Morocco vs Haiti Prediction

World Cup · Group Stage - 3

Post on X

Haiti

Away

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia

AI call Morocco to win

80%

16%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Morocco vs Haiti prediction: Sportiko gives Morocco a 80% chance of winning, Haiti 3% and the draw 16%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
Home/Draw & Over 1.5 70%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%

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Match Report

Morocco secured a comfortable 4–2 victory over Haiti in their World Cup group stage finale, though the scoreline was far from straightforward. The Atlas Lions were handed an early setback when goalkeeper Bono turned the ball into his own net in the 10th minute, but Achraf Hakimi levelled before the break. Haiti struck back through Wilson Isidor on 43 minutes, only for Ismael Saibari to restore parity almost immediately, sending both sides into the interval level at 2–2. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Morocco win at 80%, and that confidence proved well-founded.

The second half told a very different story. Morocco's dominance — 70% possession, 22 total shots and nine corners to Haiti's none — eventually told when Soufiane Rahimi put the hosts ahead on 78 minutes. Substitute Gessime Yassine then sealed the result with a late strike on 89 minutes, rounding off a convincing second-half display.

Haiti, limited to just one shot on target throughout the entire match and an expected goals figure of 0.52, ultimately found Morocco's quality too great to contain across 90 minutes.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 10'

Bono Own Goal

Achraf Hakimi

39' ⚽ 1–1

⚽ 1–2 43'

Wilson Isidor assist: Jean-Kévin Duverne

Ismael Saibari assist: Achraf Hakimi

45+1' ⚽ 2–2

HT 2–2

⇄ 67'

Ruben Providence ⇄ Duckens Nazon

⇄ 67'

Wilson Isidor ⇄ Louicius Don Deedson

Brahim Díaz ⇄ Azzedine Ounahi

70' ⇄

Ismael Saibari ⇄ Soufiane Rahimi

70' ⇄

Ayoub El Kaabi ⇄ Gessime Yassine

70' ⇄

Soufiane Rahimi assist: Chadi Riad

78' ⚽ 3–2

▮ 79'

Duckens Nazon Yellow Card

▮ 79'

Johny Placide Yellow Card

⇄ 80'

Jean-Kévin Duverne ⇄ Carlens Arcus

⇄ 80'

Danley Jean Jacques ⇄ Dominique Simon

Anass Salah-Eddine ⇄ Noussair Mazraoui

83' ⇄

Neil El Aynaoui ⇄ Samir El Mourabet

83' ⇄

⇄ 83'

Lenny Joseph ⇄ Frantzdy Pierrot

Gessime Yassine assist: Soufiane Rahimi

89' ⚽ 4–2

▮ 90+4'

Josué Casimir Yellow Card

FT 4–2

Morocco

Match Stats

Haiti

70% Ball Possession 30%

3.26 Expected Goals (xG) 0.52

22 Total Shots 5

11 Shots on Goal 1

6 Shots off Goal 3

5 Blocked Shots 1

15 Shots insidebox 2

7 Shots outsidebox 3

9 Corner Kicks 0

5 Offsides 0

10 Fouls 18

0 Yellow Cards 3

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 8

540 Total passes 242

478 Passes accurate 193

89% Passes % 80%

-0.23 goals_prevented -0.23

Morocco

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
23 Bilal El Khannouss M	8.9	95'	–	–	2	72 (59%)	3
9 Soufiane Rahimi F	8.2	25'	1	1	1	7 (6%)	–
2 Achraf Hakimi D	7.6	95'	1	1	3	62 (54%)	1
11 Ismael Saibari M	7.3	70'	1	–	4	24 (19%)	1
16 Gessime Yassine F	7.3	25'	1	–	1	7 (6%)	1
4 Sofyan Amrabat M	6.9	95'	–	–	–	69 (64%)	2
18 Chadi Riad D	6.7	95'	–	1	1	67 (64%)	1
3 Noussair Mazraoui D	6.7	12'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
24 Neil El Aynaoui M	6.7	83'	–	–	1	58 (49%)	2
8 Azzedine Ounahi M	6.7	25'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	–
25 Redouane Halhal D	6.7	95'	–	–	–	53 (50%)	1
15 Samir El Mourabet M	6.6	12'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	1
10 Brahim Díaz M	6.5	70'	–	–	1	22 (18%)	–
26 Anass Salah-Eddine D	6.2	83'	–	–	–	52 (51%)	2
20 Ayoub El Kaabi F	6.2	70'	–	–	3	10 (7%)	3
1 Bono G	5.2	95'	–	–	–	19 (15%)	–

Haiti

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
18 Wilson Isidor F	7.7	67'	1	–	1	3 (3%)	1
1 Johny Placide G	6.9	95'	–	–	–	34 (19%)	–
17 Danley Jean Jacques M	6.9	80'	–	–	–	18 (16%)	7
22 Jean-Kévin Duverne D	6.7	80'	–	1	–	17 (15%)	4
9 Duckens Nazon F	6.7	28'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
15 Ruben Providence M	6.6	67'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	5
4 Ricardo Adé D	6.5	95'	–	–	–	39 (34%)	3
5 Hannes Delcroix D	6.3	95'	–	–	–	36 (32%)	1
11 Louicius Don Deedson F	6.3	28'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
10 Jean-Ricner Bellegarde M	6.3	95'	–	–	1	26 (24%)	1
20 Frantzdy Pierrot F	6.3	12'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
25 Dominique Simon M	6.3	15'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
21 Josué Casimir M	6.0	95'	–	–	–	16 (11%)	–
2 Carlens Arcus D	5.9	15'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	1
8 Martin Expérience D	5.7	95'	–	–	–	12 (9%)	2
16 Lenny Joseph F	5.3	83'	–	–	2	12 (9%)	–

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Confidence High (80%)

At a glance

Our lean

Morocco to win

Most likely score

2:0 · 20.4%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Morocco

LWDWW

Haiti

LLLLW

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match on June 24, 2026, Morocco will face Haiti, with both teams seeking to gain crucial points. Morocco boasts a solid defensive record, evidenced by their strong backline in recent qualifiers, allowing only 3 goals in their last 6 matches. Haiti, on the other hand, has shown attacking flair but struggles defensively, conceding 12 goals in the same number of fixtures. The key for Morocco will be to exploit Haiti's defensive vulnerabilities, while Haiti must improve their backline to withstand Morocco's attacking prowess. Overall, Morocco enters as the favorites, given their stronger squad depth and recent form.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Haiti goals →

	0	1	2
0	9	2
1	18	6	1
2	20	6	1
3	15	5	1
4	8	2
5	4	1

↑ Morocco goals · most likely 2–0 (20.4%)

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Players in form

Morocco

I. Saibari 3 gls

Haiti

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

80%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

80%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

96% Home (No Draw) 4% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

56% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

80% Home Scores More 16% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

19%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.1%	1.8%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
1	17.7%	6.3%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.4%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	15.0%	4.5%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	8.3%	2.5%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

34%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Morocco	Draw	Haiti
Morocco	56.2%	1.4%	0.1%
Draw	24.2%	12.1%	1.6%
Haiti	1.3%	1.5%	1.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

Home Exact Goals

11%

25%

27%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Morocco vs Haiti

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Morocco — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
09 Jul	A France	L	2 - 0
04 Jul	A Canada	W	0 - 3
30 Jun	A Netherlands	D	1 - 1
24 Jun	H Haiti	W	4 - 2
19 Jun	A Scotland	W	0 - 1

Haiti — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Jun	A Morocco	L	4 - 2
20 Jun	A Brazil	L	3 - 0
14 Jun	H Scotland	L	0 - 1
06 Jun	H Peru	L	1 - 2
03 Jun	H New Zealand	W	4 - 0

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Morocco

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Mohamed Ouahbi

1 Bounou

26 Salah-Eddine

18 Riad

25 Halhal

2 Hakimi

24 Aynaoui

4 Amrabat

23 Khannouss

11 Saibari

10 Díaz

20 Kaabi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Yassine Bounou	G
2	Achraf Hakimi	D
25	Redouane Halhal	D
18	Chadi Riad	D
26	Anass Salah-Eddine	D
4	Sofyan Amrabat	M
24	Neil El Aynaoui	M
10	Brahim Díaz	M
11	Ismael Saibari	M
23	Bilal El Khannouss	M
20	Ayoub El Kaabi	F

Substitutes

12	Munir El Kajoui	G
22	Ahmed Reda Tagnaouti	G
3	Noussair Mazraoui	D
5	Marwane Saadane	D
13	Zakaria El Ouahdi	D
14	Issa Diop	D
19	Youssef Belammari	D
6	Ayyoub Bouaddi	M
7	Chemsdine Talbi	F
8	Azzedine Ounahi	M
15	Samir El Mourabet	M
16	Gessime Yassine	F
17	Amine Sbai	F
9	Soufiane Rahimi	F
21	Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab	F

Haiti

Formation: 4-4-1-1 Coach: Sebastien Migne

1 Placide

8 Expérience

5 Delcroix

4 Adé

22 Duverne

15 Providence

10 Bellegarde

17 Jacques

21 Casimir

18 Isidor

16 Joseph

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Johny Placide	G
22	Jean-Kévin Duverne	D
4	Ricardo Adé	D
5	Hannes Delcroix	D
8	Martin Expérience	D
21	Josué Casimir	M
17	Danley Jean Jacques	M
10	Jean-Ricner Bellegarde	M
15	Ruben Providence	M
18	Wilson Isidor	F
16	Lenny Joseph	F

Substitutes

11	Louicius Don Deedson	F
9	Duckens Nazon	F
12	Alexandre Pierre	G
23	Josué Duverger	G
2	Carlens Arcus	D
3	Keeto Thermoncy	D
14	Garven-Michee Metusala	D
13	Duke Lacroix	D
6	Carl Fred Sainté	M
24	Wilguens Paugain	D
26	Woodensky Pierre	M
25	Dominique Simon	M
7	Derrick Etienne	F
20	Frantzdy Pierrot	F
19	Yassin Fortune	F