Switzerland vs Algeria Prediction

World Cup · Round of 32

Post on X

Algeria

Away

BC Place, Vancouver, British Columbia

AI call Difficult Switzerland win or draw

58%

27%

14%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Switzerland vs Algeria prediction: Sportiko gives Switzerland a 58% chance of winning, Algeria 14% and the draw 27%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Under 3.5 Goals 79%
2nd Half Over 0.5 71%

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Match Report

Switzerland secured a comfortable 2–0 victory over Algeria in the World Cup Round of 32, with goals in each half sealing their progression. Breel Embolo broke the deadlock in the 10th minute, giving the Swiss an early foothold despite Algeria enjoying the majority of possession throughout the contest. A yellow card for Farès Chaïbi in the 36th minute further disrupted Algerian rhythm before the break.

Dan Ndoye struck just seconds into the second half to double Switzerland's advantage, effectively ending the contest as a competitive affair. Algeria introduced Houssem Aouar and Ramiz Zerrouki on the hour mark in search of a response, followed by a quadruple change at 71 minutes that brought on Riyad Mahrez, but the Swiss defence held firm. A yellow card for Hicham Boudaoui at 72 minutes summed up Algeria's frustration.

The underlying numbers told a clear story — Switzerland's expected goals figure of 2.40 against Algeria's 0.71 reflected their clinical efficiency on the day. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Swiss win as the most likely outcome at 58%, a call that proved well-founded.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Breel Embolo assist: Johan Manzambi

10' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 36'

Farès Chaïbi Yellow Card

HT 1–0

Dan Ndoye

46' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 58'

Houssem Aouar ⇄ Jaouen Hadjam

⇄ 58'

Ramiz Zerrouki ⇄ Amine Gouiri

Rubén Vargas ⇄ Fabian Rieder

71' ⇄

Johan Manzambi ⇄ Noah Okafor

71' ⇄

⇄ 71'

Riyad Mahrez ⇄ Anis Hadj Moussa

⇄ 71'

Nabil Bentaleb ⇄ Hicham Boudaoui

▮ 72'

Hicham Boudaoui Yellow Card

⇄ 82'

Rafik Belghali ⇄ Adil Boulbina

Breel Embolo ⇄ Zeki Amdouni

83' ⇄

Dan Ndoye ⇄ Michel Aebischer

87' ⇄

Denis Zakaria ⇄ Silvan Widmer

87' ⇄

FT 2–0

Switzerland

Match Stats

Algeria

44% Ball Possession 56%

2.40 Expected Goals (xG) 0.71

9 Total Shots 7

4 Shots on Goal 2

4 Shots off Goal 3

1 Blocked Shots 2

7 Shots insidebox 4

2 Shots outsidebox 3

4 Corner Kicks 2

0 Offsides 2

10 Fouls 11

0 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 1

416 Total passes 543

339 Passes accurate 460

81% Passes % 85%

-0.35 goals_prevented -0.35

Switzerland

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 Dan Ndoye M	8.0	87'	1	–	1	20 (17%)	3
9 Johan Manzambi M	7.9	71'	–	1	–	17 (15%)	–
6 Denis Zakaria D	7.2	87'	–	–	2	29 (23%)	3
5 Manuel Akanji D	7.2	93'	–	–	–	64 (59%)	–
4 Nico Elvedi D	7.2	93'	–	–	–	60 (49%)	2
10 Granit Xhaka M	7.2	93'	–	–	–	65 (56%)	2
1 Gregor Kobel G	7.0	93'	–	–	–	34 (24%)	–
13 Ricardo Rodríguez D	7.0	93'	–	–	1	37 (32%)	2
17 Rubén Vargas M	6.9	71'	–	–	–	23 (15%)	1
7 Breel Embolo F	6.9	83'	1	–	2	12 (7%)	–
19 Noah Okafor F	6.9	22'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	2
8 Remo Freuler M	6.6	93'	–	–	–	37 (32%)	1
23 Zeki Amdouni F	6.5	10'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
22 Fabian Rieder M	6.2	22'	–	–	2	4 (2%)	1
20 Michel Aebischer M	—	6'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
3 Silvan Widmer D	—	6'	–	–	–	1	1

Algeria

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
17 Rafik Belghali D	7.2	82'	–	–	–	32 (30%)	4
13 Jaouen Hadjam D	7.2	35'	–	–	1	13 (9%)	2
15 Rayan Aït-Nouri D	6.9	93'	–	–	–	50 (43%)	6
19 Nabil Bentaleb M	6.9	71'	–	–	–	63 (55%)	2
14 Hicham Boudaoui M	6.7	22'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	–
22 Ibrahim Maza F	6.7	93'	–	–	1	29 (21%)	3
9 Amine Gouiri F	6.5	35'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
8 Houssem Aouar F	6.5	58'	–	–	2	25 (20%)	–
7 Riyad Mahrez F	6.5	71'	–	–	–	31 (24%)	–
21 Ramy Bensebaini D	6.3	93'	–	–	–	81 (74%)	1
11 Anis Hadj Moussa F	6.3	22'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
20 Adil Boulbina F	6.3	11'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
23 Luca Zidane G	6.2	93'	–	–	–	32 (24%)	–
2 Aïssa Mandi D	6.2	93'	–	–	–	77 (66%)	1
6 Ramiz Zerrouki M	6.2	58'	–	–	–	31 (27%)	–
10 Farès Chaïbi M	5.9	93'	–	–	1	54 (46%)	1

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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Switzerland win or draw

Most likely score

1:0 · 14.2%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Switzerland

LDWWW

Algeria

LDWL

Match summary

Switzerland faces Algeria in a critical World Cup clash, both teams coming in with distinct strengths. Switzerland has demonstrated solid defensive capabilities, allowing only 0.75 goals per match in recent qualifiers, while their midfield showcases a balanced blend of creativity and physicality. Algeria, on the other hand, boasts a potent attacking force, averaging 2.1 goals per game in their last five outings, driven by a dynamic front line. The matchup will likely hinge on Switzerland's ability to contain Algeria's pace while capitalizing on set-piece opportunities. Both teams will be eager to secure vital points in this tournament setting.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

58%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

14%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Algeria goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	5	2	1
1	14	13	4	1
2	13	9	3	1
3	7	5	2
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Switzerland goals · most likely 1–0 (14.2%)

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Players in form

Switzerland

J. Manzambi 3 gls

Algeria

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

27%

Away Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

27%

Away Win

14%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

80% Home (No Draw) 20% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

33% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

58% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 14% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.9%	5.2%	2.4%	0.6%	0.1%
1	14.2%	12.5%	3.9%	0.9%	0.2%
2	13.0%	9.2%	3.3%	0.8%	0.1%
3	7.2%	5.1%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%
4	3.0%	2.1%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Switzerland	Draw	Algeria
Switzerland	37.2%	3.4%	0.8%
Draw	20.6%	18.2%	6.3%
Algeria	2.1%	3.4%	7.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

49%

35%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Switzerland vs Algeria

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Switzerland — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
12 Jul	A Argentina	L	3 - 1
07 Jul	H Colombia	D	0 - 0
03 Jul	H Algeria	W	2 - 0
24 Jun	H Canada	W	2 - 1
18 Jun	H Bosnia & Herzegovina	W	4 - 1

Algeria — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
03 Jul	A Switzerland	L	2 - 0
28 Jun	H Austria	D	3 - 3
23 Jun	A Jordan	W	1 - 2
17 Jun	A Argentina	L	3 - 0

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Switzerland

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Murat Yakin

1 Kobel

13 Rodríguez

5 Akanji

4 Elvedi

6 Zakaria

10 Xhaka

8 Freuler

17 Vargas

9 Manzambi

11 Ndoye

7 Embolo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Gregor Kobel	G
6	Denis Zakaria	D
4	Nico Elvedi	D
5	Manuel Akanji	D
13	Ricardo Rodríguez	D
8	Remo Freuler	M
10	Granit Xhaka	M
11	Dan Ndoye	M
9	Johan Manzambi	M
17	Rubén Vargas	M
7	Breel Embolo	F

Substitutes

19	Noah Okafor	F
22	Fabian Rieder	M
12	Yvon Mvogo	G
21	Marvin Keller	G
18	Eray Cömert	D
24	Aurèle Amenda	D
3	Silvan Widmer	D
2	Miro Muheim	D
16	Christian Fassnacht	M
14	Ardon Jashari	M
15	Djibril Sow	M
20	Michel Aebischer	M
26	Cédric Itten	F
23	Zeki Amdouni	F

Algeria

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Vladimir Petkovic

23 Zidane

15 Aït-Nouri

21 Bensebaini

2 Mandi

17 Belghali

10 Chaïbi

19 Bentaleb

6 Zerrouki

8 Aouar

22 Maza

7 Mahrez

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	Luca Zidane	G
17	Rafik Belghali	D
2	Aïssa Mandi	D
21	Ramy Bensebaini	D
15	Rayan Aït-Nouri	D
6	Ramiz Zerrouki	M
19	Nabil Bentaleb	M
10	Farès Chaïbi	M
7	Riyad Mahrez	F
22	Ibrahim Maza	F
8	Houssem Aouar	F

Substitutes

13	Jaouen Hadjam	D
9	Amine Gouiri	F
11	Anis Hadj Moussa	F
1	Melvin Mastil	G
16	Oussama Benbot	G
3	Achref Abada	D
4	Mohamed Tougai	D
5	Zineddine Belaid	D
26	Samir Sophian Chergui	D
20	Adil Boulbina	F
14	Hicham Boudaoui	M
24	Yassine Titraoui	M
25	Farès Ghedjemis	F