Panama vs England Prediction

World Cup · Group Stage - 3

Post on X

England

Away

AI call England to win

19%

77%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Panama vs England prediction: Sportiko gives Panama a 5% chance of winning, England 77% and the draw 19%. Last updated 31 Jul 2026, 05:46.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%

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Timeline

HT 0–0

Tomás Rodríguez ⇄ José Fajardo

46' ⇄

José Fajardo Yellow Card

53' ▮

▮ 60'

Jarell Quansah Yellow Card

⚽ 0–1 62'

Jude Bellingham assist: Bukayo Saka

⇄ 63'

Bukayo Saka ⇄ Noni Madueke

⇄ 63'

Jarell Quansah ⇄ Djed Spence

⚽ 0–2 67'

Harry Kane assist: Jude Bellingham

José Luis Rodríguez ⇄ Azarias Londoño

71' ⇄

Yoel Bárcenas ⇄ Ismael Díaz

71' ⇄

⇄ 71'

Jude Bellingham ⇄ Eberechi Eze

Andrés Andrade Yellow Card

84' ▮

⇄ 84'

Elliot Anderson ⇄ Jordan Henderson

⇄ 84'

Harry Kane ⇄ Ollie Watkins

Jorge Gutiérrez ⇄ Éric Davis

88' ⇄

Carlos Harvey ⇄ Alberto Quintero

88' ⇄

FT 0–2

Panama

Match Stats

England

33% Ball Possession 67%

0.66 Expected Goals (xG) 1.56

13 Total Shots 17

2 Shots on Goal 6

8 Shots off Goal 8

3 Blocked Shots 3

8 Shots insidebox 12

5 Shots outsidebox 5

3 Corner Kicks 7

4 Offsides 4

16 Fouls 13

2 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

4 Goalkeeper Saves 2

268 Total passes 558

202 Passes accurate 490

75% Passes % 88%

0.21 goals_prevented 0.21

Panama

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
3 José Córdoba D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	39 (37%)	2
22 Orlando Mosquera G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	33 (18%)	–
14 Carlos Harvey M	6.9	88'	–	–	1	19 (16%)	2
4 Fidel Escobar D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	25 (20%)	2
24 Azarias Londoño F	6.7	19'	–	–	1	8 (8%)	–
6 Cristian Martínez M	6.6	90'	–	–	–	23 (15%)	2
15 Éric Davis D	6.6	8'	–	–	1	4 (3%)	–
23 Amir Murillo D	6.5	90'	–	–	1	23 (18%)	–
10 Ismael Díaz F	6.5	19'	–	–	3	7 (5%)	1
19 Alberto Quintero F	6.5	8'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
7 José Luis Rodríguez M	6.3	71'	–	–	2	11 (7%)	2
26 Jorge Gutiérrez D	6.3	88'	–	–	–	15 (11%)	1
9 Tomás Rodríguez F	6.3	45'	–	–	1	9 (7%)	–
16 Andrés Andrade D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	32 (23%)	2
11 Yoel Bárcenas M	6.2	71'	–	–	–	12 (8%)	1
17 José Fajardo F	6.2	45'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	1

England

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Jude Bellingham M	9.2	71'	1	1	2	43 (37%)	4
8 Elliot Anderson M	7.7	84'	–	–	1	70 (63%)	2
6 Marc Guéhi D	7.6	90'	–	–	–	78 (76%)	–
2 Ezri Konsa D	7.5	90'	–	–	–	72 (71%)	1
9 Harry Kane F	7.3	84'	1	–	2	19 (12%)	–
26 Jarell Quansah D	7.3	63'	–	–	–	49 (44%)	–
1 Jordan Pickford G	7.2	90'	–	–	–	30 (23%)	–
3 Nico O'Reilly D	7.0	90'	–	–	1	50 (46%)	3
25 Djed Spence D	7.0	27'	–	–	–	14 (13%)	1
14 Jordan Henderson M	6.9	12'	–	–	–	13 (12%)	1
7 Bukayo Saka M	6.7	63'	–	1	2	26 (19%)	2
17 Morgan Rogers M	6.5	90'	–	–	–	38 (30%)	2
11 Marcus Rashford M	6.5	90'	–	–	5	42 (34%)	1
20 Noni Madueke F	6.3	27'	–	–	1	5 (2%)	1
21 Eberechi Eze M	6.3	19'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	–
19 Ollie Watkins F	6.3	12'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–

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Confidence High (77%)

At a glance

Our lean

England to win

Most likely score

0:2 · 18.5%

Both teams to score

30%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Panama

LLLWL

England

WLWWW

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match on June 27, 2026, Panama faces England, a significant clash given the contrasting footballing histories. England, consistently ranked among the top teams globally, boasts a talented squad featuring players from top Premier League clubs, excelling in both attack and defense. Panama, while historically less successful, has shown resilience and improvement in recent tournaments, but they will need to maximize their defensive organization to contain England’s offensive threats. The match will likely hinge on England's ability to break down Panama’s defense, as they possess superior technical skills and experience on this stage. Expect a dynamic game where England will aim to assert dominance early on.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

10%

Draw

19%

45%

Away

77%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

England goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	16	18	13	7	3
1	2	8	7	5	3	1
2	1	1	1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Panama goals · most likely 0–2 (18.5%)

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Players in form

Panama

No scorer data.

England

J. Bellingham 7 gls

H. Kane 6 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

77%

Draw

19%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

70% BTTS No 30% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

77%

Draw

19%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

94% Away (No Draw) 6% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

52% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

77% Away Scores More 19% Equal Goals 5% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

70% BTTS No 30% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

19%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.0%	16.4%	18.5%	13.1%	7.0%
1	2.4%	7.8%	7.4%	5.3%	2.8%
2	0.7%	1.4%	1.5%	1.1%	0.6%
3	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Panama	Draw	England
Panama	2.6%	1.9%	1.6%
Draw	2.4%	13.1%	23.7%
England	0.2%	1.9%	52.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

67%

27%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

80%

0.5

20%

98%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

Away Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

20%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Panama vs England

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Panama — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
27 Jun	H England	L	0 - 2
23 Jun	H Croatia	L	0 - 1
17 Jun	A Ghana	L	1 - 0
04 Jun	H Dominican Republic	W	3 - 2
06 Jul	A Colombia	L	5 - 0

England — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Jul	A France	W	4 - 6
15 Jul	H Argentina	L	1 - 2
11 Jul	A Norway	W	1 - 2
06 Jul	A Mexico	W	2 - 3
01 Jul	H Congo DR	W	2 - 1

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

England

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Thomas Tuchel

1 Pickford

3 O'Reilly

6 Guehi

2 Konsa

26 Quansah

8 Anderson

11 Rashford

10 Bellingham

17 Rogers

7 Saka

9 Kane

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	J. Pickford	G
26	J. Quansah	D
2	E. Konsa	D
6	M. Guehi	D
3	N. O'Reilly	D
8	E. Anderson	M
7	B. Saka	M
17	M. Rogers	M
10	J. Bellingham	M
11	M. Rashford	M
9	H. Kane	F

Substitutes

13	D. Henderson	G
23	J. Trafford	G
14	J. Henderson	M
15	D. Burn	D
19	O. Watkins	F
12	T. Chalobah	D
18	A. Gordon	F
20	N. Madueke	F
16	K. Mainoo	M
5	J. Stones	D
22	I. Toney	F
4	D. Rice	M
21	E. Eze	M
25	D. Spence	D

Panama

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Thomas Christiansen

22 Mosquera

26 Gutierrez

16 Andrade

3 Cordoba

4 Escobar

23 Murillo

7 Rodriguez

11 Barcenas

14 Harvey

6 Martinez

9 Rodriguez

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	O. Mosquera	G
23	M. Murillo	D
4	F. Escobar	D
3	J. Cordoba	D
16	A. Andrade	D
26	J. Gutierrez	D
6	C. Martinez	-
14	C. Harvey	M
11	Y. Barcenas	M
7	J. Rodriguez	M
9	T. Rodriguez	F

Substitutes

12	C. Samudio	G
1	L. Mejia	G
20	A. Godoy	M
18	C. Waterman	F
25	R. Miller	D
17	J. Fajardo	F
21	C. Yanis	F
24	A. Londono	F
5	E. Farina	D
15	E. Davis	D
19	A. Quintero	F
10	I. Diaz	F
8	A. Carrasquilla	M
13	J. Ramos	D
2	C. Blackman	D