Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC Previsione

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 24

Post on X

Orlando City SC

Away

Previsione AI Atlanta United FC o pareggio

41%

26%

34%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC: Sportiko assegna a Atlanta United FC una probabilità di vittoria del 41%, a Orlando City SC del 34% e al pareggio del 26%. Ultimo aggiornamento 10 Sep 2026, 01:59.

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Timeline

David Brekalo Own Goal

7' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 26'

Antoine Griezmann assist: Joran Gerbet

▮ 42'

David Brekalo Yellow Card

⇄ 45'

Griffin Dorsey ⇄ Zakaria Taifi

Ajani Fortune ⇄ Adrian Gill

45' ⇄

HT 1–1

⚽ 1–2 58'

Iván Angulo assist: Martín Ojeda

🖵 59'

Iván Angulo Goal confirmed

Tristan Muyumba ⇄ Luke Brennan

64' ⇄

Tomás Jacob Yellow Card

67' ▮

⇄ 71'

Bernardo Rhein ⇄ Tyrese Spicer

⇄ 74'

Martín Ojeda ⇄ Marco Pašalić

⇄ 74'

Joran Gerbet ⇄ Wilder Cartagena

⚽ 1–3 77'

Antoine Griezmann assist: Justin Ellis

Aleksey Miranchuk ⇄ Fafà Picault

78' ⇄

Paulo Díaz ⇄ Enea Mihaj

78' ⇄

Breel Embolo ⇄ Sergio Santos

78' ⇄

⇄ 79'

David Brekalo ⇄ Iago Silva

▮ 88'

Justin Ellis Yellow Card

Tyrese Spicer Own Goal

90+7' ⚽ 2–3

FT 2–3

Atlanta United FC

Match Stats

Orlando City SC

40% Ball Possession 60%

15 Total Shots 14

2 Shots on Goal 7

9 Shots off Goal 4

4 Blocked Shots 3

13 Shots insidebox 11

2 Shots outsidebox 3

7 Corner Kicks 5

6 Offsides 3

9 Fouls 9

1 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

4 Goalkeeper Saves 1

436 Total passes 661

377 Passes accurate 579

8 Free Kicks 7

Atlanta United FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
3 Elías Báez D	7.0	90'	–	–	1	47 (42%)	2
1 Lucas Hoyos G	6.8	90'	–	–	–	28 (21%)	–
27 Paulo Díaz D	6.7	78'	–	–	1	36 (33%)	1
Seamus Maughan	6.6	90'	–	–	1	47 (41%)	3
6 Junior Alonso D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	73 (67%)	–
36 Breel Embolo F	6.5	78'	–	–	3	13 (11%)	1
10 Miguel Almirón F	6.4	90'	–	–	1	39 (30%)	–
19 Sergio Santos F	6.4	12'	–	–	2	3 (2%)	–
59 Aleksey Miranchuk F	6.3	78'	–	–	–	20 (15%)	1
8 Tristan Muyumba M	6.2	64'	–	–	1	36 (32%)	2
22 Fafà Picault F	6.2	12'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
20 Luke Brennan M	6.1	26'	–	–	2	12 (11%)	1
4 Enea Mihaj D	6.0	12'	–	–	1	11 (9%)	–
35 Ajani Fortune M	5.9	45'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	–
16 Adrian Gill M	5.7	45'	–	–	–	18 (17%)	1
55 Tomás Jacob D	5.6	90'	–	–	2	38 (33%)	3

Orlando City SC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Antoine Griezmann F	8.8	90'	2	–	3	66 (57%)	1
77 Iván Angulo M	8.2	90'	1	–	2	43 (40%)	1
10 Martín Ojeda F	7.7	74'	–	1	5	29 (22%)	1
35 Joran Gerbet M	7.7	74'	–	1	–	95 (88%)	2
22 Justin Ellis F	7.2	90'	–	1	–	49 (42%)	3
87 Marco Pašalić F	6.7	16'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	1
6 Robin Jansson D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	82 (78%)	–
20 Eduard Atuesta M	6.5	90'	–	–	–	69 (63%)	–
14 Tyrese Spicer F	6.3	19'	–	–	2	3 (3%)	–
57 Iago Silva D	6.2	11'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	–
16 Wilder Cartagena M	6.2	16'	–	–	–	14 (11%)	2
71 Maxime Crépeau G	6.1	90'	–	–	–	33 (25%)	–
44 Bernardo Rhein D	6.1	71'	–	–	–	52 (41%)	1
19 Zakaria Taifi M	6.1	45'	–	–	1	20 (15%)	1
24 Griffin Dorsey D	5.9	45'	–	–	1	25 (20%)	–
4 David Brekalo D	5.5	79'	–	–	–	63 (59%)	–

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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Atlanta United FC o pareggio

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.2%

Both teams to score

67%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

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Atlanta United FC

DWDLD

Orlando City SC

LLLWW

Last 2 meetings Atlanta United FC · 0W 1D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

41%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

34%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Orlando City SC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	4	4	2	1
1	5	11	8	4	2	1
2	5	9	7	4	1
3	3	5	4	2	1
4	1	2	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Atlanta United FC goals · most likely 1–1 (11.2%)

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Players in form

Atlanta United FC

No scorer data.

Orlando City SC

M. Ojeda 13 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

34%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS Yes 33% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

35%

2.5

65%

57%

3.5

43%

76%

4.5

24%

89%

5.5

11%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

34%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

55% Home (No Draw) 45% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 17% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Home Scores More 34% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

35%

2.5

65%

57%

3.5

43%

76%

4.5

24%

89%

5.5

11%

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS Yes 33% BTTS No

Exact Goals

21%

22%

19%

13%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.8%	4.3%	4.5%	2.4%	1.0%
1	4.9%	11.2%	7.9%	4.2%	1.7%
2	5.5%	8.8%	7.0%	3.7%	1.5%
3	3.2%	5.2%	4.1%	2.2%	0.9%
4	1.4%	2.3%	1.8%	1.0%	0.4%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

39%

1.5

61%

68%

2.5

32%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

16%

24%

29%

18%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atlanta United FC	Draw	Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC	24.3%	4.8%	2.8%
Draw	14.5%	14.4%	12.7%
Orlando City SC	2.9%	4.6%	19.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

33%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC

0 Atlanta United FC Wins

1 Draws

1 Orlando City SC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 May 2026	Orlando City SC	4 - 1	Atlanta United FC
16 May 2026	Orlando City SC	1 - 1	Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
26 Sep	H New York City FC	D	2 - 2
20 Sep	A Portland Timbers	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	A DC United	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Orlando City SC	L	2 - 3
05 Sep	A Inter Miami	D	2 - 2

Orlando City SC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
26 Sep	A Philadelphia Union	L	4 - 2
19 Sep	A New England Revolution	L	4 - 2
16 Sep	A Columbus Crew	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Toronto FC	W	3 - 0
09 Sep	A Atlanta United FC	W	2 - 3

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	18	6	3	55	21	+34	60
2	New England Revolution	27	14	4	9	45	36	+9	46
3	Inter Miami	27	12	10	5	64	50	+14	46
4	Charlotte	27	12	7	8	47	38	+9	43
5	Chicago Fire	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	11	6	10	54	44	+10	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	10	4	13	48	64	-16	34
8	New York Red Bulls	27	9	6	12	34	51	-17	33
9	New York City FC	27	8	9	10	41	36	+5	33
10	FC Cincinnati	26	8	9	9	55	64	-9	33
11	DC United	26	6	12	8	34	42	-8	30
12	Columbus Crew	27	8	5	14	39	43	-4	29
13	Toronto FC	27	6	11	10	39	51	-12	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	7	6	14	32	45	-13	27
15	CF Montreal	27	6	6	15	34	54	-20	24

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	26	15	5	6	59	26	+33	50
2	St. Louis City	27	13	8	6	48	36	+12	47
3	FC Dallas	27	13	8	6	50	42	+8	47
4	San Jose Earthquakes	27	13	6	8	49	39	+10	45
5	Houston Dynamo	27	13	5	9	34	32	+2	44
6	Los Angeles FC	28	11	8	9	43	30	+13	41
7	Colorado Rapids	27	11	3	13	38	38	0	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	9	9	10	37	44	-7	36
9	Seattle Sounders	26	9	8	9	33	34	-1	35
10	Portland Timbers	27	9	5	13	48	51	-3	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	9	5	13	40	44	-4	32
12	San Diego	27	8	8	11	47	47	0	32
13	Austin	27	7	10	10	35	47	-12	31
14	Minnesota United FC	27	7	8	12	40	49	-9	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	26	6	3	17	31	63	-32	21

Orlando City SC

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: M. Perelman

71 Crépeau

44 Goncalves

6 Jansson

4 Brekalo

24 Dorsey

77 Angulo

35 Gerbet

20 Atuesta

10 Ojeda

7 Griezmann

22 Ellis

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
71	M. Crépeau	G
24	G. Dorsey	D
4	D. Brekalo	D
6	R. Jansson	D
44	Bernardo Rhein Goncalves	D
20	E. Atuesta	M
35	Joran Gerbet	M
77	I. Angulo	M
22	Justin Ellis	F
7	A. Griezmann	F
10	M. Ojeda	F

Substitutes

19	Z. Taifi	M
14	T. Spicer	F
11	Tiago	F
87	Marco Pasalic	F
12	Javier Otero	G
9	D. Dike	F
5	Luis Otávio	M
16	W. Cartagena	M
57	Iago	D