Ilves vs SJK Prediction

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 13

Post on X

SJK

Away

AI call Ilves or draw

49%

30%

21%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Ilves vs SJK prediction: Sportiko gives Ilves a 49% chance of winning, SJK 21% and the draw 30%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Home to Score 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 70%

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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Our lean

Ilves or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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Ilves

WWWLL

SJK

WDDDL

Match summary

In the upcoming Veikkausliiga match, Ilves will face SJK. Ilves has shown a solid home record this season with a win rate of approximately 60%, while SJK has struggled on the road, securing only 30% of their away matches. Both teams have comparable goal-scoring averages, with Ilves slightly outperforming SJK in defensive stats. The clash will likely hinge on Ilves' ability to capitalize on set pieces, where they have been particularly effective. Overall, this matchup could be tightly contested, but Ilves may have the edge given their current form.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

49%

45%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

21%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

SJK goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	7	4	1
1	13	14	5	2
2	10	9	4	1
3	5	4	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1

↑ Ilves goals · most likely 1–1 (14.1%)

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Players in form

Ilves

T. Hytönen 7 gls

J. Kanga 4 gls

E. Tamminen 3 gls

M. Stjopin 2 gls

SJK

E. Mastokangas 2 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

30%

Away Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

30%

Away Win

21%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

70% Home (No Draw) 30% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 21% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.8%	7.1%	3.8%	1.1%	0.2%
1	12.9%	14.1%	5.4%	1.5%	0.3%
2	10.4%	8.9%	3.8%	1.1%	0.2%
3	5.0%	4.3%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%
4	1.8%	1.5%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ilves	Draw	SJK
Ilves	29.6%	3.9%	1.1%
Draw	18.3%	20.3%	8.9%
SJK	2.0%	4.0%	11.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

42%

36%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ilves vs SJK

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Ilves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Turku PS	W	0 - 3
12 Sep	H Lahti	W	3 - 1
08 Sep	H FF Jaro	W	2 - 0
31 Aug	H HJK Helsinki	L	1 - 2
22 Aug	H VPS	L	0 - 1

SJK — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Mariehamn	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A FF Jaro	D	1 - 1
08 Sep	A Turku PS	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A AC Oulu	D	0 - 0
21 Aug	H Lahti	L	1 - 2

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.