Shelbourne vs Dundalk Prediction

Premier Division · Regular Season - 23

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Dundalk

Away

Tolka Park, Dublin

AI call Dundalk or draw

28%

30%

42%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Shelbourne vs Dundalk prediction: Sportiko gives Shelbourne a 28% chance of winning, Dundalk 42% and the draw 30%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Away to Score 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%

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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Our lean

Dundalk or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Shelbourne

WLLDD

Dundalk

LLDLW

Last 1 meetings Shelbourne · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier Division clash, Shelbourne will face Dundalk on July 3, 2026. Both teams have shown competitive form in the league, with Shelbourne recently improving their home performance. Dundalk, known for their attacking prowess, will aim to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Shelbourne. Analyzing recent head-to-head statistics, both teams have shared victories, suggesting a tightly contested match. Key players' performances will likely influence the outcome, making this a pivotal match for both sides.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

28%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

42%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Dundalk goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	10	8	4	1
1	8	14	9	4	1
2	5	7	5	2	1
3	2	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ Shelbourne goals · most likely 1–1 (14.5%)

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Players in form

Shelbourne

H. Wood 7 gls

J. Martin 6 gls

D. Kelly 6 gls

Dundalk

D. Horgan 10 gls

G. Arubi 7 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Draw

30%

Home Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Draw

30%

Home Win

28%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

60% Away (No Draw) 40% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Away Win by 2+ 11% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 28% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.4%	10.3%	8.2%	3.8%	1.3%
1	7.7%	14.5%	8.8%	4.0%	1.4%
2	5.0%	6.9%	4.7%	2.2%	0.7%
3	1.8%	2.5%	1.7%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.5%	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Shelbourne	Draw	Dundalk
Shelbourne	15.9%	4.4%	2.1%
Draw	11.2%	19.6%	16.0%
Dundalk	1.5%	4.3%	25.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Shelbourne vs Dundalk

1 Shelbourne Wins

0 Draws

0 Dundalk Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Sep 2026	Dundalk	2 - 3	Shelbourne

Shelbourne — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Dundalk	W	2 - 3
14 Sep	H Drogheda United	L	1 - 2
11 Sep	H Derry City	L	0 - 1
04 Sep	A Shamrock Rovers	D	0 - 0
28 Aug	A Galway United	D	1 - 1

Dundalk — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Shelbourne	L	2 - 3
14 Sep	H St Patrick's Athl.	L	0 - 4
11 Sep	A Waterford	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Derry City	L	4 - 2
28 Aug	A Drogheda United	W	2 - 3

Premier Division Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	St Patrick's Athl.	32	17	8	7	52	25	+27	59
2	Shamrock Rovers	31	17	8	6	49	31	+18	59
3	Bohemians	31	16	8	7	55	37	+18	56
4	Derry City	32	9	14	9	45	42	+3	41
5	Dundalk	32	10	11	11	49	53	-4	41
6	Shelbourne	31	9	12	10	41	44	-3	39
7	Galway United	31	9	10	12	41	47	-6	37
8	Waterford	32	7	13	12	44	54	-10	34
9	Drogheda United	32	8	10	14	38	51	-13	34
10	Sligo Rovers	32	5	8	19	24	54	-30	23

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.