KuPS vs Vardar Skopje Prediction

UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League · 1st Qualifying Round
FT
Post on X
2 : 3
HT 0 - 0
1st leg 2-0 · Aggregate 4-3
AI call KuPS to win or draw
67%
23%
10%
Home Win Draw Away Win

KuPS vs Vardar Skopje prediction: Sportiko gives KuPS a 67% chance of winning, Vardar Skopje 10% and the draw 23%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

Premium picks

Premium
  • Under 3.5 Goals 75%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Match Report

KuPS vs Vardar Skopje ended in a 3–2 victory for the Macedonian visitors after a dramatic extra-time encounter in the UEFA Champions League first qualifying round. The opening 45 minutes passed without a goal, though both sides picked up yellow cards late in the half, with Vardar's V. Gasc among those cautioned just before the break.

The second half proved far more eventful. An own goal on 59 minutes opened the scoring, and the match remained tense through a flurry of substitutions on both sides. A penalty in the first minute of stoppage time levelled or extended the drama heading into extra time, where the game truly came alive. B. Armah scored at the 100-minute mark, a further goal followed shortly after, and a second penalty — converted at 105+1 — completed the scoring across a chaotic closing period that also saw multiple additional yellow cards brandished.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a KuPS win as most likely at 67%, a call that proved wide of the mark as Vardar held their nerve to progress.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Yellow Card
24' ▮
V. Gasc Yellow Card
44' ▮
▮ 44'
Yellow Card
HT 0–0
46' ⇄
G. Engvall
58' ⇄
58' ⇄
⚽ 0–1 59'
Own Goal
⇄ 74'
⇄ 74'
⇄ 85'
▮ 87'
Yellow Card
▮ 88'
Yellow Card
⚽ 0–2 90+1'
Penalty
⇄ 90+5'
Yellow Card
90+6' ▮
Yellow Card
90+11' ▮
⇄ 93'
B. Armah assist: C. Antwi
100' ⚽ 1–2
⚽ 1–3 102'
Penalty
105+1' ⚽ 2–3
⇄ A. Lötjönen
105+2' ⇄
⇄ 106'
P. Pennanen ⇄ N. Kujasalo
111' ⇄
B. Armah ⇄ J. Luyeye-Lutumba
111' ⇄
▮ 113'
Yellow Card
FT 2–3
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Confidence Medium (67%)

At a glance

Our lean
KuPS to win or draw
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KuPS
WDDLW
Vardar Skopje
WDWWD
Last 1 meetings KuPS · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In this UEFA Champions League match, KuPS faces Vardar Skopje, with both teams aiming to solidify their positions in the group stage. KuPS has shown a strong defensive record in recent matches, conceding only 0.8 goals per game on average this season. Meanwhile, Vardar Skopje has been effective in attack, averaging 1.6 goals per game. The outcome will likely hinge on KuPS's ability to contain Vardar's offense while exploiting any defensive vulnerabilities. A closely contested match is anticipated.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: KuPS vs Vardar Skopje

1 KuPS Wins
0 Draws
0 Vardar Skopje Wins
Date Home Score Away
07 Jul 2026 Vardar Skopje 0 - 2 KuPS

KuPS — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A VPS W 0 - 2
13 Sep H HJK Helsinki D 0 - 0
08 Sep A Gnistan D 1 - 1
31 Aug A Inter Turku L 1 - 0
27 Aug H Shamrock Rovers W 1 - 0

Vardar Skopje — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Shkëndija Haraçinë W 2 - 0
12 Sep A Bashkimi Kumanovo D 3 - 3
07 Sep H Aresimi W 2 - 0
03 Sep A Ovce Pole W 0 - 5
31 Aug A Tikveš D 1 - 1

UEFA Champions League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
1 1 0 0 +5 3
2
Bayern München
1 1 0 0 +5 3
3
Barcelona
1 1 0 0 +4 3
4
Manchester United
1 1 0 0 +4 3
5
Como
1 1 0 0 +3 3
6
VfB Stuttgart
1 1 0 0 +2 3
7
Sporting CP
1 1 0 0 +2 3
8
Manchester City
1 1 0 0 +2 3
9
Aston Villa
1 1 0 0 +1 3
10
Lens
1 1 0 0 +1 3
11
Real Betis
1 1 0 0 +1 3
12
Borussia Dortmund
1 1 0 0 +1 3
13
Liverpool
1 1 0 0 +1 3
14
Real Madrid
1 1 0 0 +1 3
15
Arsenal
1 1 0 0 +1 3
16
AEK Athens FC
1 1 0 0 +1 3
17
AS Roma
1 0 1 0 0 1
18
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 0 1 0 0 1
19
PSV Eindhoven
1 0 1 0 0 1
20
Fenerbahçe
1 0 1 0 0 1
21
Villarreal
1 0 0 1 -1 0
22
Lille
1 0 0 1 -1 0
23
Slavia Praha
1 0 0 1 -1 0
24
Club Brugge KV
1 0 0 1 -1 0
25
Inter
1 0 0 1 -1 0
26
Atletico Madrid
1 0 0 1 -1 0
27
Napoli
1 0 0 1 -1 0
28
Lask Linz
1 0 0 1 -1 0
29
Viking
1 0 0 1 -2 0
30
Galatasaray
1 0 0 1 -2 0
31
FC Porto
1 0 0 1 -2 0
32
RB Leipzig
1 0 0 1 -3 0
33
Feyenoord
1 0 0 1 -4 0
34
Sabah FA
1 0 0 1 -4 0
35
Slovan Bratislava
1 0 0 1 -5 0
36
Bodo/Glimt
1 0 0 1 -5 0

KuPS

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Miika Nuutinen
1 Kreidl
25 Antwi
4 Adams
28 Magassa
29 Puukko
10 Gasc
8 Pennanen
24 Armah
9 Engvall
16 Jyry
11 Moreno

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Johannes Kreidl G
29 Akseli Puukko D
28 Brahima Magassa D
4 Kasim Adams D
25 Clinton Antwi D
8 Petteri Pennanen M
10 Valentín Gasc M
16 Tommi Jyry M
9 Gustav Engvall F
24 Bob Nii Armah D
11 Jaime Moreno F

Substitutes

6 Saku Savolainen D
22 Saikou Touray M
20 Piotr Parzyszek F
12 Hemmo Riihimäki G
37 Kasperi Silen G
23 Arttu Lötjönen D
33 Taneli Hämäläinen D
3 Saku Heiskanen M
13 Niilo Kujasalo M
17 Arttu Heinonen M
21 Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba M
26 Aaro Toivonen M
7 Jerry Voutilainen M

Vardar Skopje

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Cristian Fabbiani
95 Taleski
3 Manevski
4 Matić
14 Velkovski
5 Najdovski
21 Jankulov
7 Rodrigues
32 Castañeda
8 Nikolov
71 Pires
9 Omeragikj

Starting XI

# Player Pos
95 Davor Taleski G
21 Georgije Jankulov D
5 Filip Najdovski D
14 Darko Velkovski D
4 Mislav Matić D
3 Mihail Manevski D
71 Miguel Pires M
8 Boban Nikolov M
32 Diego Castañeda M
7 Gerson Rodrigues F
9 Azer Omeragikj F

Substitutes

1 Daniel Dikovski G
18 Nenad Miskovski D
27 Filip Cvetkovski D
6 David Babunski M
22 Dimitar Todorovski M
23 Filip Duranski M
34 Ian Puleio M
10 Goran Zakarić F
17 Ediz Spahiu F
31 Ivo Markovski F
49 Dimitar Danev F

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