Switzerland vs Colombia Prediction

World Cup · Round of 16

Post on X

Colombia

Away

BC Place, Vancouver, British Columbia

AI call Colombia or draw

26%

29%

45%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Switzerland vs Colombia prediction: Sportiko gives Switzerland a 26% chance of winning, Colombia 45% and the draw 29%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Under 3.5 Goals 74%
2nd Half Over 0.5 74%

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Match Report

Switzerland and Colombia played out a tense, goalless 90 minutes in this World Cup Round of 16 clash, with both sides showing considerable caution. Colombia edged possession at 51% and created the better chances, registering an expected goals figure of 0.25 against Switzerland's remarkably low 0.06, though neither goalkeeper was seriously tested in normal time. A flurry of yellow cards — including bookings for Xhaka, Zakaria, and Luis Javier Suárez in a fractious mid-game spell — underlined the match's competitive edge.

Extra time failed to produce a breakthrough despite a succession of substitutions from both benches, sending the tie to a penalty shootout. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Colombia win as the most likely outcome at 45%, a call that proved correct. In a dramatic shootout, Davinson Sánchez, Manuel Akanji, and Cucho Hernández all missed their spot-kicks, while Quintero, Xhaka, Campaz, Itten, Luis Díaz, and Vargas all converted.

Colombia advance to the quarter-finals after a shootout that ultimately punished Switzerland's wastefulness from the spot, with Akanji's miss proving the decisive moment.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0

Ardon Jashari ⇄ Djibril Sow

46' ⇄

Granit Xhaka Yellow Card

51' ▮

Denis Zakaria Yellow Card

59' ▮

▮ 60'

Luis Javier Suárez Yellow Card

⇄ 66'

James Rodríguez ⇄ Juan Fernando Quintero

⇄ 66'

Jhon Arias ⇄ Jaminton Campaz

Ricardo Rodríguez ⇄ Miro Muheim

71' ⇄

⇄ 82'

Luis Javier Suárez ⇄ Cucho Hernández

⇄ 82'

Jefferson Lerma ⇄ Richard Ríos

Breel Embolo ⇄ Cédric Itten

87' ⇄

Denis Zakaria ⇄ Silvan Widmer

87' ⇄

Dan Ndoye ⇄ Rubén Vargas

90+2' ⇄

▮ 95'

Davinson Sánchez Yellow Card

Fabian Rieder ⇄ Zeki Amdouni

103' ⇄

Miro Muheim Yellow Card

105' ▮

⇄ 119'

Jhon Lucumí ⇄ Yerry Mina

⚽ 0–1 120+1'

Juan Fernando Quintero Penalty

Granit Xhaka Penalty

120+1' ⚽ 1–1

✗ 120+2'

Davinson Sánchez Missed Penalty

Zeki Amdouni Penalty

120+2' ⚽ 2–1

⚽ 2–2 120+3'

Jaminton Campaz Penalty

Manuel Akanji Missed Penalty

120+3' ✗

✗ 120+4'

Cucho Hernández Missed Penalty

Cédric Itten Penalty

120+4' ⚽ 3–2

⚽ 3–3 120+5'

Luis Díaz Penalty

Rubén Vargas Penalty

120+5' ⚽ 4–3

FT 0–0

Switzerland

Match Stats

Colombia

49% Ball Possession 51%

0.06 Expected Goals (xG) 0.25

2 Total Shots 5

2 Shots on Goal 1

0 Shots off Goal 1

0 Blocked Shots 3

2 Shots insidebox 3

0 Shots outsidebox 2

1 Corner Kicks 4

1 Offsides 1

6 Fouls 6

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 2

248 Total passes 256

217 Passes accurate 218

88% Passes % 85%

0.17 goals_prevented 0.17

Switzerland

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Gregor Kobel G	7.2	49'	–	–	–	15 (13%)	–
10 Granit Xhaka M	7.0	49'	–	–	–	36 (33%)	–
6 Denis Zakaria D	6.9	49'	–	–	–	17 (14%)	1
5 Manuel Akanji D	6.9	49'	–	–	–	47 (46%)	1
4 Nico Elvedi D	6.9	49'	–	–	–	51 (44%)	–
8 Remo Freuler M	6.9	49'	–	–	–	32 (28%)	–
11 Dan Ndoye M	6.7	49'	–	–	1	4 (3%)	1
13 Ricardo Rodríguez D	6.5	49'	–	–	–	15 (14%)	1
7 Breel Embolo F	6.5	49'	–	–	–	9 (7%)	–
14 Ardon Jashari M	6.3	49'	–	–	–	19 (12%)	1
22 Fabian Rieder M	6.2	49'	–	–	1	8 (5%)	1

Colombia

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
17 Johan Mojica D	7.0	49'	–	–	–	20 (13%)	2
11 Jhon Arias M	7.0	49'	–	–	–	28 (25%)	4
12 Camilo Vargas G	6.9	49'	–	–	–	21 (17%)	–
16 Jefferson Lerma M	6.9	49'	–	–	–	40 (36%)	2
3 Jhon Lucumí D	6.7	49'	–	–	–	24 (21%)	–
10 James Rodríguez F	6.7	49'	–	–	–	20 (16%)	1
2 Daniel Muñoz D	6.5	49'	–	–	–	26 (25%)	–
23 Davinson Sánchez D	6.5	49'	–	–	–	41 (33%)	–
25 Luis Javier Suárez F	6.5	49'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
14 Gustavo Puerta M	6.3	49'	–	–	2	25 (21%)	–
7 Luis Díaz M	6.3	49'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	1

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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Our lean

Colombia or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Switzerland

LDWWW

Colombia

DWDWW

Match summary

Switzerland and Colombia face off in a crucial World Cup clash, with both teams showcasing strong tactical approaches. Switzerland, ranked 14th, boasts a solid defensive record, allowing just 0.8 goals per match in qualifiers. Colombia, sitting at 17th, relies on their attacking prowess, averaging 1.9 goals per game during their qualification campaign. Both squads will aim to control midfield play, making ball possession and set pieces critical. Expect a tightly contested match as both teams seek to secure vital points in a competitive group stage.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Colombia goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	10	8	4	2
1	7	14	9	5	2	1
2	5	7	5	2	1
3	2	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ Switzerland goals · most likely 1–1 (14.0%)

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Players in form

Switzerland

J. Manzambi 3 gls

Colombia

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

45%

Draw

29%

Home Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

45%

Draw

29%

Home Win

26%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

63% Away (No Draw) 37% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Away Win by 2+ 11% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 26% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.2%	9.7%	8.5%	4.2%	1.6%
1	6.7%	14.0%	9.2%	4.6%	1.7%
2	4.5%	6.7%	5.0%	2.5%	0.9%
3	1.6%	2.5%	1.8%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.5%	0.7%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Switzerland	Draw	Colombia
Switzerland	15.0%	4.4%	2.2%
Draw	10.4%	18.4%	16.4%
Colombia	1.6%	4.3%	27.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Switzerland vs Colombia

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Switzerland — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
12 Jul	A Argentina	L	3 - 1
07 Jul	H Colombia	D	0 - 0
03 Jul	H Algeria	W	2 - 0
24 Jun	H Canada	W	2 - 1
18 Jun	H Bosnia & Herzegovina	W	4 - 1

Colombia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Jul	A Switzerland	D	0 - 0
04 Jul	H Ghana	W	1 - 0
27 Jun	H Portugal	D	0 - 0
24 Jun	H Congo DR	W	1 - 0
18 Jun	A Uzbekistan	W	1 - 3

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Switzerland

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Murat Yakin

1 Kobel

13 Rodríguez

5 Akanji

4 Elvedi

6 Zakaria

10 Xhaka

8 Freuler

11 Ndoye

14 Jashari

22 Rieder

7 Embolo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Gregor Kobel	G
6	Denis Zakaria	D
4	Nico Elvedi	D
5	Manuel Akanji	D
13	Ricardo Rodríguez	D
8	Remo Freuler	M
10	Granit Xhaka	M
22	Fabian Rieder	M
14	Ardon Jashari	M
11	Dan Ndoye	M
7	Breel Embolo	F

Substitutes

12	Yvon Mvogo	G
21	Marvin Keller	G
18	Eray Cömert	D
24	Aurèle Amenda	D
2	Miro Muheim	D
3	Silvan Widmer	D
15	Djibril Sow	M
16	Christian Fassnacht	M
17	Rubén Vargas	M
19	Noah Okafor	F
23	Zeki Amdouni	F
26	Cédric Itten	F

Colombia

Formation: 4-4-1-1 Coach: Nestor Lorenzo

12 Vargas

17 Mojica

3 Lucumí

23 Sánchez

2 Muñoz

7 Díaz

14 Puerta

16 Lerma

11 Arias

10 Rodríguez

25 Suárez

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Camilo Vargas	G
2	Daniel Muñoz	D
23	Davinson Sánchez	D
3	Jhon Lucumí	D
17	Johan Mojica	D
11	Jhon Arias	M
16	Jefferson Lerma	M
14	Gustavo Puerta	M
7	Luis Díaz	M
10	James Rodríguez	F
25	Luis Javier Suárez	F

Substitutes

1	David Ospina	G
24	Álvaro Montero	G
4	Santiago Arias	D
13	Yerry Mina	D
18	Willer Ditta	D
22	Deiver Machado	D
5	Kevin Castaño	M
6	Richard Ríos	M
8	Jorge Carrascal	M
15	Juan Portilla	M
20	Juan Fernando Quintero	M
26	Andrés Gómez	F
21	Jaminton Campaz	M
9	Jhon Córdoba	F
19	Cucho Hernández	F