Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 1st Qualifying Round

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Pyunik Yerevan

Away

AI call Pyunik Yerevan or draw

29%

30%

41%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan prediction: Sportiko gives Marsaxlokk a 29% chance of winning, Pyunik Yerevan 41% and the draw 30%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Away to Score 75%
Under 3.5 Goals 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 74%

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Timeline

23' ⇄

Yellow Card

40' ▮

⚽ 0–1 41'

Penalty

HT 0–1

⚽ 0–2 51'

54' ⇄

⇄ 62'

⚽ 0–3 65'

66' ⇄

⇄ 69'

⇄ 83'

Yellow Card

90+4' ▮

FT 0–3

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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Our lean

Pyunik Yerevan or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Marsaxlokk

LWDWW

Pyunik Yerevan

DWWWW

Last 1 meetings Marsaxlokk · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League clash, Marsaxlokk faces Pyunik Yerevan. Marsaxlokk has shown solid form in recent domestic matches, boasting a strong attacking line with an average of 2 goals per game. Conversely, Pyunik Yerevan's defense has been resilient, conceding only 0.8 goals per game in their last five outings. Key players to watch include Marsaxlokk's top scorer, who has netted 10 goals this season, and Pyunik's goalkeeper, who has maintained a commendable save percentage of 78%. This match could hinge on whether Marsaxlokk can break through Pyunik's organized defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Pyunik Yerevan goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	10	8	4	1
1	7	14	9	4	1
2	5	7	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Marsaxlokk goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Draw

30%

Home Win

29%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Draw

30%

Home Win

29%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

59% Away (No Draw) 41% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 29% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	9.6%	7.8%	3.6%	1.3%
1	7.5%	14.3%	8.8%	4.1%	1.4%
2	5.2%	7.2%	5.0%	2.3%	0.8%
3	1.9%	2.7%	1.9%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.6%	0.8%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Marsaxlokk	Draw	Pyunik Yerevan
Marsaxlokk	16.8%	4.5%	2.1%
Draw	11.4%	19.1%	15.6%
Pyunik Yerevan	1.6%	4.3%	24.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan

0 Marsaxlokk Wins

0 Draws

1 Pyunik Yerevan Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 Jul 2026	Pyunik Yerevan	1 - 0	Marsaxlokk

Marsaxlokk — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Hamrun Spartans	L	4 - 1
12 Sep	A Floriana	W	2 - 5
05 Sep	H Mosta	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	A Valletta FC	W	1 - 2
21 Aug	H Hibernians	W	1 - 0

Pyunik Yerevan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Alashkert	D	3 - 3
13 Sep	H Shirak	W	2 - 0
09 Sep	A Sardarapat	W	2 - 4
31 Aug	H Ararat-Armenia	W	2 - 1
21 Aug	A Ararat	W	0 - 2

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.