Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Prediction

Esiliiga A · Regular Season - 25

Post on X

Maardu

Away

Kadrioru staadion, Tallinn

AI call Difficult Tallinna Kalev win or draw

51%

23%

26%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu prediction: Sportiko gives Tallinna Kalev a 51% chance of winning, Maardu 26% and the draw 23%. Last updated 24 Aug 2026, 17:52.

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1st Half Over 0.5 76%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 14'

⚽ 0–2 24'

Red Card

28' ▮

✗ 35'

Missed Penalty

HT 0–2

63' ⚽ 1–2

⚽ 1–3 66'

FT 1–3

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Confidence Medium (51%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Tallinna Kalev win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 10.8%

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

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Tallinna Kalev

LDLDL

Maardu

WWWWL

Match summary

In the upcoming Esiliiga A match, Tallinna Kalev will face off against Maardu. Tallinna Kalev has shown a solid offensive performance, averaging 1.5 goals per match this season, while Maardu's defense has struggled, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. Both teams have fluctuated in form, but Kalev's home record indicates a slight edge in their overall performance metrics. Key players to watch include Kalev’s leading scorer, who has netted 8 goals this season, and Maardu’s playmaker, who has contributed significantly in assists. This clash could hinge on Kalev's ability to capitalize on defensive lapses from Maardu.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

51%

45%

Draw

23%

45%

Away

26%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Maardu goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5	3	3	1
1	7	11	6	2	1
2	8	10	6	2	1
3	6	7	4	2
4	3	4	2	1
5	1	2	1

↑ Tallinna Kalev goals · most likely 1–1 (10.8%)

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Away Win

26%

Draw

23%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

37%

2.5

63%

60%

3.5

40%

78%

4.5

22%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Away Win

26%

Draw

23%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

74% Home (No Draw) 26% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

56% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 20% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

37%

2.5

63%

60%

3.5

40%

78%

4.5

22%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

22%

23%

19%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.1%	3.3%	2.7%	1.1%	0.3%
1	6.9%	10.8%	5.7%	2.2%	0.7%
2	8.5%	10.0%	5.9%	2.3%	0.7%
3	5.9%	7.0%	4.1%	1.6%	0.5%
4	3.1%	3.6%	2.2%	0.9%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

24%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

45%

1.5

55%

73%

2.5

27%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

18%

27%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Tallinna Kalev	Draw	Maardu
Tallinna Kalev	36.8%	4.1%	1.6%
Draw	18.0%	13.5%	7.5%
Maardu	3.2%	4.1%	11.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

39%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Home Exact Goals

13%

26%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Tallinna Kalev — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Sep	A Elva	L	3 - 2
18 Sep	H Flora II	D	2 - 2
10 Sep	A Nõmme United II	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Tartu Welco	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	A Flora II	L	5 - 0

Maardu — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Sep	H Nõmme United II	W	2 - 1
29 Aug	H FCI Levadia II	W	4 - 2
24 Aug	A Tallinna Kalev	W	1 - 3
15 Aug	H FC Tallinn	W	1 - 0
08 Aug	H Viimsi	L	1 - 2

Esiliiga A Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.