Dečić vs FK Liepaja Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 1st Qualifying Round

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Dečić

Home

1 : 2

HT 1 - 1

1st leg 0-1 · Aggregate 1-3

FK Liepaja

Away

AI call FK Liepaja or draw

24%

30%

46%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Dečić vs FK Liepaja prediction: Sportiko gives Dečić a 24% chance of winning, FK Liepaja 46% and the draw 30%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Away to Score 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%

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Match Report

FK Liepaja edged out Dečić 2–1 in this UEFA Europa Conference League first qualifying round encounter, with the decisive goal arriving in the second half. Dečić drew first blood with a goal at the 12-minute mark, but Liepaja levelled matters just before the break, striking in first-half stoppage time to ensure the teams went in level at 1–1.

The Latvian side wasted little time making their advantage count after the restart, netting again at the 61st minute to take a lead they would not relinquish. Both teams made extensive use of their substitutes as the match progressed, with Liepaja introducing four players simultaneously on the hour mark in a bold tactical shift.

Discipline was also a factor, with five yellow cards distributed across the 90 minutes, three of them coming in the final stages as tensions rose. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Liepaja victory as the most likely outcome at 46%, a call that proved correct as the visitors secured their passage into the next round.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

12' ⚽ 1–0

Yellow Card

18' ▮

Yellow Card

26' ▮

⚽ 1–1 45+1'

HT 1–1

⇄ 46'

⇄ 59'

⚽ 1–2 61'

70' ⇄

81' ⇄

▮ 84'

Yellow Card

⇄ 84'

▮ 87'

Yellow Card

▮ 90'

Yellow Card

FT 1–2

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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Our lean

FK Liepaja or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Dečić

DLDLW

FK Liepaja

DDDWL

Last 1 meetings Dečić · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League clash between Dečić and FK Liepaja, both teams will be looking to secure vital points. Dečić has shown resilience in their domestic league, while FK Liepaja's recent form has been inconsistent. Key players to watch include Dečić's top scorer, who has netted five goals in the last five matches, and Liepaja's playmaker, who leads in assists. Tactical setups will likely focus on midfield control, with both teams needing to capitalize on set pieces to break the deadlock. The outcome will hinge on the effectiveness of their attacking strategies and defensive solidity.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FK Liepaja goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	12	9	4	2
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	4	6	4	2	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Dečić goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

46%

Draw

30%

Home Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

46%

Draw

30%

Home Win

24%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

66% Away (No Draw) 34% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Away Win by 2+ 9% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

46% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 24% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.8%	11.5%	9.4%	4.5%	1.6%
1	7.2%	14.3%	9.0%	4.3%	1.5%
2	4.2%	6.1%	4.3%	2.1%	0.7%
3	1.4%	1.9%	1.4%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Dečić	Draw	FK Liepaja
Dečić	13.4%	4.2%	2.1%
Draw	9.9%	19.7%	17.3%
FK Liepaja	1.3%	4.1%	28.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Dečić vs FK Liepaja

0 Dečić Wins

0 Draws

1 FK Liepaja Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 Jul 2026	FK Liepaja	1 - 0	Dečić

Dečić — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Mornar	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	A Sutjeska	L	2 - 0
09 Sep	H Petrovac	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Mladost DG	L	2 - 0
30 Aug	H Jezero	W	2 - 1

FK Liepaja — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H BFC Daugavpils	D	0 - 0
11 Sep	A Ogre United	D	2 - 2
07 Sep	A Rīgas FS	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	H Riga	W	3 - 2
25 Aug	A Auda	L	1 - 0

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

FK Liepaja

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Andreas Alm

24 Oss

28 Korobenko

33 Korotkovs

2 Straalman

35 Sorokins

6 Ekou

32 Strumia

55 Cardoso

44 Leidsman

23 Haïdara

18 Ede

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
24	Davis Oss	G
35	Vladislavs Sorokins	D
2	Bart Straalman	D
33	Ilja Korotkovs	D
28	Andriy Korobenko	M
32	Leonel Strumia	M
6	Rodolphe Ekou	M
23	Amar Haïdara	M
44	Kyvon Leidsman	F
55	Fellipe Vieira Cardoso	M
18	Joseph Oloko Ede	F

Substitutes

12	Danijel Petković	G
3	Kirils Iljins	D
26	Vjačeslavs Isajevs	D
7	Abiodun Ogunniyi	M
14	Djibril Gueye	M
29	Lauris Lakutis	M
40	Roberts Untulis	M
9	Ingars Pulis	F

Dečić

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Ivan Brnovic

25 Radosevic

18 Maraš

29 Braunović

17 Ujkaj

22 Dresaj

8 Ćetković

27 Kontić

14 Adžović

11 Đuranović

23 Stanisavic

32 Radusinović

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
25	Danilo Radosevic	G
22	Jonathan Dresaj	D
17	Leon Ujkaj	D
29	Nikola Braunović	D
18	Lazar Maraš	D
14	Aldin Adžović	M
27	Davor Kontić	M
8	Aleksa Ćetković	M
32	Balša Radusinović	M
23	Sinisa Stanisavic	F
11	Uroš Đuranović	F

Substitutes

33	Miloš Dragojević	G
4	Ardian Vuljaj	D
50	Jovan Mugosa	D
72	Petar Ivanović	D
77	Halil Kajoshaj	D
15	Pjeter Ljuljduraj	D
7	Mario Gjolaj	M
16	Matija Božanović	M
88	Medo Jukovic	M
74	Petar Pavlićević	M
9	Ilir Camaj	F
10	Mark Djokaj	F