Colombia vs Ghana Prediction

World Cup · Round of 32

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Ghana

Away

AI call Colombia to win

78%

17%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Colombia vs Ghana prediction: Sportiko gives Colombia a 78% chance of winning, Ghana 4% and the draw 17%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Home/Draw & Over 1.5 70%

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Match Report

Colombia secured a narrow but comfortable 1–0 victory over Ghana in this World Cup Round of 32 clash, with the decisive moment arriving early. Jhon Arias, despite picking up a yellow card just two minutes prior, broke the deadlock in the 14th minute to give Colombia a lead they would never relinquish. The Colombians dominated possession at 60% and registered 20 total shots to Ghana's eight, with an expected goals figure of 2.09 against a remarkably low 0.26 for the African side, who failed to register a single shot on target throughout the entire match.

The second half brought further drama when Luis Díaz had a goal ruled out for offside via VAR on 56 minutes, though Colombia's control was never seriously threatened. James Rodríguez entered at the break as Colombia's second substitution, adding creative impetus, while Ghana grew increasingly frustrated — collecting four yellow cards across the second period as their attempts to find an equaliser became more desperate.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Colombia win as most likely at 78%, a call that proved well-founded given their overwhelming statistical dominance. Ghana's inability to test the goalkeeper ultimately made the result straightforward despite the narrow scoreline.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Jhon Córdoba ⇄ Luis Javier Suárez

8' ⇄

Jhon Arias Yellow Card

12' ▮

⇄ 13'

Marvin Senaya ⇄ Alidu Seidu

Jhon Arias assist: Luis Javier Suárez

14' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

James Rodríguez ⇄ Richard Ríos

46' ⇄

▮ 49'

Caleb Yirenkyi Yellow Card

Luis Díaz Goal Disallowed - offside

56' 🖵

⇄ 62'

Iñaki Williams ⇄ Abdul Fatawu Issahaku

⇄ 62'

Kwasi Sibo ⇄ Elisha Owusu

▮ 66'

Abdul Fatawu Issahaku Yellow Card

Jhon Arias ⇄ Juan Fernando Quintero

73' ⇄

▮ 76'

Alidu Seidu Yellow Card

Richard Ríos Yellow Card

78' ▮

⇄ 79'

Jordan Ayew ⇄ Ernest Nuamah

⇄ 79'

Caleb Yirenkyi ⇄ Prince Kwabena Adu

Luis Díaz ⇄ Jaminton Campaz

90' ⇄

FT 1–0

Colombia

Match Stats

Ghana

60% Ball Possession 40%

2.09 Expected Goals (xG) 0.26

20 Total Shots 8

8 Shots on Goal 0

8 Shots off Goal 3

4 Blocked Shots 5

12 Shots insidebox 2

8 Shots outsidebox 6

3 Corner Kicks 2

2 Offsides 0

14 Fouls 10

2 Yellow Cards 3

Red Cards

0 Goalkeeper Saves 7

571 Total passes 370

520 Passes accurate 308

91% Passes % 83%

1.82 goals_prevented 1.82

Colombia

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
14 Gustavo Puerta M	8.5	95'	–	–	1	58 (55%)	–
11 Jhon Arias M	8.0	73'	1	–	1	58 (55%)	2
23 Davinson Sánchez D	7.7	95'	–	–	2	78 (69%)	–
2 Daniel Muñoz D	7.5	95'	–	–	–	33 (32%)	3
20 Juan Fernando Quintero M	7.5	22'	–	–	2	16 (16%)	–
3 Jhon Lucumí D	7.3	95'	–	–	–	86 (77%)	–
17 Johan Mojica D	6.9	95'	–	–	1	42 (36%)	1
16 Jefferson Lerma M	6.7	95'	–	–	–	70 (61%)	–
10 James Rodríguez F	6.7	45'	–	–	–	29 (27%)	1
25 Luis Javier Suárez F	6.7	87'	–	1	1	19 (16%)	3
12 Camilo Vargas G	6.6	95'	–	–	–	33 (31%)	–
6 Richard Ríos M	6.3	50'	–	–	2	8 (7%)	2
9 Jhon Córdoba F	6.3	8'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
7 Luis Díaz F	6.2	90'	–	–	3	27 (26%)	–
21 Jaminton Campaz M	—	5'	–	–	1	3 (3%)	–

Ghana

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Lawrence Ati Zigi G	8.6	95'	–	–	–	33 (25%)	–
23 Derrick Luckassen D	7.3	95'	–	–	–	48 (42%)	3
18 Jerome Opoku D	6.7	95'	–	–	–	50 (42%)	1
14 Gideon Mensah D	6.7	95'	–	–	–	45 (35%)	1
26 Marvin Senaya D	6.6	13'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	2
24 Ernest Nuamah F	6.6	16'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	2
5 Thomas Partey M	6.6	95'	–	–	2	48 (42%)	–
9 Jordan Ayew F	6.5	79'	–	–	–	13 (10%)	1
2 Alidu Seidu D	6.5	82'	–	–	–	28 (26%)	1
8 Kwasi Sibo M	6.5	62'	–	–	–	23 (22%)	–
7 Abdul Fatawu Issahaku F	6.5	33'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
19 Iñaki Williams M	6.5	62'	–	–	1	9 (5%)	–
15 Elisha Owusu M	6.3	33'	–	–	–	16 (15%)	1
11 Antoine Semenyo M	6.3	95'	–	–	–	18 (12%)	1
25 Prince Kwabena Adu F	6.3	16'	–	–	–	1	–
3 Caleb Yirenkyi M	6.2	79'	–	–	–	20 (18%)	–

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Confidence High (78%)

At a glance

Our lean

Colombia to win

Most likely score

2:0 · 19%

Both teams to score

28%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Colombia

DWDWW

Ghana

LLDWL

Match summary

In this World Cup clash, Colombia will face Ghana in what promises to be an intriguing matchup. Colombia boasts a strong attacking lineup, led by players who excel in creating goal-scoring opportunities. Conversely, Ghana's physicality and pace on the wings could pose challenges for the Colombian defense. Both teams have shown resilience in previous tournaments, making this encounter a test of tactical discipline and adaptability. Key players' performances, particularly in midfield, will likely determine the outcome as both sides seek to secure crucial points in the tournament.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ghana goals →

	0	1	2
0	9	2	1
1	17	7	1
2	19	7	1
3	14	5	1
4	8	3	1
5	3	1

↑ Colombia goals · most likely 2–0 (19.0%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

78%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

72% BTTS No 28% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

78%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

95% Home (No Draw) 5% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

54% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

78% Home Scores More 17% Equal Goals 4% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

72% BTTS No 28% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

19%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
1	16.5%	7.3%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
2	19.0%	7.0%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
3	13.9%	5.1%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%
4	7.6%	2.8%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

59%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Colombia	Draw	Ghana
Colombia	54.3%	1.7%	0.2%
Draw	23.8%	12.4%	2.1%
Ghana	1.6%	1.8%	2.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

37%

1.5

63%

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

Home Exact Goals

11%

25%

28%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

69%

26%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

82%

0.5

18%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Colombia vs Ghana

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Colombia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Jul	A Switzerland	D	0 - 0
04 Jul	H Ghana	W	1 - 0
27 Jun	H Portugal	D	0 - 0
24 Jun	H Congo DR	W	1 - 0
18 Jun	A Uzbekistan	W	1 - 3

Ghana — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Jul	A Colombia	L	1 - 0
27 Jun	A Croatia	L	2 - 1
23 Jun	A England	D	0 - 0
17 Jun	H Panama	W	1 - 0
23 May	A Mexico	L	2 - 0

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Colombia

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Nestor Lorenzo

12 Vargas

17 Mojica

3 Lucumí

23 Sánchez

2 Muñoz

11 Arias

16 Lerma

14 Puerta

7 Díaz

9 Córdoba

10 Rodríguez

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Camilo Vargas	G
2	Daniel Muñoz	D
23	Davinson Sánchez	D
3	Jhon Lucumí	D
17	Johan Mojica	D
14	Gustavo Puerta	M
16	Jefferson Lerma	M
11	Jhon Arias	M
10	James Rodríguez	F
9	Jhon Córdoba	F
7	Luis Díaz	F

Substitutes

25	Luis Javier Suárez	F
1	David Ospina	G
24	Álvaro Montero	G
4	Santiago Arias	D
13	Yerry Mina	D
18	Willer Ditta	D
22	Deiver Machado	D
5	Kevin Castaño	M
6	Richard Ríos	M
8	Jorge Carrascal	M
15	Juan Portilla	M
20	Juan Fernando Quintero	M
21	Jaminton Campaz	M
26	Andrés Gómez	F
19	Cucho Hernández	F

Ghana

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Carlos Queiroz

1 Zigi

14 Mensah

18 Opoku

23 Luckassen

26 Senaya

5 Partey

11 Semenyo

8 Sibo

3 Yirenkyi

19 Williams

9 Ayew

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Lawrence Ati Zigi	G
26	Marvin Senaya	D
23	Derrick Luckassen	D
18	Jerome Opoku	D
14	Gideon Mensah	D
5	Thomas Partey	M
19	Iñaki Williams	M
3	Caleb Yirenkyi	M
8	Kwasi Sibo	M
11	Antoine Semenyo	M
9	Jordan Ayew	F

Substitutes

2	Alidu Seidu	D
12	Joseph Anang	G
16	Benjamin Asare	G
4	Jonas Adjei Adjetey	D
6	Abdul Mumin	D
17	Rahman Baba	D
21	Kojo Peprah Oppong	D
15	Elisha Owusu	M
7	Abdul Fatawu Issahaku	F
13	Christopher Baah	F
20	Augustine Boakye	M
10	Brandon Thomas-Asante	F
22	Kamaldeen Sulemana	F
24	Ernest Nuamah	F
25	Prince Kwabena Adu	F