FF Jaro vs Gnistan Prediction

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 12

Post on X

Gnistan

Away

AI call Too close to call

24%

33%

43%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FF Jaro vs Gnistan prediction: Sportiko gives FF Jaro a 24% chance of winning, Gnistan 43% and the draw 33%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Draw or Away 76%
Away to Score 71%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 14'

▮ 31'

Yellow Card

▮ 33'

Yellow Card

HT 0–1

51' ⚽ 1–1

▮ 60'

Yellow Card

⇄ 62'

Yellow Card

66' ▮

▮ 68'

Yellow Card

75' ⇄

84' ⇄

⇄ 85'

⇄ 88'

FT 1–1

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Our lean

Too close to call

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

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FF Jaro

DDLLL

Gnistan

DWDDW

Match summary

In the upcoming Veikkausliiga match, FF Jaro faces Gnistan. Both teams have shown fluctuating form this season, but Jaro has a slight edge in recent head-to-head encounters. They have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last five games, while Gnistan has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match in the same timeframe. Jaro's ability to capitalize on set pieces could be crucial, as Gnistan has shown vulnerability in defending such situations. This match could be pivotal for both teams as they aim to improve their standings in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

24%

10%

Draw

33%

45%

Away

43%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Gnistan goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	14	13	9	4	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	5	6	4	1
3	1	2	1
4
5

↑ FF Jaro goals · most likely 1–1 (14.8%)

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Players in form

FF Jaro

No scorer data.

Gnistan

A. Akinyemi 3 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Draw

33%

Home Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Draw

33%

Home Win

24%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

64% Away (No Draw) 36% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Away Win by 2+ 9% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Away Scores More 33% Equal Goals 24% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.7%	13.3%	9.4%	3.9%	1.2%
1	8.8%	14.8%	8.2%	3.4%	1.1%
2	4.6%	5.7%	3.6%	1.5%	0.5%
3	1.3%	1.7%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.3%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FF Jaro	Draw	Gnistan
FF Jaro	13.6%	4.0%	1.7%
Draw	10.4%	22.3%	17.1%
Gnistan	1.1%	4.0%	25.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

42%

36%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: FF Jaro vs Gnistan

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

FF Jaro — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Lahti	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H SJK	D	1 - 1
08 Sep	A Ilves	L	2 - 0
31 Aug	A Mariehamn	L	2 - 0
22 Aug	H AC Oulu	L	0 - 1

Gnistan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H HJK Helsinki	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A AC Oulu	W	1 - 2
08 Sep	H KuPS	D	1 - 1
31 Aug	H Turku PS	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	A HJK Helsinki	W	2 - 3

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

FF Jaro

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Jens Karlsson

1 Vits

19 Ness

6 Brunell

7 Skau

5 Bjonbäck

22 Hardén

16 Vidjeskog

8 Kawo

91 Vuorinen

15 Vikstrom

11 Sjögrell

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Senne Vits	G
5	Aron Bjonbäck	D
7	Jesper Svenungsen Skau	D
6	Johan Brunell	D
19	Fabian Östigard Ness	D
91	Ville Vuorinen	M
8	Oliver Kass Kawo	M
16	Adam Vidjeskog	M
22	Kaius Hardén	M
11	Herman Sjögrell	F
15	Rudi Vikstrom	F

Substitutes

12	Joas Snellman	G
2	Felix Kass	D
3	Erik Gunnarsson	D
20	Ted Soderstrom	D
17	Ludvig Nyman	M
24	Valde Lofs	M
27	Joas Vikström	F
30	Morteza Najafi	F
95	Emmanuel Mendy	F

Gnistan

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: Jussi Leppalahti

1 Craninx

4 Costa

67 Obileye

24 Gnanou

10 Latonen

14 Eremenko

15 Europaeus

27 Hannula

23 Ylätupa

26 Eremenko

17 Akinyemi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Alexandro Craninx	G
24	Rachide Gnanou	D
67	Ayo Obileye	D
4	Marcelo Costa	F
27	Otto Hannula	M
15	Gabriel Europaeus	M
14	Sergei Eremenko	M
10	Joakim Latonen	F
23	Saku Ylätupa	F
17	Adeleke Akinyemi	F
26	Roman Eremenko	M

Substitutes

11	Danny Pérez	F
22	Ramilson Almeida	G
40	Juhani Ojala	D
20	Max Bjurstrøm	D
2	Benjamin Dahlström	D
5	Lucas von Hellens	D
31	Adam Jouhi	M
19	Vertti Hänninen	M
7	Artur Atarah	M