⚽ New season loading — sign up free for AI predictions on every match →
Login Sign Up

France vs Iraq Prediction

World Cup World Cup · Group Stage - 2
FT
Post on X
France

France

Home
3 : 0
HT 1 - 0
Iraq

Iraq

Away
AI call France to win
82%
15%
3%
Home Win Draw Away Win

France vs Iraq prediction: Sportiko gives France a 82% chance of winning, Iraq 3% and the draw 15%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

Premium picks

Premium
  • Under 3.5 Goals 76%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
  • Home/Draw & Over 1.5 72%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Match Report

France secured a comfortable 3-0 victory over Iraq in their World Cup Group Stage encounter, with Kylian Mbappé the standout performer on the night. The tone was set early as Iraq's Amir Al-Ammari picked up a yellow card in the sixth minute, and France took full advantage of their numerical pressure when Mbappé opened the scoring on 14 minutes. Iraq had a VAR check go against them late in the first half, and France carried their 1-0 lead into the break firmly in control.

Mbappé doubled the advantage nine minutes into the second half, effectively ending the contest as a competitive fixture. Ousmane Dembélé added a third on 66 minutes before being substituted moments later, with Michael Olise among the replacements introduced as France managed their resources. Our pre-match AI model had rated a France win at 82%, a call that proved well-founded.

The statistics underlined France's dominance throughout — they registered five shots on target to Iraq's none, and enjoyed 56% possession across the 90 minutes. Iraq managed just four total attempts, offering little threat to the French goal.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 6'
Amir Al-Ammari Yellow Card
Kylian Mbappé assist: Michael Olise
14' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 26'
Aymen Hussein ⇄ Ali Al-Hamadi
🖵 28'
Ali Al-Hamadi
HT 1–0
Kylian Mbappé assist: Ousmane Dembélé
54' ⚽ 2–0
⇄ 60'
Zaid Tahseen ⇄ Rebin Sulaka
⇄ 60'
Zaid Ismail ⇄ Youssef Amyn
Ousmane Dembélé assist: Michael Olise
66' ⚽ 3–0
Ousmane Dembélé ⇄ Désiré Doué
68' ⇄
Michael Olise ⇄ Rayan Cherki
68' ⇄
⇄ 68'
Amir Al-Ammari ⇄ Aimar Sher
⇄ 69'
Ibrahim Bayesh ⇄ Marko Farji
Bradley Barcola ⇄ Maghnes Akliouche
83' ⇄
Jules Koundé ⇄ Malo Gusto
83' ⇄
FT 3–0
France

Match Stats

Iraq
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Goal 0
9 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 1
4 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 0
8 Fouls 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 2
4 Free Kicks 8
France
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Kylian Mbappé F 9.3 88' 2 – 7 39 (35%) 1
7 Ousmane Dembélé M 9.0 68' 1 1 4 43 (37%) 1
4 Dayot Upamecano D 7.7 88' – – – 76 (73%) 1
11 Michael Olise M 7.6 68' – 2 3 42 (33%) 1
5 Jules Koundé D 7.5 83' – – – 41 (36%) 1
17 William Saliba D 7.4 88' – – 1 64 (61%) 1
24 Rayan Cherki M 7.2 20' – – – 17 (15%) 1
6 Manu Koné M 7.1 88' – – 1 72 (66%) 3
2 Malo Gusto D 7.0 5' – – – 5 (4%) –
16 Mike Maignan G 6.9 88' – – – 10 (9%) –
14 Adrien Rabiot M 6.9 88' – – 1 69 (68%) 1
3 Lucas Digne D 6.9 88' – – – 59 (50%) –
25 Maghnes Akliouche M 6.6 5' – – – 5 (4%) 1
20 Désiré Doué F 6.5 20' – – – 11 (9%) –
12 Bradley Barcola M 6.4 83' – – 1 32 (25%) 2
Iraq
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
21 Marko Farji M 6.8 19' – – – 4 (3%) –
14 Zidane Iqbal M 6.7 88' – – – 67 (62%) 3
23 Merchas Doski D 6.6 88' – – – 58 (54%) 4
5 Akam Hashem D 6.5 88' – – – 66 (64%) 1
18 Aymen Hussein F 6.4 26' – – – 5 (2%) –
24 Zaid Ismail M 6.3 60' – – – 46 (40%) 3
11 Ahmed Qasem M 6.3 88' – – – 13 (10%) –
9 Ali Al-Hamadi F 6.2 62' – – 3 14 (11%) –
2 Rebin Sulaka D 6.1 28' – – 1 16 (12%) –
4 Zaid Tahseen D 6.0 60' – – – 28 (23%) 1
16 Amir Al-Ammari M 6.0 68' – – – 47 (41%) 1
3 Hussein Ali D 5.9 88' – – – 15 (9%) 2
7 Youssef Amyn F 5.8 28' – – – 4 (4%) 1
20 Aimar Sher M 5.8 20' – – – 19 (17%) –
8 Ibrahim Bayesh M 5.7 69' – – – 16 (13%) 2
22 Ahmed Basil G 5.6 88' – – – 41 (28%) –
Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on France vs Iraq

  • All 70+ probability markets
  • AI Deep-Dive match report
  • Value Edge — model vs market
  • Pick types you choose
Go Premium
Confidence High (82%)

At a glance

Our lean
France to win
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now
France
LLWWW
Iraq
DLLLL

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match on June 22, 2026, France faces Iraq. Historically, France boasts a strong record in international tournaments, having won two World Cups. The team has a wealth of attacking talent, led by elite players like Kylian Mbappé, who have consistently delivered in high-pressure situations. Conversely, Iraq has shown resilience but lacks the experience of top-tier competition, making them heavy underdogs. Expect France to dominate possession and leverage their depth and technical skills to secure a decisive victory.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

France
Kylian Mbappé 10 gls
O. Dembélé 6 gls
Iraq

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: France vs Iraq

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

France — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Jul H England L 4 - 6
14 Jul H Spain L 0 - 2
09 Jul H Morocco W 2 - 0
04 Jul A Paraguay W 0 - 1
30 Jun H Sweden W 3 - 0

Iraq — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
23 Sep H Oman D 1 - 1
26 Jun A Senegal L 5 - 0
22 Jun A France L 3 - 0
16 Jun H Norway L 1 - 4
10 Jun H Venezuela L 0 - 2

World Cup Standings

Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Mexico
3 3 0 0 +6 9
2
South Africa
3 1 1 1 -1 4
4
Czechia
3 0 1 2 -4 1

Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Switzerland
3 2 1 0 +4 7
2
Canada
3 1 1 1 +5 4
4
Qatar
3 0 1 2 -8 1

Group C

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Brazil
3 2 1 0 +6 7
2
Morocco
3 2 1 0 +3 7
4
Haiti
3 0 0 3 -6 0

Group D

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
USA
3 2 0 1 +4 6
2
Australia
3 1 1 1 0 4
4
Türkiye
3 1 0 2 -2 3

Group E

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Germany
3 2 0 1 +6 6
2
Ivory Coast
3 2 0 1 +2 6
4
Curaçao
3 0 1 2 -8 1

Group F

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Netherlands
3 2 1 0 +6 7
2
Japan
3 1 2 0 +4 5
4
Tunisia
3 0 0 3 -10 0

Group G

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Belgium
3 1 2 0 +4 5
2
Egypt
3 1 2 0 +2 5
4
New Zealand
3 0 1 2 -6 1

Group H

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Spain
3 2 1 0 +5 7
2
Cape Verde Islands
3 0 3 0 0 3
4
Saudi Arabia
3 0 2 1 -4 2

Group I

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
France
3 3 0 0 +8 9
2
Norway
3 2 0 1 +1 6
4
Iraq
3 0 0 3 -11 0

Group J

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Argentina
3 3 0 0 +7 9
2
Austria
3 1 1 1 0 4
4
Jordan
3 0 0 3 -5 0

Group K

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Colombia
3 2 1 0 +3 7
2
Portugal
3 1 2 0 +5 5
4
Uzbekistan
3 0 0 3 -9 0

Group L

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
England
3 2 1 0 +4 7
2
Croatia
3 2 0 1 0 6
4
Panama
3 0 0 3 -4 0

Group Stage

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Congo DR
3 1 1 1 +1 4
2
Sweden
3 1 1 1 0 4
3
Ghana
3 1 1 1 0 4
4
Ecuador
3 1 1 1 0 4
5
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 1 1 1 -1 4
6
Algeria
3 1 1 1 -2 4
7
Paraguay
3 1 1 1 -2 4
8
Senegal
3 1 0 2 +2 3
9
Iran
3 0 3 0 0 3
10
South Korea
3 1 0 2 -1 3
11
Scotland
3 1 0 2 -3 3
12
Uruguay
3 0 2 1 -1 2

France

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Didier Deschamps
16 Maignan
3 Digne
17 Saliba
4 Upamecano
5 Koundé
14 Rabiot
6 Koné
12 Barcola
11 Olise
7 Dembélé
10 Mbappé

Starting XI

# Player Pos
16 Mike Maignan G
5 Jules Koundé D
4 Dayot Upamecano D
17 William Saliba D
3 Lucas Digne D
6 Manu Koné M
14 Adrien Rabiot M
7 Ousmane Dembélé M
11 Michael Olise M
12 Bradley Barcola M
10 Kylian Mbappé F

Substitutes

1 Brice Samba G
23 Robin Risser G
2 Malo Gusto D
15 Ibrahima Konaté D
21 Lucas Hernández D
19 Theo Hernández D
26 Maxence Lacroix D
8 Aurélien Tchouaméni M
13 N'Golo Kanté M
18 Warren Zaïre-Emery M
25 Maghnes Akliouche M
24 Rayan Cherki M
22 Jean-Philippe Mateta F
9 Marcus Thuram F
20 Désiré Doué F

Iraq

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Graham Arnold
22 Basil
23 Doski
5 Hashem
4 Tahseen
3 Ali
16 Al-Ammari
8 Bayesh
14 Iqbal
24 Ismail
11 Qasem
18 Hussein

Starting XI

# Player Pos
22 Ahmed Basil G
3 Hussein Ali D
4 Zaid Tahseen D
5 Akam Hashem D
23 Merchas Doski D
16 Amir Al-Ammari M
11 Ahmed Qasem M
24 Zaid Ismail M
14 Zidane Iqbal M
8 Ibrahim Bayesh M
18 Aymen Hussein F

Substitutes

9 Ali Al-Hamadi F
1 Fahad Talib G
12 Jalal Hassan G
6 Munaf Younus D
15 Ahmed Hasan Maknazi D
26 Frans Putros D
25 Mustafa Saadoon D
2 Rebin Sulaka D
17 Ali Jasim F
20 Aimar Sher M
19 Kevin Yakob M
21 Marko Farji M
7 Youssef Amyn F
13 Ali Yousif F
10 Mohanad Ali F

Sportiko Assistant

Features, the contest, or football

Sign up free to chat with the Sportiko Assistant — ask about predictions, the contest, anything football.

Sign up free Already have an account? Log in