Brazil vs Morocco Prediction

World Cup · Group Stage - 1

Post on X

Morocco

Away

AI call Difficult Brazil win or draw

55%

26%

19%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Brazil vs Morocco prediction: Sportiko gives Brazil a 55% chance of winning, Morocco 19% and the draw 26%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
Under 3.5 Goals 72%

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Match Report

Brazil and Morocco played out an entertaining 1-1 draw in their World Cup Group Stage opener, with both sides finding the net in a lively first half. Morocco took the lead through Ismael Saibari in the 21st minute before Brazil responded eleven minutes later via Vinícius Júnior to level the score at 1-1, which remained the final result.

The match became increasingly physical as the first half progressed, with both Casemiro and Roger Ibañez picking up yellow cards before the break. Brazil's disciplinary issues forced early changes, as both booked players were substituted at halftime. Our pre-match AI model had rated Brazil as 55% favorites to win, but that prediction proved incorrect.

Despite Brazil edging possession slightly at 52%, Morocco matched their opponents' attacking threat with 14 total shots compared to Brazil's 13. Brazil created more corner kick opportunities (6-2) and managed five shots on target to Morocco's three, but neither side could find a decisive second goal. Both teams made extensive use of their benches, with Morocco making five substitutions and Brazil four as they searched for a winner that never came.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 21'

Ismael Saibari assist: Brahim Díaz

Vinícius Júnior assist: Bruno Guimarães

32' ⚽ 1–1

Casemiro Yellow Card

37' ▮

Roger Ibañez Yellow Card

43' ▮

Roger Ibañez ⇄ Danilo

45' ⇄

Casemiro ⇄ Fabinho

45' ⇄

HT 1–1

Lucas Paquetá ⇄ Matheus Cunha

61' ⇄

Igor Thiago ⇄ Luiz Henrique

62' ⇄

⇄ 65'

Azzedine Ounahi ⇄ Samir El Mourabet

⇄ 65'

Brahim Díaz ⇄ Chemsdine Talbi

⇄ 80'

Noussair Mazraoui ⇄ Anass Salah-Eddine

⇄ 80'

Bilal El Khannouss ⇄ Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab

Bruno Guimarães ⇄ Danilo Santos

80' ⇄

⇄ 89'

Ismael Saibari ⇄ Soufiane Rahimi

FT 1–1

Brazil

Match Stats

Morocco

52% Ball Possession 48%

13 Total Shots 14

5 Shots on Goal 3

4 Shots off Goal 5

4 Blocked Shots 6

6 Corner Kicks 2

0 Offsides 1

16 Fouls 14

2 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 4

14 Free Kicks 16

Brazil

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Vinícius Júnior M	7.6	90'	1	–	1	31 (26%)	1
4 Marquinhos D	7.3	90'	–	–	2	79 (75%)	–
16 Douglas Santos D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	62 (53%)	7
8 Bruno Guimarães M	7.2	80'	–	1	1	38 (34%)	3
1 Alisson G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	27 (22%)	–
3 Gabriel Magalhães D	6.8	90'	–	–	–	85 (82%)	1
21 Luiz Henrique F	6.7	28'	–	–	–	12 (11%)	–
9 Matheus Cunha F	6.6	29'	–	–	1	8 (5%)	2
20 Lucas Paquetá M	6.5	61'	–	–	2	39 (31%)	4
18 Danilo Santos M	6.5	10'	–	–	2	4 (4%)	–
11 Raphinha M	6.4	90'	–	–	2	31 (20%)	–
25 Igor Thiago F	6.3	62'	–	–	2	6 (5%)	2
17 Fabinho M	6.3	44'	–	–	–	17 (15%)	1
5 Casemiro M	6.2	46'	–	–	–	18 (17%)	1
24 Roger Ibañez D	6.0	46'	–	–	–	17 (16%)	1
13 Danilo D	5.9	44'	–	–	–	38 (32%)	–

Morocco

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 Ismael Saibari F	8.2	90'	1	–	3	24 (22%)	1
10 Brahim Díaz M	7.5	65'	–	1	3	19 (19%)	–
2 Achraf Hakimi D	7.1	90'	–	–	3	48 (45%)	5
18 Chadi Riad D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	41 (36%)	–
6 Ayyoub Bouaddi M	6.8	90'	–	–	–	66 (60%)	4
15 Samir El Mourabet M	6.8	25'	–	–	–	26 (24%)	–
1 Bono G	6.7	90'	–	–	–	35 (17%)	–
8 Azzedine Ounahi M	6.6	65'	–	–	–	36 (33%)	–
23 Bilal El Khannouss M	6.6	80'	–	–	1	27 (24%)	4
24 Neil El Aynaoui M	6.5	90'	–	–	3	53 (47%)	4
7 Chemsdine Talbi F	6.5	25'	–	–	–	8 (8%)	–
3 Noussair Mazraoui D	6.4	80'	–	–	–	34 (29%)	4
14 Issa Diop D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	53 (42%)	–
26 Anass Salah-Eddine D	6.3	10'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	–
21 Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab F	6.2	10'	–	–	1	5 (4%)	1

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Brazil win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.6%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Brazil

LWWWD

Morocco

LWDWW

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match on June 13, 2026, Brazil faces Morocco, showcasing a clash between a football powerhouse and an emerging contender. Brazil, historically dominant with five World Cup titles, boasts a wealth of attacking talent, including players with high dribbling and goal-scoring metrics. Conversely, Morocco has displayed resilience and tactical discipline, reaching the semi-finals in 2022, which highlights their defensive capabilities and potential for counter-attacks.

Key matchups will revolve around Brazil's ability to break down Morocco's organized defense while Morocco will aim to exploit any gaps left by Brazil's attacking intent. Expect Brazil to control possession, but Morocco's speed on the flanks could create significant threats on the break. The outcome may hinge on whether Brazil can convert their chances efficiently against a well-drilled Moroccan side.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Morocco goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	5	3	1
1	10	13	5	2
2	11	10	5	1
3	6	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Brazil goals · most likely 1–1 (12.6%)

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Players in form

Brazil

Vinícius Júnior 4 gls

Morocco

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

26%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

26%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

75% Home (No Draw) 25% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 19% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	4.9%	3.0%	0.9%	0.2%
1	10.4%	12.6%	5.3%	1.7%	0.4%
2	10.5%	9.9%	4.7%	1.5%	0.3%
3	6.2%	5.8%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%
4	2.8%	2.6%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

27%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Brazil	Draw	Morocco
Brazil	35.3%	4.0%	1.2%
Draw	18.8%	16.5%	7.6%
Morocco	2.5%	3.9%	10.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Brazil vs Morocco

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Brazil — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Jul	H Norway	L	1 - 2
29 Jun	H Japan	W	2 - 1
24 Jun	A Scotland	W	0 - 3
20 Jun	H Haiti	W	3 - 0
13 Jun	H Morocco	D	1 - 1

Morocco — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
09 Jul	A France	L	2 - 0
04 Jul	A Canada	W	0 - 3
30 Jun	A Netherlands	D	1 - 1
24 Jun	H Haiti	W	4 - 2
19 Jun	A Scotland	W	0 - 1

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Brazil

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Carlo Ancelotti

1 Alisson

16 Santos

3 Magalhães

4 Marquinhos

24 Ibañez

8 Guimarães

5 Casemiro

7 Júnior

11 Raphinha

20 Paquetá

25 Thiago

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Alisson	G
24	Roger Ibañez	D
4	Marquinhos	D
3	Gabriel Magalhães	D
16	Douglas Santos	D
5	Casemiro	M
8	Bruno Guimarães	M
20	Lucas Paquetá	M
11	Raphinha	M
7	Vinícius Júnior	M
25	Igor Thiago	F

Substitutes

13	Danilo	D
17	Fabinho	M
21	Luiz Henrique	F
9	Matheus Cunha	F
23	Ederson	G
12	Weverton	G
6	Alex Sandro	D
14	Bremer	D
15	Léo Pereira	D
18	Danilo Santos	M
26	Rayan	F
2	Éderson	M
19	Endrick	F
22	Gabriel Martinelli	F

Morocco

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Mohamed Ouahbi

1 Bono

3 Mazraoui

18 Riad

14 Diop

2 Hakimi

6 Bouaddi

24 Aynaoui

23 Khannouss

8 Ounahi

10 Díaz

11 Saibari

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Bono	G
2	Achraf Hakimi	D
14	Issa Diop	D
18	Chadi Riad	D
3	Noussair Mazraoui	D
24	Neil El Aynaoui	M
6	Ayyoub Bouaddi	M
10	Brahim Díaz	M
8	Azzedine Ounahi	M
23	Bilal El Khannouss	M
11	Ismael Saibari	F

Substitutes

7	Chemsdine Talbi	F
15	Samir El Mourabet	M
12	Munir El Kajoui	G
22	Ahmed Reda Tagnaouti	G
26	Anass Salah-Eddine	D
5	Marwane Saadane	D
25	Redouane Halhal	D
13	Zakaria El Ouahdi	D
19	Youssef Belammari	D
17	Amine Sbai	F
16	Gessime Yassine	F
4	Sofyan Amrabat	M
20	Ayoub El Kaabi	F
9	Soufiane Rahimi	F
21	Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab	F