Velež vs Milsami Orhei Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 1st Qualifying Round

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Milsami Orhei

Away

AI call Velež or draw

46%

31%

23%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Velež vs Milsami Orhei prediction: Sportiko gives Velež a 46% chance of winning, Milsami Orhei 23% and the draw 31%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Home to Score 74%

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Timeline

▮ 30'

Yellow Card

▮ 39'

Yellow Card

HT 0–0

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Yellow Card

53' ▮

⚽ 0–1 54'

65' ⇄

⇄ 67'

Yellow Card

68' ▮

⇄ 74'

▮ 76'

Yellow Card

80' ⇄

Yellow Card

81' ▮

Yellow Card

84' ▮

⇄ 90+1'

90+2' ⚽ 1–1

90+4' ⇄

FT 1–1

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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Our lean

Velež or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Velež

LWLDL

Milsami Orhei

WLWDW

Last 1 meetings Velež · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League clash, Velež faces Milsami Orhei. Velež has shown solid form in recent matches, boasting a strong home record with an average of 2 goals scored per game. Milsami Orhei, however, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match in away fixtures this season. The match will likely hinge on Velež's ability to capitalize on their offensive prowess against a vulnerable Milsami defense. Expect a tactical battle with Velež aiming to control possession and create scoring opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Milsami Orhei goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	13	8	4	1
1	13	15	6	2
2	10	9	4	1
3	4	4	2
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Velež goals · most likely 1–1 (14.5%)

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

31%

Away Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

31%

Away Win

23%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

67% Home (No Draw) 33% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

46% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 23% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.6%	7.9%	4.2%	1.2%	0.3%
1	12.9%	14.5%	5.7%	1.7%	0.4%
2	9.8%	8.6%	3.8%	1.1%	0.2%
3	4.4%	3.8%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
4	1.5%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Velež	Draw	Milsami Orhei
Velež	27.4%	4.0%	1.1%
Draw	17.6%	21.2%	9.7%
Milsami Orhei	1.9%	4.1%	13.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Velež vs Milsami Orhei

1 Velež Wins

0 Draws

0 Milsami Orhei Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 Jul 2026	Milsami Orhei	0 - 1	Velež

Velež — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Zrinjski	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H FK Sarajevo	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	L	3 - 1
02 Sep	H Radnik Bijeljina	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	A Čelik	L	3 - 0

Milsami Orhei — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Sireți	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	H Sheriff Tiraspol	L	0 - 1
06 Sep	A CSF Bălți	W	1 - 3
30 Aug	A Dacia-Buiucani	D	0 - 0
22 Aug	H Petrocub	W	1 - 0

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.