FC Differdange 03 vs Ilves Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 1st Qualifying Round

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Ilves

Away

AI call Difficult FC Differdange 03 win or draw

53%

28%

20%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Differdange 03 vs Ilves prediction: Sportiko gives FC Differdange 03 a 53% chance of winning, Ilves 20% and the draw 28%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Under 3.5 Goals 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 74%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

17' ▮

20' ⇄

HT 0–0

⇄ 62'

Y. Raap ⇄ O. Tiitinen

⇄ 62'

J. Veteli ⇄ J. Kilo

63' ⇄

▮ 65'

J. Kilo Yellow Card

⇄ 70'

T. Miettunen ⇄ S. Väisänen

81' ⇄

82' ⇄

⇄ 82'

A. Popovitch ⇄ R. Riski

⇄ 82'

K. Wallius ⇄ S. Baranov

▮ 85'

M. Rale Yellow Card

▮ 90'

J. Kanga Yellow Card

FT 0–0

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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult FC Differdange 03 win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.3%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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FC Differdange 03

WWWWW

Ilves

WWWLL

Last 1 meetings FC Differdange 03 · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League match between FC Differdange 03 and Ilves, both teams will look to capitalize on their tactical strengths. FC Differdange 03 has shown resilience in previous matches, with a solid defensive record at home, while Ilves has been effective in counter-attacking situations. Key players to watch include Differdange's playmaker who has contributed significantly to their goal tally, and Ilves' leading scorer, known for his pace and finishing ability. The outcome will likely hinge on which team can control the midfield and create clear goal-scoring opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ilves goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	6	3	1
1	11	13	5	2
2	11	10	4	1
3	6	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ FC Differdange 03 goals · most likely 1–1 (13.3%)

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

28%

Away Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

28%

Away Win

20%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

73% Home (No Draw) 27% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

53% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 20% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.5%	5.7%	3.3%	1.0%	0.2%
1	11.4%	13.3%	5.4%	1.6%	0.4%
2	10.6%	9.6%	4.4%	1.3%	0.3%
3	5.7%	5.2%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%
4	2.3%	2.1%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Differdange 03	Draw	Ilves
FC Differdange 03	32.8%	3.9%	1.2%
Draw	18.8%	17.9%	8.1%
Ilves	2.3%	4.0%	11.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Differdange 03 vs Ilves

0 FC Differdange 03 Wins

0 Draws

1 Ilves Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 Jul 2026	Ilves	3 - 1	FC Differdange 03

FC Differdange 03 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	H Swift Hesperange	W	3 - 0
12 Sep	H Etzella Ettelbruck	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	H UN Kaerjeng 97	W	4 - 1
30 Aug	A US Hostert	W	0 - 2
23 Aug	H Racing FC Union Luxembourg	W	3 - 0

Ilves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Turku PS	W	0 - 3
12 Sep	H Lahti	W	3 - 1
08 Sep	H FF Jaro	W	2 - 0
31 Aug	H HJK Helsinki	L	1 - 2
22 Aug	H VPS	L	0 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.