Croatia vs Ghana Prediction

World Cup · Group Stage - 3

Post on X

Ghana

Away

AI call Croatia to win or draw

67%

25%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Croatia vs Ghana prediction: Sportiko gives Croatia a 67% chance of winning, Ghana 8% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Jul 2026, 05:46.

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Timeline

Petar Sučić assist: Mateo Kovačić

31' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

Jonas Adjei Adjetey ⇄ Kojo Peprah Oppong

⇄ 46'

Elisha Owusu ⇄ Abdul Fatawu Issahaku

Ante Budimir ⇄ Igor Matanović

66' ⇄

Ivan Perišić Yellow Card

68' ▮

⇄ 71'

Jordan Ayew ⇄ Brandon Thomas-Asante

⇄ 71'

Kamaldeen Sulemana ⇄ Ernest Nuamah

⚽ 1–1 73'

Derrick Luckassen assist: Ernest Nuamah

🖵 76'

Derrick Luckassen Goal confirmed

Mateo Kovačić ⇄ Mario Pašalić

78' ⇄

Nikola Vlašić assist: Luka Modrić

83' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 85'

Kwasi Sibo ⇄ Caleb Yirenkyi

Nikola Vlašić ⇄ Joško Gvardiol

88' ⇄

Martin Baturina ⇄ Marco Pašalić

88' ⇄

▮ 90+4'

Kojo Peprah Oppong Yellow Card

FT 2–1

Croatia

Match Stats

Ghana

53% Ball Possession 47%

0.42 Expected Goals (xG) 0.64

8 Total Shots 6

4 Shots on Goal 1

2 Shots off Goal 3

2 Blocked Shots 2

3 Shots insidebox 3

5 Shots outsidebox 3

3 Corner Kicks 2

1 Offsides 2

9 Fouls 13

1 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

0 Goalkeeper Saves 2

523 Total passes 455

477 Passes accurate 402

91% Passes % 88%

-1.13 goals_prevented -1.13

Croatia

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
17 Petar Sučić M	8.7	90'	1	–	1	34 (31%)	1
10 Luka Modrić M	7.9	90'	–	1	–	89 (82%)	2
6 Josip Šutalo D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	87 (82%)	2
13 Nikola Vlašić M	7.3	88'	1	–	2	21 (20%)	1
4 Joško Gvardiol D	6.9	10'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	1
16 Martin Baturina M	6.9	88'	–	–	–	26 (20%)	1
8 Mateo Kovačić M	6.9	78'	–	1	–	61 (58%)	1
20 Igor Matanović F	6.7	24'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	–
15 Mario Pašalić M	6.6	12'	–	–	1	11 (11%)	–
14 Ivan Perišić D	6.6	90'	–	–	1	45 (43%)	2
3 Marin Pongračić D	6.6	90'	–	–	1	72 (69%)	3
1 Dominik Livaković G	6.5	90'	–	–	–	21 (14%)	–
24 Marco Pašalić F	6.3	10'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
2 Josip Stanišić D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	37 (33%)	–
11 Ante Budimir F	6.0	66'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–

Ghana

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
24 Ernest Nuamah F	7.2	19'	–	1	–	7 (5%)	2
23 Derrick Luckassen D	7.2	90'	1	–	1	82 (71%)	–
7 Abdul Fatawu Issahaku F	6.9	45'	–	–	2	4 (4%)	–
14 Gideon Mensah D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	54 (47%)	1
10 Brandon Thomas-Asante F	6.7	19'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
3 Caleb Yirenkyi M	6.6	13'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	–
26 Marvin Senaya D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	36 (29%)	6
22 Kamaldeen Sulemana M	6.5	71'	–	–	–	19 (17%)	2
4 Jonas Adjei Adjetey D	6.3	45'	–	–	–	48 (44%)	–
11 Antoine Semenyo M	6.3	90'	–	–	1	18 (16%)	–
9 Jordan Ayew F	6.3	71'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	–
5 Thomas Partey M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	75 (69%)	–
15 Elisha Owusu M	6.2	45'	–	–	–	15 (11%)	1
21 Kojo Peprah Oppong D	6.2	45'	–	–	–	24 (21%)	–
8 Kwasi Sibo M	6.2	85'	–	–	–	40 (38%)	1
16 Benjamin Asare G	5.9	90'	–	–	–	15 (13%)	–

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Confidence Medium (67%)

At a glance

Our lean

Croatia to win or draw

Most likely score

1:0 · 19.8%

Both teams to score

29%

Over 2.5 goals

34%

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Croatia

LWWLL

Ghana

LLDWL

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match on June 27, 2026, Croatia will face Ghana, bringing together a team known for tactical discipline and a strong midfield against Ghana's dynamic and athletic style. Croatia's recent form has been bolstered by their experienced players, particularly in the midfield, where they excel in ball control and distribution. Conversely, Ghana’s youthful squad thrives on speed and counter-attacking play, which could exploit any gaps left by Croatia's defensive line. Historical context favors Croatia, but Ghana's potential for an upset makes this a compelling fixture. Key battles in midfield will likely determine the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ghana goals →

	0	1	2
0	14	4	1
1	20	10	2
2	17	7	2
3	10	4	1
4	4	2
5	1	1

↑ Croatia goals · most likely 1–0 (19.8%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

25%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

71% BTTS No 29% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

25%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

89% Home (No Draw) 11% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

39% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

67% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 8% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

71% BTTS No 29% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

24%

28%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.9%	4.2%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
1	19.8%	10.0%	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%
2	17.3%	7.3%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%
3	9.5%	4.0%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
4	3.9%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

35%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Croatia	Draw	Ghana
Croatia	42.6%	2.3%	0.3%
Draw	23.8%	19.0%	3.9%
Ghana	1.5%	2.4%	4.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

66%

28%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

83%

0.5

17%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Croatia vs Ghana

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Croatia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Jul	A Portugal	L	2 - 1
27 Jun	H Ghana	W	2 - 1
23 Jun	A Panama	W	0 - 1
17 Jun	A England	L	4 - 2
01 Apr	A Brazil	L	3 - 1

Ghana — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Jul	A Colombia	L	1 - 0
27 Jun	A Croatia	L	2 - 1
23 Jun	A England	D	0 - 0
17 Jun	H Panama	W	1 - 0
23 May	A Mexico	L	2 - 0

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Croatia

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Zlatko Dalic

1 Livakovic

14 Perisic

3 Pongracic

6 Sutalo

2 Stanisic

8 Kovacic

10 Modric

16 Baturina

17 Sucic

13 Vlasic

11 Budimir

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	D. Livakovic	G
2	J. Stanisic	D
6	J. Sutalo	D
3	M. Pongracic	D
14	I. Perisic	D
10	L. Modric	M
8	M. Kovacic	M
13	N. Vlasic	M
17	P. Sucic	M
16	M. Baturina	M
11	A. Budimir	F

Substitutes

23	D. Kotarski	G
12	I. Pandur	G
9	A. Kramaric	F
5	D. Caleta-Car	D
7	N. Moro	M
25	M. Erlic	D
18	K. Jakic	M
21	L. Sucic	M
4	J. Gvardiol	D
24	M. Pasalic	F
20	I. Matanovic	F
15	M. Pasalic	M
26	P. Musa	F
19	T. Fruk	M
22	L. Vuskovic	D

Ghana

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Carlos Queiroz

16 Asare

14 Mensah

23 Luckassen

4 Adjetey

26 Senaya

5 Partey

22 Sulemana

8 Sibo

15 Owusu

11 Semenyo

9 Ayew

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	B. Asare	-
26	M. Senaya	D
4	J. Adjetey	D
23	D. Luckassen	D
14	G. Mensah	D
5	T. Partey	M
11	A. Semenyo	M
15	E. Owusu	M
8	K. Sibo	M
22	K. Sulemana	M
9	J. Ayew	F

Substitutes

1	L. Ati Zigi	G
12	J. Anang	G
17	A. Baba	D
19	I. Williams	F
10	B. Thomas-Asante	F
18	J. Opoku	D
25	P. Adu	F
2	A. Seidu	D
24	E. Nuamah	F
21	K. Peprah	D
13	C. Bonsu Baah	F
3	C. Yirenkyi	M
6	A. Mumin	D
20	A. Boakye	M
7	I. Fatawu	F