Liverpool vs Chelsea Previsione
Pronostico Liverpool vs Chelsea: Sportiko assegna a Liverpool una probabilità di vittoria del 53%, a Chelsea del 21% e al pareggio del 26%. Ultimo aggiornamento 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Liverpool and Chelsea shared the spoils in a tense Premier League encounter at Anfield, finishing 1–1 after a lively first half settled the scoring. Ryan Gravenberch gave Liverpool an early lead in the sixth minute, only for Enzo Fernández to level matters for Chelsea just before the half-hour mark, ensuring the teams went in level at the break.
The second half offered little in the way of goals despite a dramatic moment when Cole Palmer's effort was ruled out by VAR on the hour mark, a decision that proved pivotal in denying Chelsea what would have been a winner. Chelsea shaded possession at 52% but both sides registered just three shots on target, with expected goals figures of 0.56 and 0.50 reflecting a closely contested affair. Our pre-match AI model had Liverpool as the most likely winners at 53%, though the Reds ultimately had to settle for a point.
The closing stages turned fractious, with five yellow cards distributed across the final twenty minutes — Fernández, Cucurella, Joe Gomez, Moisés Caicedo, and Alexis Mac Allister all booked — as both sides grew increasingly frustrated with the stalemate.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Liverpool
Match Stats
Liverpool
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 R. Gravenberch M | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 44 (35%) | 2 |
| 17 Curtis Jones D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 79 (73%) | 1 |
| 73 Rio Ngumoha M | 7.2 | 67' | – | 1 | – | 13 (12%) | – |
| 25 Giorgi Mamardashvili G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (16%) | 1 |
| 9 Alexander Isak F | 6.7 | 23' | – | – | – | 4 (1%) | 1 |
| 2 Joe Gomez D | 6.7 | 13' | – | – | – | 13 (8%) | 1 |
| 5 Ibrahima Konaté D | 6.6 | 77' | – | – | – | 57 (50%) | 1 |
| 4 V. van Dijk D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 84 (76%) | – |
| 30 Jeremie Frimpong M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 24 (18%) | 1 |
| 6 Miloš Kerkez D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (35%) | – |
| 14 Federico Chiesa F | 6.5 | 13' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 18 C. Gakpo F | 6.3 | 77' | – | – | – | 9 (6%) | 1 |
| 10 Alexis Mac Allister M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 43 (38%) | 1 |
| 8 Dominik Szoboszlai M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 35 (29%) | – |
Chelsea
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Moisés Caicedo M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 64 (57%) | 4 |
| 8 Enzo Fernández M | 7.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 46 (43%) | – |
| 24 Reece James D | 7.0 | 27' | – | – | – | 28 (24%) | 1 |
| 10 Cole Palmer M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (39%) | 3 |
| 21 J. Hato D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (44%) | 5 |
| 6 Levi Colwill D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 79 (71%) | 1 |
| 29 Wesley Fofana D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (54%) | – |
| 20 João Pedro F | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 20 (13%) | 1 |
| 17 Andrey Santos M | 6.5 | 63' | – | – | – | 32 (30%) | 2 |
| 3 Marc Cucurella M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 22 (20%) | 1 |
| 12 Filip Jørgensen G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (19%) | – |
| 27 Malo Gusto D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (32%) | 2 |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
A. Isak
4 gls
João Pedro
3 gls
M. Rogers
3 gls
C. Palmer
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Liverpool vs Chelsea
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct 2025 | Chelsea | 2 - 1 | Liverpool |
| 04 May 2025 | Chelsea | 3 - 1 | Liverpool |
| 20 Oct 2024 | Liverpool | 2 - 1 | Chelsea |
Liverpool — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Bournemouth | W | 0 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | H Tottenham | W | 3 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Fulham | D | 0 - 0 |
| 09 Sep | H Atletico Madrid | W | 2 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | A Ipswich | W | 0 - 2 |
Chelsea — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | A Brentford | L | 3 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Hull City | D | 2 - 2 |
| 09 Sep | H Leeds | W | 6 - 3 |
| 06 Sep | A Arsenal | L | 2 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | H Brighton | W | 4 - 3 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |
Brentford
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Leeds
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |
Hull City
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Newcastle
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Chelsea
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ipswich
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Manchester United
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |
Nottingham Forest
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |
Sunderland
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |
Aston Villa
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |
Bournemouth
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Coventry
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |
Tottenham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
Liverpool
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Arne Slot
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | G. Mamardashvili | G |
| 17 | C. Jones | D |
| 5 | I. Konate | D |
| 4 | V. van Dijk | D |
| 6 | M. Kerkez | D |
| 38 | R. Gravenberch | M |
| 10 | A. Mac Allister | M |
| 30 | J. Frimpong | M |
| 8 | D. Szoboszlai | M |
| 73 | R. Ngumoha | M |
| 18 | C. Gakpo | F |
Substitutes
| 28 | F. Woodman | G |
| 14 | F. Chiesa | F |
| 68 | K. Morrison | M |
| 79 | W. Wright | F |
| 26 | A. Robertson | D |
| 2 | J. Gomez | D |
| 9 | A. Isak | F |
| 42 | T. Nyoni | M |
| 75 | T. Ndiaye | - |
Chelsea
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Calum McFarlane
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | F. Jorgensen | G |
| 27 | M. Gusto | D |
| 29 | W. Fofana | D |
| 6 | L. Colwill | D |
| 21 | J. Hato | D |
| 17 | Andrey Santos | M |
| 25 | M. Caicedo | M |
| 10 | C. Palmer | M |
| 8 | E. Fernandez | M |
| 3 | M. Cucurella | M |
| 20 | Joao Pedro | F |
Substitutes
| 44 | G. Slonina | G |
| 23 | T. Chalobah | D |
| 24 | R. James | D |
| 4 | T. Adarabioyo | D |
| 9 | L. Delap | F |
| 45 | R. Lavia | M |
| 34 | J. Acheampong | D |
| 76 | R. Kavuma McQueen | F |
| 72 | M. Eboue | M |