HJK Helsinki vs KuPS Prediction

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 13

Post on X

KuPS

Away

Bolt Arena, Helsinki

AI call HJK Helsinki or draw

39%

30%

31%

Home Win Draw Away Win

HJK Helsinki vs KuPS prediction: Sportiko gives HJK Helsinki a 39% chance of winning, KuPS 31% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Jul 2026, 05:46.

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Under 3.5 Goals 76%
Home to Score 74%
1st Half Home or Draw 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 73%

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Timeline

Red Card

12' ▮

T. Pukki

16' ⇄

⚽ 0–1 41'

P. Pennanen assist: B. Armah

HT 0–1

⚽ 0–2 53'

P. Pennanen

L. Lingman ⇄ L. Lappalainen

60' ⇄

A. Ring ⇄ P. Mentu

60' ⇄

⇄ Alfie Cicale

60' ⇄

⇄ 66'

O. Ruoppi ⇄ J. Luyeye-Lutumba

⇄ 74'

G. Engvall ⇄ A. Heinonen

⇄ 74'

⇄ T. Hämäläinen

⚽ 0–3 79'

assist: T. Hämäläinen

⚽ 0–4 84'

A. Heinonen

T. Cissokho ⇄ K. Simojoki

85' ⇄

⇄ 86'

⇄ S. Savolainen

⇄ 86'

B. Armah ⇄ S. Heiskanen

FT 0–4

HJK Helsinki

Match Stats

KuPS

43% Ball Possession 57%

2 Total Shots 4

0 Shots on Goal 2

1 Shots off Goal 0

1 Blocked Shots 2

1 Corner Kicks 1

1 Fouls 3

0 Yellow Cards 0

1 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 0

2 Free Kicks 0

HJK Helsinki

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 J. Öst G	7.2	20'	–	–	–	4 (1%)	–
14 L. Montano D	6.9	20'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–
9 M. Borchers M	6.8	20'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
22 L. Möller M	6.7	20'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	1
15 J. Kallinen M	6.7	20'	–	–	1	5 (5%)	–
3 T. Cissokho D	6.6	20'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	–
28 M. Ylitolva D	6.5	20'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	–
4 A. Ring M	6.5	20'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
10 L. Lingman M	6.4	20'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	1
20 T. Pukki F	6.3	16'	–	–	1	–	–
6 V. Tikkanen D	5.5	12'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–

KuPS

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
28 B. Magassa D	6.9	20'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	–
9 G. Engvall F	6.7	20'	–	–	1	2 (2%)	–
34 O. Ruoppi F	6.6	20'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
8 P. Pennanen M	6.6	20'	–	–	1	10 (10%)	–
24 B. Armah M	6.5	20'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	1
10 V. Gasc M	6.5	20'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	1
23 A. Lötjönen D	6.3	20'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
25 C. Antwi D	6.2	20'	–	–	–	9 (7%)	–
29 A. Puukko D	6.1	20'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Our lean

HJK Helsinki or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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HJK Helsinki

DDWLW

KuPS

WDDLW

Last 1 meetings HJK Helsinki · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

HJK Helsinki enters this match against KuPS with a strong track record, currently positioned as one of the league's top teams. They have demonstrated a solid home performance, with a high win rate and effective goal-scoring, averaging over 2 goals per match. KuPS, while competitive, has struggled to maintain consistency on the road, often conceding crucial goals. This matchup will be pivotal for both teams as they aim to secure valuable points in the Veikkausliiga standings. Expect HJK to leverage their attacking prowess to pressure KuPS from the outset.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

39%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

31%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

KuPS goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	8	6	2	1
1	9	14	7	3	1
2	7	9	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ HJK Helsinki goals · most likely 1–1 (14.4%)

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Players in form

HJK Helsinki

M. Borchers 4 gls

T. Pukki 3 gls

KuPS

J. Moreno 5 gls

J. Luyeye-Lutumba 3 gls

B. Armah 3 gls

P. Pennanen 2 gls

G. Engvall 2 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

31%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

31%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

56% Home (No Draw) 44% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 31% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	7.8%	5.5%	2.2%	0.6%
1	9.3%	14.4%	7.5%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.4%	8.6%	5.0%	2.0%	0.6%
3	3.3%	3.9%	2.3%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.1%	1.3%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	HJK Helsinki	Draw	KuPS
HJK Helsinki	23.5%	4.4%	1.7%
Draw	14.8%	19.1%	12.0%
KuPS	2.0%	4.5%	18.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: HJK Helsinki vs KuPS

0 HJK Helsinki Wins

1 Draws

0 KuPS Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Sep 2026	KuPS	0 - 0	HJK Helsinki

HJK Helsinki — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Gnistan	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	A KuPS	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Inter Turku	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Inter Turku	L	1 - 0
31 Aug	A Ilves	W	1 - 2

KuPS — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A VPS	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H HJK Helsinki	D	0 - 0
08 Sep	A Gnistan	D	1 - 1
31 Aug	A Inter Turku	L	1 - 0
27 Aug	H Shamrock Rovers	W	1 - 0

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

KuPS

Coach: Miika Nuutinen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	J. Kreidl	-
29	A. Puukko	-
23	A. Lotjonen	D
25	C. Antwi	D
10	V. R. Gasc	M
8	P. Pennanen	M
24	B. Armah	M
34	O. Ruoppi	F
9	G. Engvall	F
28	B. Magassa	-
11	J. J. Moreno Ciorciari	-

Substitutes

12	H. Riihimaki	G
6	S. Savolainen	F
17	A. Heinonen	M
33	T. Hamalainen	D
21	J. Luyeye-Lutumba	F
4	K. Adams	D
3	S. Heiskanen	M
13	N. Kujasalo	M
2	K. Ward	-

HJK Helsinki

Coach: Joonas Rantanen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	J. Ost	G
28	M. Ylitolva	D
6	V. Tikkanen	D
3	T. Cissokho	D
14	L. Montano	D
10	L. Lingman	M
22	L. Moller	-
4	A. Ring	M
15	J. Kallinen	M
9	M. Borchers	M
20	T. Pukki	F

Substitutes

12	M. Haapanen	-
26	L. Lappalainen	F
24	E. Levealahti	-
18	T. Mero	-
13	K. Simojoki	D
2	B. Lyons-Foster	D
17	M. Kirilov	-
8	P. Mentu	M
7	A. Cicale	F