Spain vs Saudi Arabia Prediction

World Cup · Group Stage - 2

Post on X

Saudi Arabia

Away

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia

AI call Spain to win

84%

14%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Spain vs Saudi Arabia prediction: Sportiko gives Spain a 84% chance of winning, Saudi Arabia 3% and the draw 14%. Last updated 31 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Premium picks

Premium

Home/Draw & Over 1.5 75%
Home 2H Over 0.5 74%
Under 3.5 Goals 73%
1st Half Over 0.5 71%

Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Lamine Yamal assist: Mikel Oyarzabal

10' ⚽ 1–0

Mikel Oyarzabal assist: Aymeric Laporte

21' ⚽ 2–0

Mikel Oyarzabal assist: Dani Olmo

24' ⚽ 3–0

▮ 30'

Salem Al-Dawsari Yellow Card

HT 3–0

Mikel Oyarzabal ⇄ Ferran Torres

46' ⇄

Lamine Yamal ⇄ Yéremy Pino

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Abdullah Al-Khaibari ⇄ Mohamed Kanno

⇄ 46'

Musab Al Juwayr ⇄ Abdullah Al-Hamdan

Hassan Altambakti Own Goal

49' ⚽ 4–0

▮ 60'

Mohamed Kanno Yellow Card

⇄ 60'

Abdulelah Al-Amri ⇄ Ala Al Haji

⇄ 60'

Firas Al-Buraikan ⇄ Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat

Dani Olmo ⇄ Mikel Merino

61' ⇄

Alex Baena ⇄ Nico Williams

61' ⇄

Pedri ⇄ Fabián Ruiz

70' ⇄

⇄ 90'

Nasser Al-Dawsari ⇄ Khalid Al-Ghannam

Ferran Torres Goal cancelled

90+5' 🖵

FT 4–0

Spain

Match Stats

Saudi Arabia

67% Ball Possession 33%

2.30 Expected Goals (xG) 0.14

22 Total Shots 3

8 Shots on Goal 1

12 Shots off Goal 1

2 Blocked Shots 1

13 Shots insidebox 0

9 Shots outsidebox 3

6 Corner Kicks 1

2 Offsides 3

10 Fouls 2

0 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 5

726 Total passes 364

668 Passes accurate 294

92% Passes % 81%

-0.55 goals_prevented -0.55

Spain

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
21 Mikel Oyarzabal F	9.5	45'	2	1	5	13 (7%)	1
19 Lamine Yamal F	8.3	45'	1	–	5	32 (29%)	1
16 Rodri M	8.2	90'	–	–	1	119 (113%)	2
22 Pau Cubarsí D	7.9	90'	–	–	–	99 (98%)	1
14 Aymeric Laporte D	7.9	90'	–	1	–	85 (81%)	1
10 Dani Olmo M	7.5	61'	–	1	2	41 (37%)	1
23 Unai Simón G	7.3	90'	–	–	–	28 (27%)	–
24 Marc Cucurella D	7.3	90'	–	–	1	56 (52%)	–
8 Fabián Ruiz M	7.3	20'	–	–	–	27 (27%)	–
12 Pedro Porro D	7.3	90'	–	–	2	66 (61%)	3
20 Pedri M	7.0	70'	–	–	1	68 (58%)	–
15 Alex Baena F	6.9	61'	–	–	1	40 (35%)	–
6 Mikel Merino M	6.7	29'	–	–	–	16 (13%)	–
7 Ferran Torres F	6.5	45'	–	–	2	4 (3%)	–
17 Nico Williams F	6.2	29'	–	–	–	11 (10%)	–
11 Yéremy Pino M	6.2	45'	–	–	–	21 (17%)	–

Saudi Arabia

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
21 Mohammed Al-Owais G	7.2	90'	–	–	–	32 (19%)	–
26 Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat M	6.9	30'	–	–	–	19 (15%)	3
10 Salem Al-Dawsari M	6.7	90'	–	–	–	22 (18%)	2
18 Ala'a Al-Hejji M	6.7	30'	–	–	–	18 (16%)	–
17 Khalid Al-Ghannam F	6.5	9'	–	–	–	–	–
23 Mohamed Kanno M	6.3	45'	–	–	–	28 (27%)	–
15 Abdullah Al-Khaibari M	6.3	45'	–	–	–	16 (13%)	1
3 Ali Lajami D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	23 (19%)	1
6 Nasser Al-Dawsari M	6.3	89'	–	–	–	38 (32%)	2
19 Abdullah Al-Hamdan F	6.3	45'	–	–	1	8 (6%)	–
12 Saud Abdulhamid D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	45 (41%)	2
9 Firas Al-Buraikan F	6.2	60'	–	–	–	17 (12%)	–
7 Musab Al Juwayr M	6.2	45'	–	–	–	17 (12%)	2
5 Hassan Altambakti D	5.6	90'	–	–	–	37 (30%)	2
4 Abdulelah Al-Amri D	5.3	60'	–	–	1	20 (15%)	–
24 Moteb Al-Harbi D	5.3	90'	–	–	–	24 (19%)	–

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Spain vs Saudi Arabia

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Pick types you choose

Go Premium

Confidence High (84%)

At a glance

Our lean

Spain to win

Most likely score

2:0 · 19.9%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Spain

WWWWW

Saudi Arabia

WDLDD

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match on June 21, Spain faces Saudi Arabia, with Spain historically dominating in international competitions. Spain's possession-based style, coupled with their average of 60% possession in qualifying matches, suggests they will control the game. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia, known for their counter-attacking plays, will need to capitalize on any defensive lapses by the Spanish backline. With Spain's attacking prowess highlighted by an average of 2.5 goals per game in qualifiers, they enter as strong favorites. The key for Saudi Arabia will be to maintain defensive discipline and exploit set pieces for potential scoring opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Saudi Arabia goals →

	0	1	2
0	7	1
1	15	5	1
2	20	6	1
3	16	5	1
4	10	3
5	5	2

↑ Spain goals · most likely 2–0 (19.9%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Spain

Mikel Oyarzabal 5 gls

Saudi Arabia

Saleh Al Shehri 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

84%

Draw

14%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

24%

1.5

76%

49%

2.5

51%

73%

3.5

27%

89%

4.5

11%

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

84%

Draw

14%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

97% Home (No Draw) 3% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

62% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

84% Home Scores More 14% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

24%

1.5

76%

49%

2.5

51%

73%

3.5

27%

89%

4.5

11%

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

26%

23%

16%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
1	15.4%	5.4%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
2	19.9%	6.0%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	16.4%	4.9%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	10.2%	3.1%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

29%

35%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

23%

32%

26%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Spain	Draw	Saudi Arabia
Spain	60.5%	1.2%	0.1%
Draw	23.3%	9.6%	1.2%
Saudi Arabia	1.4%	1.3%	1.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

79%

3.5

21%

Home Exact Goals

22%

27%

22%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Spain vs Saudi Arabia

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Spain — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Jul	H Argentina	W	1 - 0
14 Jul	A France	W	0 - 2
10 Jul	H Belgium	W	2 - 1
06 Jul	A Portugal	W	0 - 1
02 Jul	H Austria	W	3 - 0

Saudi Arabia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
23 Sep	H Kuwait	W	1 - 0
27 Jun	A Cape Verde Islands	D	0 - 0
21 Jun	A Spain	L	4 - 0
15 Jun	H Uruguay	D	1 - 1
09 Jun	H Senegal	D	0 - 0

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Spain

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Luis de la Fuente

23 Simon

24 Cucurella

14 Laporte

22 Cubarsi

12 Porro

20 Pedri

16 Rodri

10 Olmo

15 Baena

21 Oyarzabal

19 Yamal

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	U. Simon	G
12	P. Porro	D
22	P. Cubarsi	D
14	A. Laporte	D
24	M. Cucurella	D
10	D. Olmo	M
16	Rodri	M
20	Pedri	M
19	Lamine Yamal	F
21	M. Oyarzabal	F
15	A. Baena	F

Substitutes

1	D. Raya	G
13	J. Garcia	G
5	M. Llorente	M
8	F. Ruiz	M
7	F. Torres	F
18	M. Zubimendi	M
9	Gavi	M
3	A. Grimaldo	D
26	B. Iglesias	F
6	M. Merino	M
4	E. Garcia	D
11	Y. Pino	M
17	N. Williams	F
25	V. Munoz	F
2	M. Pubill	D

Saudi Arabia

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Georgios Donis

21 Owais

24 Harbi

5 Tambakti

3 Lajami

4 Amri

12 Abdulhamid

10 Dawsari

6 Dawsari

15 Khaibari

7 Juwayr

9 Buraikan

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
21	M. Al Owais	G
12	S. Abdulhamid	D
4	A. Al Amri	D
3	A. Lajami	D
5	H. Tambakti	D
24	M. Al Harbi	D
7	M. Al Juwayr	M
15	A. Al Khaibari	M
6	N. Al Dawsari	M
10	S. Al Dawsari	M
9	F. Al Buraikan	F

Substitutes

22	A. Al Kassar	G
1	N. Al Aqidi	G
11	S. Al Shehri	F
23	M. Kanno	M
20	S. Mandash	F
2	A. Majrashi	D
17	K. Al Ghannam	F
19	A. Al Hamdan	F
16	Z. Al Johani	M
14	H. Kadesh	D
18	A. Hejji	-
8	A. Yahya	M
26	M. Abu Al Shamat	M
13	N. Boushal	D
25	J. Thakri	-