - 2
23 Aug	A AS Jeunesse Esch	W	1 - 3
16 Aug	H F91 Dudelange	W	1 - 0

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.