Brazil vs Haiti Prediction

World Cup · Group Stage - 2

Post on X

Haiti

Away

AI call Brazil to win

83%

14%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Brazil vs Haiti prediction: Sportiko gives Brazil a 83% chance of winning, Haiti 3% and the draw 14%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5 73%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Home 2H Over 0.5 73%

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Match Report

Brazil were dominant from the off, taking control of possession and carving Haiti open with clinical efficiency in the first half. Matheus Cunha was the standout performer, netting twice in quick succession in the 23rd and 36th minutes to put the Seleção firmly in command. Vinícius Júnior added a third in stoppage time before the break, ensuring the contest was effectively over at half-time. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Brazil win at 83%, and the result bore that out comfortably.

Haiti struggled to cope with Brazil's attacking intent, though the scoreline perhaps flatters the South Americans slightly — their expected goals figure of 1.50 against Haiti's 0.25 reflects a controlled rather than spectacular display. The Caribbean side did manage to match Brazil on total shots and corner kicks, suggesting occasional moments of resilience, but they were let down by indiscipline, collecting three yellow cards across the match.

The second half was largely a formality, with Brazil managing the game through a series of substitutions, including Cunha and Vinícius Júnior being withdrawn after their contributions. Brazil advance in strong shape, while Haiti face a difficult path ahead in the group stage.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 4'

Carlens Arcus Yellow Card

Matheus Cunha

23' ⚽ 1–0

Matheus Cunha assist: Vinícius Júnior

36' ⚽ 2–0

Raphinha ⇄ Rayan

40' ⇄

Vinícius Júnior assist: Lucas Paquetá

45+3' ⚽ 3–0

▮ 45+4'

Frantzdy Pierrot Yellow Card

HT 3–0

⇄ 46'

Carlens Arcus ⇄ Dominique Simon

⇄ 46'

Frantzdy Pierrot ⇄ Wilson Isidor

⇄ 63'

Josué Casimir ⇄ Louicius Don Deedson

Lucas Paquetá ⇄ Gabriel Martinelli

64' ⇄

Matheus Cunha ⇄ Endrick

64' ⇄

Douglas Santos Yellow Card

65' ▮

⇄ 71'

Ruben Providence ⇄ Lenny Joseph

▮ 72'

Danley Jean Jacques Yellow Card

Vinícius Júnior ⇄ Danilo Santos

81' ⇄

Bruno Guimarães ⇄ Éderson

81' ⇄

⇄ 81'

Jean-Ricner Bellegarde ⇄ Derrick Etienne

FT 3–0

Brazil

Match Stats

Haiti

57% Ball Possession 43%

1.50 Expected Goals (xG) 0.25

8 Total Shots 8

5 Shots on Goal 3

2 Shots off Goal 4

1 Blocked Shots 1

8 Shots insidebox 5

0 Shots outsidebox 3

4 Corner Kicks 4

8 Offsides 4

13 Fouls 15

1 Yellow Cards 3

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 2

522 Total passes 399

461 Passes accurate 331

88% Passes % 83%

-0.69 goals_prevented -0.69

Brazil

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Matheus Cunha F	9.3	64'	2	–	2	29 (25%)	2
7 Vinícius Júnior F	8.2	81'	1	1	2	21 (16%)	–
1 Alisson G	7.7	94'	–	–	–	28 (23%)	–
4 Marquinhos D	7.7	94'	–	–	–	84 (81%)	1
3 Gabriel Magalhães D	7.5	94'	–	–	–	81 (77%)	1
20 Lucas Paquetá M	7.5	64'	–	1	–	48 (45%)	1
5 Casemiro M	7.3	94'	–	–	–	57 (47%)	6
8 Bruno Guimarães M	7.2	81'	–	–	–	31 (25%)	5
22 Gabriel Martinelli F	7.0	30'	–	–	–	9 (9%)	–
16 Douglas Santos D	6.7	94'	–	–	1	37 (34%)	2
13 Danilo D	6.6	94'	–	–	–	54 (46%)	1
18 Danilo Santos M	6.6	13'	–	–	–	5 (2%)	1
26 Rayan F	6.6	54'	–	–	–	18 (16%)	–
2 Éderson M	6.5	13'	–	–	1	3 (3%)	–
19 Endrick F	6.5	30'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	1
11 Raphinha F	6.2	40'	–	–	1	13 (10%)	–

Haiti

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Jean-Ricner Bellegarde M	6.9	81'	–	–	–	43 (38%)	–
5 Hannes Delcroix D	6.7	94'	–	–	–	48 (44%)	2
18 Wilson Isidor F	6.7	49'	–	–	1	11 (9%)	–
4 Ricardo Adé D	6.6	94'	–	–	2	36 (32%)	2
25 Dominique Simon M	6.6	49'	–	–	1	24 (18%)	2
16 Lenny Joseph F	6.5	23'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
1 Johny Placide G	6.3	94'	–	–	–	32 (21%)	–
17 Danley Jean Jacques M	6.3	94'	–	–	1	49 (44%)	2
20 Frantzdy Pierrot F	6.3	45'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	–
11 Louicius Don Deedson F	6.2	32'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
15 Ruben Providence M	6.2	71'	–	–	1	12 (9%)	–
7 Derrick Etienne F	6.2	13'	–	–	–	7 (4%)	–
8 Martin Expérience D	6.0	94'	–	–	–	36 (30%)	4
22 Jean-Kévin Duverne D	6.0	94'	–	–	1	47 (40%)	2
2 Carlens Arcus D	5.9	45'	–	–	–	13 (11%)	2
21 Josué Casimir M	5.3	62'	–	–	–	16 (12%)	–

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Confidence High (83%)

At a glance

Our lean

Brazil to win

Most likely score

2:0 · 20.1%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Brazil

LWWWD

Haiti

LLLLW

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match on June 20, Brazil will face Haiti, showcasing a significant disparity in footballing pedigree. Brazil, a five-time World Cup champion, boasts a deep roster filled with world-class talent, highlighted by their attacking prowess and historical dominance in international tournaments. Haiti, while improving, typically struggles against elite teams, as evidenced by their FIFA ranking and limited success in major competitions. Expect Brazil to control possession and create numerous scoring opportunities, while Haiti will likely focus on defensive organization and counter-attacks. This match could be a pivotal moment for Brazil to assert their potential as a tournament favorite.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

83%

45%

Draw

14%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Haiti goals →

	0	1	2
0	8	1
1	16	6	1
2	20	6	1
3	16	5	1
4	10	3
5	5	1

↑ Brazil goals · most likely 2–0 (20.1%)

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Players in form

Brazil

Vinícius Júnior 4 gls

Haiti

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

83%

Draw

14%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

74%

3.5

26%

90%

4.5

10%

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

83%

Draw

14%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

97% Home (No Draw) 3% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

60% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

83% Home Scores More 14% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

74%

3.5

26%

90%

4.5

10%

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

26%

23%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.7%	1.5%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
1	16.2%	5.7%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.1%	6.0%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	16.0%	4.8%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	9.6%	2.9%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

33%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Brazil	Draw	Haiti
Brazil	58.8%	1.2%	0.1%
Draw	23.9%	10.4%	1.3%
Haiti	1.4%	1.4%	1.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

91%

32%

1.5

68%

59%

2.5

41%

81%

3.5

19%

Home Exact Goals

10%

23%

27%

22%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Brazil vs Haiti

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Brazil — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Jul	H Norway	L	1 - 2
29 Jun	H Japan	W	2 - 1
24 Jun	A Scotland	W	0 - 3
20 Jun	H Haiti	W	3 - 0
13 Jun	H Morocco	D	1 - 1

Haiti — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Jun	A Morocco	L	4 - 2
20 Jun	A Brazil	L	3 - 0
14 Jun	H Scotland	L	0 - 1
06 Jun	H Peru	L	1 - 2
03 Jun	H New Zealand	W	4 - 0

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Brazil

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Carlo Ancelotti

1 Alisson

16 Santos

3 Magalhães

4 Marquinhos

13 Danilo

20 Paquetá

5 Casemiro

8 Guimarães

7 Júnior

9 Cunha

11 Raphinha

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Alisson	G
13	Danilo	D
4	Marquinhos	D
3	Gabriel Magalhães	D
16	Douglas Santos	D
8	Bruno Guimarães	M
5	Casemiro	M
20	Lucas Paquetá	M
11	Raphinha	F
9	Matheus Cunha	F
7	Vinícius Júnior	F

Substitutes

26	Rayan	F
12	Weverton	G
23	Ederson	G
6	Alex Sandro	D
14	Bremer	D
15	Léo Pereira	D
24	Roger Ibañez	D
17	Fabinho	M
21	Luiz Henrique	F
2	Éderson	M
18	Danilo Santos	M
19	Endrick	F
22	Gabriel Martinelli	F
25	Igor Thiago	F

Haiti

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Sebastien Migne

1 Placide

8 Expérience

5 Delcroix

4 Adé

22 Duverne

2 Arcus

15 Providence

10 Bellegarde

17 Jacques

21 Casimir

20 Pierrot

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Johny Placide	G
2	Carlens Arcus	D
22	Jean-Kévin Duverne	D
4	Ricardo Adé	D
5	Hannes Delcroix	D
8	Martin Expérience	D
21	Josué Casimir	M
17	Danley Jean Jacques	M
10	Jean-Ricner Bellegarde	M
15	Ruben Providence	M
20	Frantzdy Pierrot	F

Substitutes

12	Alexandre Pierre	G
23	Josué Duverger	G
3	Keeto Thermoncy	D
13	Duke Lacroix	D
14	Garven-Michee Metusala	D
24	Wilguens Paugain	D
6	Carl Fred Sainté	M
25	Dominique Simon	M
26	Woodensky Pierre	M
7	Derrick Etienne	F
9	Duckens Nazon	F
11	Louicius Don Deedson	F
16	Lenny Joseph	F
18	Wilson Isidor	F
19	Yassin Fortune	F