Ghana vs Panama Prediction

World Cup · Group Stage - 1

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Panama

Away

BMO Field, Toronto

AI call Difficult Panama win or draw

20%

28%

52%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Ghana vs Panama prediction: Sportiko gives Ghana a 20% chance of winning, Panama 52% and the draw 28%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Under 3.5 Goals 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 74%

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Match Report

Ghana edged Panama 1–0 in a tightly contested Group Stage opener that remained goalless deep into stoppage time. The Black Stars dominated possession with 64% of the ball throughout, yet both sides struggled to create meaningful chances, with Ghana managing just three total shots and a single shot on goal across the ninety minutes.

The decisive moment came in the 95th minute when Caleb Yirenkyi, who had been booked as early as the 16th minute, converted a late goal to seal all three points for Ghana. It was a dramatic finish to a match that had looked destined for a draw, with Panama offering very little going forward — recording just one shot and an expected goals figure of 0.03.

Both managers turned to their benches in the second half, with Ghana introducing Ernest Nuamah and Kamaldeen Sulemana in the 58th minute in search of a breakthrough. Panama's César Blackman picked up a yellow card in the 73rd minute before being substituted off late on. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Panama win as most likely at 52%, a call that ultimately did not hold up.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Caleb Yirenkyi Yellow Card

16' ▮

HT 0–0

Lawrence Ati Zigi

46' ⇄

Ernest Nuamah ⇄ Abdul Fatawu Issahaku

58' ⇄

Kamaldeen Sulemana ⇄ Brandon Thomas-Asante

58' ⇄

⇄ 63'

Cecilio Waterman ⇄ José Fajardo

⇄ 63'

⇄ Azarias Londoño

▮ 73'

César Blackman Yellow Card

⇄ 74'

José Luis Rodríguez ⇄ Ismael Díaz

Elisha Owusu ⇄ Kwasi Sibo

78' ⇄

Jordan Ayew ⇄ Prince Kwabena Adu

87' ⇄

⇄ 90'

César Blackman ⇄ Aníbal Godoy

Caleb Yirenkyi assist: Brandon Thomas-Asante

90+5' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 90+10'

Carlos Harvey Yellow Card

FT 1–0

Ghana

Match Stats

Panama

36% Ball Possession 64%

0.03 Expected Goals (xG) 0.13

1 Total Shots 3

0 Shots on Goal 1

1 Shots off Goal 1

0 Blocked Shots 1

1 Shots insidebox 3

0 Shots outsidebox 0

Corner Kicks

3 Offsides 1

3 Fouls 6

1 Yellow Cards 0

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 0

172 Total passes 315

141 Passes accurate 276

82% Passes % 88%

0.00 goals_prevented 0.00

Ghana

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Lawrence Ati Zigi G	7.2	51'	–	–	–	10 (7%)	–
18 Jerome Opoku D	6.9	51'	–	–	–	24 (22%)	1
3 Caleb Yirenkyi M	6.9	51'	–	–	–	17 (16%)	1
9 Jordan Ayew F	6.9	51'	–	–	–	8 (4%)	–
26 Marvin Senaya D	6.6	51'	–	–	–	17 (11%)	3
4 Jonas Adjei Adjetey D	6.6	51'	–	–	–	29 (26%)	–
15 Elisha Owusu M	6.6	51'	–	–	1	18 (15%)	1
22 Kamaldeen Sulemana F	6.6	51'	–	–	–	11 (8%)	1
24 Ernest Nuamah M	6.5	51'	–	–	–	11 (7%)	–
14 Gideon Mensah D	6.3	51'	–	–	–	22 (20%)	–
11 Antoine Semenyo M	6.3	51'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–

Panama

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
16 Andrés Andrade D	7.5	51'	–	–	–	56 (46%)	1
23 Amir Murillo M	7.0	51'	–	–	–	23 (20%)	2
6 Cristian Martínez F	6.9	51'	–	–	–	12 (11%)	4
11 Yoel Bárcenas M	6.7	51'	–	–	–	24 (22%)	–
18 Cecilio Waterman F	6.7	51'	–	–	1	3 (2%)	–
13 Jiovany Ramos D	6.6	51'	–	–	1	56 (52%)	–
3 José Córdoba D	6.5	51'	–	–	–	68 (63%)	–
7 José Luis Rodríguez F	6.5	51'	–	–	–	11 (8%)	1
22 Orlando Mosquera G	6.3	51'	–	–	–	15 (12%)	–
2 César Blackman M	6.3	51'	–	–	–	18 (16%)	1
14 Carlos Harvey M	6.2	51'	–	–	–	29 (24%)	1

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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Panama win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.4%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Ghana

LLDWL

Panama

LLLWL

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match on June 17, 2026, Ghana faces Panama. Ghana, known for its athleticism and technical prowess, boasts a strong midfield led by players with significant European league experience. They have historically performed well in World Cups, reaching the quarter-finals in 2010. Panama, while less experienced on the global stage, demonstrated resilience in the 2018 World Cup, though they struggled defensively. Key to the match will be Ghana’s ability to exploit Panama’s defensive vulnerabilities, while Panama will need to capitalize on set pieces and counter-attacks to secure a favorable result. Overall, Ghana enters as the favorite, but the match could be tightly contested.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Panama goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	11	10	6	2	1
1	6	13	10	5	2	1
2	3	5	4	2	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Ghana goals · most likely 1–1 (13.4%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

52%

Draw

28%

Home Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

52%

Draw

28%

Home Win

20%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

72% Away (No Draw) 28% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 20% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.6%	11.4%	10.4%	5.6%	2.2%
1	5.8%	13.4%	9.6%	5.1%	2.1%
2	3.4%	5.5%	4.4%	2.4%	1.0%
3	1.0%	1.7%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ghana	Draw	Panama
Ghana	11.2%	3.9%	2.2%
Draw	8.4%	18.1%	18.3%
Panama	1.2%	4.1%	32.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

93%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ghana vs Panama

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Ghana — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Jul	A Colombia	L	1 - 0
27 Jun	A Croatia	L	2 - 1
23 Jun	A England	D	0 - 0
17 Jun	H Panama	W	1 - 0
23 May	A Mexico	L	2 - 0

Panama — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
27 Jun	H England	L	0 - 2
23 Jun	H Croatia	L	0 - 1
17 Jun	A Ghana	L	1 - 0
04 Jun	H Dominican Republic	W	3 - 2
06 Jul	A Colombia	L	5 - 0

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Panama

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Thomas Christiansen

22 Mosquera

16 Andrade

3 Córdoba

13 Ramos

2 Blackman

11 Bárcenas

14 Harvey

23 Murillo

7 Rodríguez

18 Waterman

6 Martínez

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	Orlando Mosquera	G
13	Jiovany Ramos	D
3	José Córdoba	D
16	Andrés Andrade	D
23	Amir Murillo	M
14	Carlos Harvey	M
11	Yoel Bárcenas	M
2	César Blackman	M
6	Cristian Martínez	F
18	Cecilio Waterman	F
7	José Luis Rodríguez	F

Substitutes

12	César Samudio	G
1	Luis Mejía	G
4	Fidel Escobar	D
5	Edgardo Fariña	D
15	Éric Davis	D
25	Roderick Miller	D
26	Jorge Gutiérrez	D
8	Adalberto Carrasquilla	M
10	Ismael Díaz	F
19	Alberto Quintero	F
20	Aníbal Godoy	M
21	César Yanis	F
24	Azarias Londoño	F
9	Tomás Rodríguez	F
17	José Fajardo	F

Ghana

Formation: 4-4-1-1 Coach: Carlos Queiroz

1 Zigi

14 Mensah

18 Opoku

4 Adjetey

26 Senaya

11 Semenyo

15 Owusu

3 Yirenkyi

24 Nuamah

22 Sulemana

9 Ayew

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Lawrence Ati Zigi	G
26	Marvin Senaya	D
4	Jonas Adjei Adjetey	D
18	Jerome Opoku	D
14	Gideon Mensah	D
24	Ernest Nuamah	M
3	Caleb Yirenkyi	M
15	Elisha Owusu	M
11	Antoine Semenyo	M
22	Kamaldeen Sulemana	F
9	Jordan Ayew	F

Substitutes

12	Joseph Anang	G
16	Benjamin Asare	G
2	Alidu Seidu	D
6	Abdul Mumin	D
17	Rahman Baba	D
21	Kojo Peprah Oppong	D
23	Derrick Luckassen	D
8	Kwasi Sibo	M
7	Abdul Fatawu Issahaku	F
13	Christopher Baah	F
19	Iñaki Williams	F
20	Augustine Boakye	M
10	Brandon Thomas-Asante	F
25	Prince Kwabena Adu	F