FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 1st Qualifying Round

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FC Santa Coloma

Home

3 : 0

HT 1 - 0

1st leg 1-0 · Aggregate 4-0

Penybont

Away

AI call FC Santa Coloma to win or draw

71%

22%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont prediction: Sportiko gives FC Santa Coloma a 71% chance of winning, Penybont 7% and the draw 22%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 72%

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Match Report

FC Santa Coloma secured a commanding 3–0 victory over Welsh side Penybont in the first qualifying round of the UEFA Europa Conference League. The Andorran hosts took control early, breaking the deadlock in the 20th minute to lead 1–0 at half-time. The match grew feisty in the closing stages of the first half, with three yellow cards shown in quick succession between the 27th and 32nd minutes, the last of those bookings accompanied by a red card that left Penybont a man down heading into the second period.

The numerical advantage proved decisive after the break. Santa Coloma doubled their lead in the 59th minute, and both teams made a flurry of substitutions shortly after as the game opened up. A third goal arrived in the 82nd minute to put the result beyond doubt, with late yellow cards in the 83rd and 90th-plus minutes reflecting an ill-tempered finish to the contest.

Santa Coloma's dominance was well-founded — our pre-match AI model had rated a home win as the most likely outcome at 71%, a call that proved correct. The Andorrans now advance to the next qualifying round.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

20' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 27'

Yellow Card

31' ▮

▮ 32'

Yellow Card

▮ 32'

Red Card

HT 1–0

59' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 60'

62' ⇄

69' ⇄

⇄ 72'

76' ⇄

⇄ 76'

82' ⚽ 3–0

▮ 83'

Yellow Card

90+3' ▮

FT 3–0

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Confidence High (71%)

At a glance

Our lean

FC Santa Coloma to win or draw

Most likely score

2:0 · 17%

Both teams to score

34%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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FC Santa Coloma

WWWLL

Penybont

WWWWD

Last 3 meetings FC Santa Coloma · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League clash between FC Santa Coloma and Penybont, both teams will look to establish their tactical strengths early on. FC Santa Coloma, known for their solid defensive organization, will aim to stifle Penybont's attacking plays, which rely heavily on quick transitions. Conversely, Penybont's offensive strategy focuses on wing play and set pieces, which could exploit any lapses in Santa Coloma's defense. Given the neutral venue, the match is expected to be tightly contested, with both sides needing to capitalize on any scoring opportunities to gain an early advantage in the group stage.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Penybont goals →

	0	1	2
0	10	3	1
1	17	10	2
2	17	8	2
3	11	5	1
4	5	3	1
5	2	1

↑ FC Santa Coloma goals · most likely 2–0 (17.0%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

71%

Draw

22%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS No 34% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

71%

Draw

22%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

91% Home (No Draw) 9% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

45% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

71% Home Scores More 22% Equal Goals 7% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS No 34% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

20%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.3%	3.3%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
1	16.6%	9.6%	2.0%	0.3%	0.0%
2	17.0%	8.1%	2.0%	0.3%	0.0%
3	10.9%	5.2%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
4	5.2%	2.5%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Santa Coloma	Draw	Penybont
FC Santa Coloma	46.6%	2.3%	0.4%
Draw	23.5%	15.5%	3.4%
Penybont	1.8%	2.5%	4.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

71%

2.5

29%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

62%

30%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

80%

0.5

20%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont

2 FC Santa Coloma Wins

1 Draws

0 Penybont Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 Jul 2026	Penybont	0 - 1	FC Santa Coloma
20 Jul 2023	FC Santa Coloma	2 - 0	Penybont
13 Jul 2023	Penybont	1 - 1	FC Santa Coloma

FC Santa Coloma — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Sporting Escaldes	W	1 - 5
13 Sep	H Penya Encarnada	W	4 - 0
05 Sep	A Carroi	W	0 - 3
29 Jul	A Rapid Vienna	L	6 - 2
23 Jul	H Rapid Vienna	L	1 - 3

Penybont — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Ammanford AFC	W	1 - 5
15 Sep	H Briton Ferry	W	3 - 2
11 Sep	A Trefelin	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	H Colwyn Bay	W	1 - 0
31 Aug	A Cambrian & Clydach	D	2 - 2

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

FC Santa Coloma

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Albert Gomez

12 Alcaraz

16 Andrade

4 Bellido

5 Padilla

2 Rasines

6 López

18 Arjona

8 Barrenetxea

22 Gómez

10 Lopez

9 Muñoz

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	André Alcaraz	G
2	Álex Rasines	D
5	Jorge Padilla	D
4	José María Gutiérrez Bellido	D
16	David Andrade	M
8	Íñigo Barrenetxea	M
18	Adria Arjona	M
6	Miguel López	M
9	Predrag Muñoz	M
10	Guillaume Lopez	F
22	Álex Gómez	-

Substitutes

23	Moisés San Nicolás	D
11	Roberto Rodríguez	M
7	Kun Temenuzhkov	F
21	Andy Villar	F
1	Mauro Rabelo	G
99	Diego Mendes Meireles	G
3	Mario Alvarez	D
25	Marc Rebés	D

Penybont

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Rhys Griffiths

1 Higgs

3 Melbourne

32 Shephard

6 Davies

7 Wood

12 Vaz

4 Mehew

8 Pritchard

19 Hill

9 Venables

10 Cann

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Daniel Higgs	G
7	Nathan Wood	M
6	Mael Davies	M
32	Liam Shephard	D
3	Max Melbourne	D
19	Ryan Hill	M
8	Owen Pritchard	M
4	Thomas Mehew	M
12	Eduino Vaz	M
10	Ethan Cann	F
9	Chris Venables	M

Substitutes

33	Ethan Vaughan	D
11	Noah Daley	F
25	Alex Pennock	G
35	Jay Price	G
5	Joe Woodiwiss	D
15	Jac Clay	D
18	Morgan Weaver	D
20	Marinho Manga	M
21	Ashley Baker	M
55	Jamie Mashlan	M
14	Ioan Phillips	F