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Spain vs Austria Prediction

World Cup World Cup · Round of 32
FT
Post on X
Spain

Spain

Home
3 : 0
HT 1 - 0
Austria

Austria

Away
AI call Spain to win or draw
74%
20%
6%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Spain vs Austria prediction: Sportiko gives Spain a 74% chance of winning, Austria 6% and the draw 20%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

Premium picks

Premium
  • Under 3.5 Goals 77%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
  • Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Match Report

Spain eased into the last 16 of the World Cup with a commanding 3–0 victory over Austria, a result that vindicated the pre-match AI model's 74% confidence in a Spanish win. Mikel Oyarzabal broke the deadlock on 36 minutes to send Spain in ahead at half-time, and the contest never truly looked in doubt given Austria's limited threat throughout.

The second half followed a similar pattern. Pedro Porro extended the lead on 66 minutes, and the statistics told a stark story — Spain registered ten shots on target to Austria's none, dominated possession at 65%, and earned nine corners to their opponents' zero. Austria's attempts to inject fresh energy through four half-time substitutions yielded little, with their expected goals figure of just 0.49 reflecting how rarely they troubled the Spanish defence.

Oyarzabal wrapped up a fine personal display by completing his brace in the 89th minute, securing a thoroughly deserved clean sheet. Spain's clinical performance and territorial dominance throughout made this one of the more one-sided Round of 32 results of the tournament.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Mikel Oyarzabal assist: Marc Cucurella
36' ⚽ 1–0
HT 1–0
⇄ 46'
Nicolas Seiwald ⇄ Carney Chukwuemeka
⇄ 46'
Xaver Schlager ⇄ Florian Grillitsch
⇄ 60'
Michael Gregoritsch ⇄ Marko Arnautović
⇄ 60'
Romano Schmid ⇄ Saša Kalajdžić
Pedro Porro assist: Alex Baena
66' ⚽ 2–0
Alex Baena ⇄ Ferran Torres
71' ⇄
Dani Olmo ⇄ Mikel Merino
71' ⇄
▮ 83'
Stefan Posch Yellow Card
Lamine Yamal ⇄ Pablo Gavi
85' ⇄
⇄ 85'
Stefan Posch ⇄ Alexander Prass
Mikel Oyarzabal assist: Marc Cucurella
89' ⚽ 3–0
Pedri ⇄ Fabián Ruiz
90+3' ⇄
Aymeric Laporte ⇄ Marc Pubill
90+3' ⇄
FT 3–0
Spain

Match Stats

Austria
65% Ball Possession 35%
2.80 Expected Goals (xG) 0.49
22 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Goal 0
5 Shots off Goal 4
7 Blocked Shots 1
14 Shots insidebox 4
8 Shots outsidebox 1
9 Corner Kicks 0
2 Offsides 5
8 Fouls 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
0 Goalkeeper Saves 6
613 Total passes 334
555 Passes accurate 275
91% Passes % 82%
-0.57 goals_prevented -0.57
Spain
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
21 Mikel Oyarzabal F 9.3 94' 2 – 5 26 (21%) 1
12 Pedro Porro D 8.2 94' 1 – 1 54 (48%) 1
15 Alex Baena M 8.2 71' – 1 1 40 (35%) –
24 Marc Cucurella D 8.0 94' – 2 – 52 (47%) –
14 Aymeric Laporte D 7.7 93' – – 2 87 (79%) 3
22 Pau Cubarsí D 7.6 94' – – – 74 (69%) 2
16 Rodri M 7.5 94' – – – 92 (84%) 5
19 Lamine Yamal M 7.5 85' – – 5 31 (28%) –
20 Pedri M 7.2 93' – – – 73 (65%) 3
10 Dani Olmo M 7.0 71' – – – 26 (25%) 4
23 Unai Simón G 6.9 94' – – – 31 (30%) –
6 Mikel Merino M 6.7 23' – – – 15 (14%) –
9 Pablo Gavi M 6.3 9' – – – 3 (3%) –
7 Ferran Torres F 6.2 23' – – 1 8 (6%) –
8 Fabián Ruiz M — 1' – – – 1 (1%) –
2 Marc Pubill D — 1' – – – – –
Austria
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Alexander Schlager G 7.2 94' – – – 36 (33%) –
9 Marcel Sabitzer M 6.9 94' – – – 18 (13%) 1
3 Kevin Danso D 6.9 94' – – – 40 (34%) 1
10 Florian Grillitsch M 6.9 49' – – – 22 (19%) 2
8 David Alaba D 6.7 94' – – 1 61 (50%) –
18 Romano Schmid M 6.7 60' – – – 20 (15%) 1
20 Konrad Laimer D 6.3 94' – – – 32 (28%) 5
6 Nicolas Seiwald M 6.3 45' – – – 18 (17%) 1
14 Saša Kalajdžić F 6.3 34' – – 1 6 (5%) 1
17 Carney Chukwuemeka M 6.3 49' – – 1 13 (11%) –
22 Alexander Prass D 6.3 9' – – – 3 (3%) –
7 Marko Arnautović F 6.3 34' – – – 6 (6%) –
24 Paul Wanner M 6.2 94' – – – 20 (17%) 1
11 Michael Gregoritsch F 6.2 60' – – – 6 (2%) –
4 Xaver Schlager M 6.0 45' – – – 12 (8%) –
5 Stefan Posch D 5.9 85' – – 1 21 (14%) 3
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Confidence High (74%)

At a glance

Our lean
Spain to win or draw
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Spain
WWWWW
Austria
LDLWL

Match summary

Spain faces Austria in a crucial World Cup clash, showcasing two teams with contrasting styles. Spain typically emphasizes possession-based football, reflected in their average of 65% possession in qualifying matches. Conversely, Austria relies on a more direct approach, often utilizing quick counter-attacks, averaging 1.8 goals per game in their qualifiers. Both teams boast solid defensive records, but Spain's depth in midfield could provide them with the edge. Expect a tactical battle where control of the midfield will be pivotal.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
74%
45%
Draw
20%
45%
Away
6%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Spain
Mikel Oyarzabal 5 gls
Austria

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Spain vs Austria

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Spain — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Jul H Argentina W 1 - 0
14 Jul A France W 0 - 2
10 Jul H Belgium W 2 - 1
06 Jul A Portugal W 0 - 1
02 Jul H Austria W 3 - 0

Austria — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
02 Jul A Spain L 3 - 0
28 Jun A Algeria D 3 - 3
22 Jun A Argentina L 2 - 0
17 Jun H Jordan W 3 - 1
02 Jul H Türkiye L 1 - 2

World Cup Standings

Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Mexico
3 3 0 0 +6 9
2
South Africa
3 1 1 1 -1 4
4
Czechia
3 0 1 2 -4 1

Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Switzerland
3 2 1 0 +4 7
2
Canada
3 1 1 1 +5 4
4
Qatar
3 0 1 2 -8 1

Group C

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Brazil
3 2 1 0 +6 7
2
Morocco
3 2 1 0 +3 7
4
Haiti
3 0 0 3 -6 0

Group D

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
USA
3 2 0 1 +4 6
2
Australia
3 1 1 1 0 4
4
Türkiye
3 1 0 2 -2 3

Group E

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Germany
3 2 0 1 +6 6
2
Ivory Coast
3 2 0 1 +2 6
4
Curaçao
3 0 1 2 -8 1

Group F

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Netherlands
3 2 1 0 +6 7
2
Japan
3 1 2 0 +4 5
4
Tunisia
3 0 0 3 -10 0

Group G

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Belgium
3 1 2 0 +4 5
2
Egypt
3 1 2 0 +2 5
4
New Zealand
3 0 1 2 -6 1

Group H

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Spain
3 2 1 0 +5 7
2
Cape Verde Islands
3 0 3 0 0 3
4
Saudi Arabia
3 0 2 1 -4 2

Group I

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
France
3 3 0 0 +8 9
2
Norway
3 2 0 1 +1 6
4
Iraq
3 0 0 3 -11 0

Group J

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Argentina
3 3 0 0 +7 9
2
Austria
3 1 1 1 0 4
4
Jordan
3 0 0 3 -5 0

Group K

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Colombia
3 2 1 0 +3 7
2
Portugal
3 1 2 0 +5 5
4
Uzbekistan
3 0 0 3 -9 0

Group L

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
England
3 2 1 0 +4 7
2
Croatia
3 2 0 1 0 6
4
Panama
3 0 0 3 -4 0

Group Stage

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Congo DR
3 1 1 1 +1 4
2
Sweden
3 1 1 1 0 4
3
Ghana
3 1 1 1 0 4
4
Ecuador
3 1 1 1 0 4
5
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 1 1 1 -1 4
6
Algeria
3 1 1 1 -2 4
7
Paraguay
3 1 1 1 -2 4
8
Senegal
3 1 0 2 +2 3
9
Iran
3 0 3 0 0 3
10
South Korea
3 1 0 2 -1 3
11
Scotland
3 1 0 2 -3 3
12
Uruguay
3 0 2 1 -1 2

Spain

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Luis de la Fuente
23 Simón
24 Cucurella
14 Laporte
22 Cubarsí
12 Porro
20 Pedri
16 Rodri
15 Baena
10 Olmo
19 Yamal
21 Oyarzabal

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 Unai Simón G
12 Pedro Porro D
22 Pau Cubarsí D
14 Aymeric Laporte D
24 Marc Cucurella D
16 Rodri M
20 Pedri M
19 Lamine Yamal M
10 Dani Olmo M
15 Alex Baena M
21 Mikel Oyarzabal F

Substitutes

1 David Raya G
13 Joan García G
4 Eric García D
5 Marcos Llorente M
2 Marc Pubill D
3 Alejandro Grimaldo D
18 Martín Zubimendi M
9 Pablo Gavi M
6 Mikel Merino M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
17 Nico Williams F
7 Ferran Torres F
26 Borja Iglesias F
25 Víctor Muñoz F
11 Yéremy Pino M

Austria

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Ralf Rangnick
1 Schlager
20 Laimer
8 Alaba
3 Danso
5 Posch
4 Schlager
6 Seiwald
9 Sabitzer
24 Wanner
18 Schmid
11 Gregoritsch

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Alexander Schlager G
5 Stefan Posch D
3 Kevin Danso D
8 David Alaba D
20 Konrad Laimer D
6 Nicolas Seiwald M
4 Xaver Schlager M
18 Romano Schmid M
24 Paul Wanner M
9 Marcel Sabitzer M
11 Michael Gregoritsch F

Substitutes

17 Carney Chukwuemeka M
10 Florian Grillitsch M
7 Marko Arnautović F
14 Saša Kalajdžić F
12 Florian Wiegele G
13 Patrick Pentz G
2 David Affengruber D
23 Marco Friedl D
25 Michael Svoboda D
15 Philipp Lienhart D
22 Alexander Prass D
19 Dejan Ljubičić M
26 Alessandro Schöpf M
21 Patrick Wimmer M
16 Phillipp Mwene D

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