Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 1st Qualifying Round

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Yelimay Semey

Away

AI call Alashkert or draw

38%

31%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey prediction: Sportiko gives Alashkert a 38% chance of winning, Yelimay Semey 31% and the draw 31%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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1st Half Home or Draw 76%
Home to Score 71%
2nd Half Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

⇄ 17'

▮ 45+4'

Yellow Card

45+4' ▮

Yellow Card

45+4' ▮

HT 0–0

46' ⇄

50' ⇄

▮ 55'

Yellow Card

⚽ 0–1 60'

▮ 72'

Yellow Card

⇄ 77'

78' ⇄

84' ⇄

86' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 90+4'

▮ 90+11'

Yellow Card

FT 1–1

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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Our lean

Alashkert or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.9%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Alashkert

DDWDW

Yelimay Semey

WWLLD

Last 1 meetings Alashkert · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

In this UEFA Europa Conference League matchup, Alashkert faces Yelimay Semey. Alashkert's recent form shows a solid defensive record, conceding only 10 goals in their last 10 matches, which could pose challenges for Yelimay's attack. Conversely, Yelimay Semey has struggled on the road, averaging 1.2 goals per match away from home. The key will be whether Alashkert can capitalize on set pieces, given Yelimay's tendency to concede from dead-ball situations. Overall, Alashkert will look to leverage their defensive strength to secure a crucial victory in this knockout stage.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Yelimay Semey goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	9	6	2	1
1	10	15	7	3	1
2	7	8	5	2
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Alashkert goals · most likely 1–1 (14.8%)

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

31%

Away Win

31%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

31%

Away Win

31%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

55% Home (No Draw) 45% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 31% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.2%	8.8%	5.8%	2.2%	0.6%
1	10.1%	14.9%	7.3%	2.7%	0.8%
2	7.4%	8.2%	4.6%	1.7%	0.5%
3	3.1%	3.4%	1.9%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.0%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Alashkert	Draw	Yelimay Semey
Alashkert	22.3%	4.3%	1.6%
Draw	14.7%	20.4%	12.4%
Yelimay Semey	1.9%	4.4%	18.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey

0 Alashkert Wins

1 Draws

0 Yelimay Semey Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 Jul 2026	Yelimay Semey	1 - 1	Alashkert

Alashkert — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Pyunik Yerevan	D	3 - 3
13 Sep	A Sardarapat	D	1 - 1
03 Sep	H Van	W	4 - 0
28 Aug	A FC Urartu	D	1 - 1
21 Aug	H Gandzasar	W	3 - 0

Yelimay Semey — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	A FK Tobol Kostanay	W	0 - 2
12 Sep	H Zhetysu	W	2 - 1
06 Sep	A FC Astana	L	4 - 0
31 Aug	H Kairat Almaty	L	0 - 2
16 Aug	A Kaspiy	D	2 - 2

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.