Larne vs Tre Fiori Prediction
Larne vs Tre Fiori prediction: Sportiko gives Larne a 65% chance of winning, Tre Fiori 12% and the draw 23%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.
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Premium- 2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
- Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Match Report
Larne edged past Tre Fiori 2–1 in a feisty UEFA Champions League first qualifying round tie, despite spending much of the match on the back foot. Tre Fiori opened the scoring in the 11th minute, but Larne levelled through M. Ridley just before the half-hour mark, sending the sides into the break level at 1–1. The visitors dominated possession with 68% and registered 12 total shots to Larne's seven, yet struggled to convert their territorial advantage into goals.
The second half proved ill-tempered, with a flurry of yellow cards distributed to both sides. Tre Fiori's Simone Rea was dismissed after picking up two bookings in quick succession at the 63rd minute, reducing the visitors to ten men. Larne capitalised almost immediately, with D. Bent converting a penalty in the 69th minute to put the hosts ahead. A second red card followed late on as the game grew increasingly fractious in its closing stages.
The result, which our pre-match AI model had rated most likely at 65%, sends Larne through to the next round on the strength of a disciplined, if hard-fought, home performance.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Larne
Match Stats
Larne
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 D. Bent D | 0.0 | 90' | 1 | – | – | – | – |
| 47 J. Simpson D | 0.0 | 10' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 9 P. O'Neill F | 0.0 | 10' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 22 J. McEneff M | 0.0 | 32' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 7 C. McKendry F | 0.0 | 58' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 3 M. Ridley D | 0.0 | 90' | 1 | – | – | – | – |
| 1 R. Ferguson G | 0.0 | 90' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 23 T. Cosgrove D | 0.0 | 90' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 15 R. Doherty M | 0.0 | 76' | – | 1 | – | – | – |
| 6 C. Gallagher M | 0.0 | 90' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 11 S. Graham M | 0.0 | 80' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 30 M. Lusty F | 0.0 | 80' | – | – | – | – | – |
Tre Fiori
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 L. Terenzi M | 0.0 | 7' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 8 L. Censoni M | 0.0 | 7' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 3 M. Sancisi D | 0.0 | 90' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 4 Brando Sami M | 0.0 | 90' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 5 Simone Rea D | 0.0 | 63' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20 F. Benedettini M | 0.0 | 90' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 17 M. Nardi G | 0.0 | 90' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 2 A. D'Addario D | 0.0 | 59' | – | – | – | – | – |
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Larne vs Tre Fiori
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul 2026 | Tre Fiori | 0 - 1 | Larne |
Larne — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Carrick Rangers | W | 2 - 5 |
| 15 Sep | H Cliftonville FC | W | 2 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | A Portadown | W | 0 - 2 |
| 08 Sep | H Bangor | W | 1 - 0 |
| 04 Sep | H Glentoran | W | 2 - 1 |
Tre Fiori — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | H Virtus | L | 2 - 3 |
| 11 Sep | H Domagnano | W | 3 - 0 |
| 08 Sep | A Fiorentino | W | 0 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | A Faetano | W | 0 - 4 |
| 30 Aug | H Pennarossa | W | 5 - 2 |
UEFA Champions League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Tre Fiori
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Matteo Cecchetti
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Michele Nardi | G |
| 2 | Alessandro D'Addario | D |
| 6 | Tom Syku | D |
| 5 | Simone Rea | D |
| 3 | Mattia Sancisi | D |
| 4 | Brando Sami | M |
| 29 | Romeo Bertani | M |
| 20 | Federico Benedettini | M |
| 76 | Nico Manara | F |
| 24 | Pietro Mengucci | D |
| 9 | Matteo Prandelli | F |
Substitutes
| 99 | Giulio Ponticelli | D |
| 27 | Mohamed Ben Kacem | F |
| 10 | Tommaso Bernardi | F |
| 28 | Luca Terenzi | D |
| 8 | Luca Censoni | M |
| 25 | Alex Castagnoli | G |
| 12 | Federico Pesaresi | D |
| 23 | Alex Sirri | D |
| 16 | Federico Dolcini | M |
Larne
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Gary Haveron
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohan Ferguson | G |
| 23 | Tomas Cosgrove | D |
| 26 | Dan Bent | M |
| 3 | Matt Ridley | D |
| 4 | Aaron Donnelly | D |
| 6 | Chris Gallagher | M |
| 15 | Ronan Doherty | M |
| 11 | Sean Graham | D |
| 7 | Conor McKendry | M |
| 45 | Montel Gibson | F |
| 30 | Matthew Lusty | F |
Substitutes
| 22 | Jordan McEneff | M |
| 19 | Kevin O'Hara | F |
| 25 | Dylan Sloan | M |
| 47 | James Simpson | M |
| 9 | Paul O'Neill | F |
| 36 | Dylan Graham | G |
| 31 | Daniel Collett | G |
| 2 | Logan Wallace | D |
| 14 | Benji Magee | M |
| 17 | Joshua Ukek | M |