Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Prediction

World Cup · Group Stage - 2

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Bosnia & Herzegovina

Away

AI call Switzerland to win or draw

66%

24%

10%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction: Sportiko gives Switzerland a 66% chance of winning, Bosnia & Herzegovina 10% and the draw 24%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%

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Match Report

A goalless first half gave little indication of what was to come, as both sides cancelled each other out despite Switzerland enjoying the majority of possession. The match began to shift in the second half when a flurry of yellow cards — for Dedić, Džeko, and Elvedi — raised tensions on both sides, before Johan Manzambi broke the deadlock for Switzerland in the 74th minute.

Bosnia's task became near-impossible when Tarik Muharemović was shown a red card on 80 minutes, and Switzerland quickly capitalised. Rubén Vargas added a second four minutes later, before Manzambi grabbed his second of the game in stoppage time. Despite being reduced to ten men, Bosnia pulled one back through Ermin Mahmic in the 90th minute, but Granit Xhaka converted a late penalty to seal a commanding 4–1 victory. Switzerland's expected goals figure of 1.20 against Bosnia's 0.24 underlined their dominance in the final third.

The result was in line with pre-match expectations — our AI model had rated a Switzerland win as the most likely outcome at 66%, a call that proved correct.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0

▮ 59'

Amar Dedić Yellow Card

▮ 61'

Edin Džeko Yellow Card

⇄ 63'

Benjamin Tahirović ⇄ Ivan Bašić

⇄ 64'

Edin Džeko ⇄ Esmir Bajraktarević

Nico Elvedi Yellow Card

65' ▮

Dan Ndoye ⇄ Johan Manzambi

71' ⇄

Fabian Rieder ⇄ Rubén Vargas

71' ⇄

Michel Aebischer ⇄ Djibril Sow

71' ⇄

Johan Manzambi

74' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 80'

Tarik Muharemović Red Card

Rubén Vargas assist: Breel Embolo

84' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 86'

Ermedin Demirović ⇄ Jovo Lukić

⇄ 86'

Ivan Šunjić ⇄ Amir Hadžiahmetović

Silvan Widmer ⇄ Luca Jaquez

86' ⇄

Breel Embolo ⇄ Cédric Itten

89' ⇄

Johan Manzambi assist: Rubén Vargas

90' ⚽ 3–0

⇄ 90+1'

Kerim Alajbegović ⇄ Ermin Mahmic

⚽ 3–1 90+3'

Ermin Mahmic

Granit Xhaka Penalty

90+7' ⚽ 4–1

FT 4–1

Switzerland

Match Stats

Bosnia & Herzegovina

62% Ball Possession 38%

1.20 Expected Goals (xG) 0.24

12 Total Shots 5

6 Shots on Goal 3

3 Shots off Goal 1

3 Blocked Shots 1

8 Shots insidebox 3

4 Shots outsidebox 2

7 Corner Kicks 3

3 Offsides 1

7 Fouls 16

1 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 1

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

581 Total passes 353

512 Passes accurate 285

88% Passes % 81%

-0.58 goals_prevented -0.58

Switzerland

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
17 Rubén Vargas M	8.5	24'	1	1	2	9 (8%)	1
9 Johan Manzambi M	8.5	24'	2	–	2	13 (9%)	–
5 Manuel Akanji D	7.7	95'	–	–	–	78 (77%)	3
10 Granit Xhaka M	7.7	95'	–	–	–	105 (96%)	2
7 Breel Embolo F	7.6	89'	–	1	–	15 (10%)	–
8 Remo Freuler M	7.5	95'	–	–	1	76 (70%)	2
22 Fabian Rieder M	7.0	71'	–	–	–	29 (26%)	3
4 Nico Elvedi D	6.9	95'	–	–	–	69 (66%)	–
20 Michel Aebischer M	6.9	71'	–	–	1	31 (27%)	4
15 Djibril Sow M	6.7	24'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	–
13 Ricardo Rodríguez D	6.3	95'	–	–	–	60 (51%)	3
11 Dan Ndoye F	6.3	71'	–	–	3	16 (13%)	1
25 Luca Jaquez D	6.2	9'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	–
3 Silvan Widmer D	6.2	86'	–	–	–	26 (20%)	–
1 Gregor Kobel G	5.9	95'	–	–	–	36 (24%)	–
26 Cédric Itten F	—	6'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
26 Ermin Mahmic M	7.7	4'	1	–	1	–	–
18 Nikola Katić D	6.7	95'	–	–	–	38 (31%)	3
11 Edin Džeko F	6.7	64'	–	–	1	21 (16%)	–
16 Amir Hadžiahmetović M	6.5	9'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
14 Ivan Šunjić M	6.5	86'	–	–	–	34 (33%)	2
4 Tarik Muharemović D	6.3	80'	–	–	–	43 (36%)	–
15 Amar Memić M	6.3	95'	–	–	1	18 (17%)	2
25 Jovo Lukić F	6.3	9'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
19 Kerim Alajbegović M	6.3	91'	–	–	–	23 (17%)	–
20 Esmir Bajraktarević F	6.2	31'	–	–	–	9 (9%)	–
13 Ivan Bašić M	6.2	32'	–	–	–	13 (12%)	–
10 Ermedin Demirović F	6.2	86'	–	–	–	11 (7%)	1
7 Amar Dedić D	6.0	95'	–	–	1	26 (22%)	2
6 Benjamin Tahirović M	6.0	63'	–	–	–	21 (20%)	–
5 Sead Kolašinac D	5.9	95'	–	–	–	51 (40%)	3
1 Nikola Vasilj G	5.3	95'	–	–	–	39 (20%)	–

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Confidence Medium (66%)

At a glance

Our lean

Switzerland to win or draw

Most likely score

2:0 · 15.1%

Both teams to score

39%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Switzerland

LDWWW

Bosnia & Herzegovina

LWLD

Match summary

Switzerland will host Bosnia & Herzegovina in a crucial World Cup qualifier on June 18, 2026. The Swiss national team has shown strong defensive capabilities, conceding only 0.75 goals per game in recent qualifiers, while their attacking unit averages 2 goals per match. Bosnia & Herzegovina, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, allowing 1.5 goals per game in their last five fixtures. The match will likely hinge on Switzerland's ability to capitalize on set pieces and counter-attacks, as Bosnia's defense has been vulnerable in transition. Expect a tactical battle where Switzerland's home advantage could prove pivotal.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bosnia & Herzegovina goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	4	2
1	15	11	3	1
2	15	9	3	1
3	9	6	2
4	4	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Switzerland goals · most likely 2–0 (15.1%)

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Players in form

Switzerland

J. Manzambi 3 gls

Bosnia & Herzegovina

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

66%

Draw

24%

Away Win

10%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

66%

Draw

24%

Away Win

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

87% Home (No Draw) 13% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

41% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

66% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 10% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

19%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.0%	3.9%	1.5%	0.3%	0.0%
1	15.0%	10.8%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%
2	15.1%	8.9%	2.6%	0.5%	0.1%
3	9.4%	5.5%	1.6%	0.3%	0.1%
4	4.4%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Switzerland	Draw	Bosnia & Herzegovina
Switzerland	43.7%	2.9%	0.6%
Draw	22.1%	16.2%	4.6%
Bosnia & Herzegovina	2.0%	2.8%	5.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

55%

33%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Switzerland — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
12 Jul	A Argentina	L	3 - 1
07 Jul	H Colombia	D	0 - 0
03 Jul	H Algeria	W	2 - 0
24 Jun	H Canada	W	2 - 1
18 Jun	H Bosnia & Herzegovina	W	4 - 1

Bosnia & Herzegovina — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Jul	A USA	L	2 - 0
24 Jun	H Qatar	W	3 - 1
18 Jun	A Switzerland	L	4 - 1
12 Jun	A Canada	D	1 - 1

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Switzerland

Formation: 4-3-1-2 Coach: Murat Yakin

1 Kobel

13 Rodríguez

5 Akanji

4 Elvedi

3 Widmer

8 Freuler

10 Xhaka

20 Aebischer

22 Rieder

11 Ndoye

7 Embolo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Gregor Kobel	G
3	Silvan Widmer	D
4	Nico Elvedi	D
5	Manuel Akanji	D
13	Ricardo Rodríguez	D
20	Michel Aebischer	M
10	Granit Xhaka	M
8	Remo Freuler	M
22	Fabian Rieder	M
7	Breel Embolo	F
11	Dan Ndoye	F

Substitutes

9	Johan Manzambi	M
15	Djibril Sow	M
17	Rubén Vargas	M
12	Yvon Mvogo	G
21	Marvin Keller	G
18	Eray Cömert	D
24	Aurèle Amenda	D
25	Luca Jaquez	D
6	Denis Zakaria	M
14	Ardon Jashari	M
16	Christian Fassnacht	M
19	Noah Okafor	F
23	Zeki Amdouni	F
26	Cédric Itten	F

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Sergej Barbarez

1 Vasilj

5 Kolašinac

4 Muharemović

18 Katić

7 Dedić

19 Alajbegović

14 Šunjić

6 Tahirović

15 Memić

11 Džeko

10 Demirović

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Nikola Vasilj	G
7	Amar Dedić	D
18	Nikola Katić	D
4	Tarik Muharemović	D
5	Sead Kolašinac	D
15	Amar Memić	M
6	Benjamin Tahirović	M
14	Ivan Šunjić	M
19	Kerim Alajbegović	M
10	Ermedin Demirović	F
11	Edin Džeko	F

Substitutes

13	Ivan Bašić	M
20	Esmir Bajraktarević	F
22	Martin Zlomislić	G
12	Mladen Jurkas	G
24	Arjan Malić	D
3	Dennis Hadžikadunić	D
2	Nihad Mujakić	D
21	Stjepan Radeljić	D
16	Amir Hadžiahmetović	M
8	Armin Gigović	M
17	Dženis Burnić	M
26	Ermin Mahmic	M
23	Haris Tabaković	F
25	Jovo Lukić	F
9	Samed Baždar	F