AF Elbasani vs Bate Borisov Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 1st Qualifying Round

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Bate Borisov

Away

AI call Difficult AF Elbasani win or draw

54%

27%

19%

Home Win Draw Away Win

AF Elbasani vs Bate Borisov prediction: Sportiko gives AF Elbasani a 54% chance of winning, Bate Borisov 19% and the draw 27%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Over 1.5 Goals 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 75%

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Timeline

▮ 12'

Yellow Card

45+1' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

⇄ 62'

Yellow Card

65' ▮

⚽ 1–1 67'

74' ⇄

⇄ 82'

84' ⇄

89' ⇄

⇄ 90+4'

FT 1–1

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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult AF Elbasani win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.9%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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AF Elbasani

DWLDD

Bate Borisov

LDLLW

Last 1 meetings AF Elbasani · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League clash, AF Elbasani will face Bate Borisov. Elbasani enters the match with a solid home record, while Bate Borisov has shown consistency in their domestic league. Key players to watch include Elbasani's attacking threats, who will look to exploit Bate's defensive vulnerabilities. Conversely, Borisov's experienced midfield can control the game's tempo and create scoring opportunities. This matchup will be pivotal for both teams in their quest for advancement in the tournament.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bate Borisov goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	5	3	1
1	11	13	5	2
2	11	10	4	1
3	6	6	3	1
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ AF Elbasani goals · most likely 1–1 (12.9%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

27%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

27%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

75% Home (No Draw) 25% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

31% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 19% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	5.2%	3.0%	0.9%	0.2%
1	11.1%	12.9%	5.2%	1.6%	0.4%
2	10.7%	9.8%	4.5%	1.4%	0.3%
3	6.1%	5.6%	2.5%	0.8%	0.2%
4	2.6%	2.4%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AF Elbasani	Draw	Bate Borisov
AF Elbasani	34.5%	3.9%	1.1%
Draw	19.0%	17.1%	7.7%
Bate Borisov	2.4%	3.9%	10.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: AF Elbasani vs Bate Borisov

0 AF Elbasani Wins

1 Draws

0 Bate Borisov Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 Jul 2026	Bate Borisov	0 - 0	AF Elbasani

AF Elbasani — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Tirana	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Egnatia Rrogozhinë	W	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Dinamo Tirana	L	2 - 1
29 Aug	H Vllaznia Shkodër	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	A Laci	D	1 - 1

Bate Borisov — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Dinamo Minsk	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Naftan	D	2 - 2
07 Sep	A Dinamo Brest	L	1 - 0
03 Sep	A FC Isloch Minsk R.	L	2 - 0
30 Aug	H FC Minsk	W	2 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.