Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire Previsione

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 23

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Toronto FC

Home

4 : 4

HT 2 - 1

Chicago Fire

Away

Previsione AI Chicago Fire o pareggio

30%

26%

44%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire: Sportiko assegna a Toronto FC una probabilità di vittoria del 30%, a Chicago Fire del 44% e al pareggio del 26%. Ultimo aggiornamento 6 Sep 2026, 01:40.

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 13'

Maren Haile-Selassie

▮ 18'

Samuel Rogers Yellow Card

Josh Sargent assist: Đorđe Mihailović

27' ⚽ 1–1

Markus Cimermancic Yellow Card

34' ▮

Josh Sargent

38' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 45'

Samuel Rogers ⇄ Noah Allen

HT 2–1

⚽ 2–2 49'

Walker Zimmerman Own Goal

Josh Sargent assist: Đorđe Mihailović

54' ⚽ 3–2

Matheus Pereira ⇄ Jackson Gilman

55' ⇄

⚽ 3–3 58'

Maren Haile-Selassie assist: Robert Lewandowski

⚽ 3–4 63'

Robert Lewandowski assist: Philip Zinckernagel

Theo Corbeanu ⇄ Lewis Morgan

64' ⇄

⇄ 64'

Puso Dithejane ⇄ Robin Lod

⇄ 77'

Maren Haile-Selassie ⇄ Sergio Oregel

⇄ 78'

Dje Tah D'Avilla ⇄ Mauricio Pineda

Đorđe Mihailović ⇄ Derrick Etienne

79' ⇄

Markus Cimermancic ⇄ Emilio Aristizábal

79' ⇄

▮ 86'

Robin Lod Yellow Card

⇄ 89'

Philip Zinckernagel ⇄ Johan Gomez

Benjamin Kuscevic Yellow Card

90' ▮

Derrick Etienne assist: Dániel Sallói

90+2' ⚽ 4–4

FT 4–4

Toronto FC

Match Stats

Chicago Fire

42% Ball Possession 58%

18 Total Shots 15

8 Shots on Goal 6

4 Shots off Goal 5

6 Blocked Shots 4

10 Shots insidebox 11

8 Shots outsidebox 4

6 Corner Kicks 3

2 Offsides 2

9 Fouls 7

2 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 4

344 Total passes 467

287 Passes accurate 403

7 Free Kicks 9

Toronto FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Josh Sargent F	9.6	90'	3	–	7	18 (17%)	–
10 Đorđe Mihailović M	8.3	79'	–	2	2	34 (30%)	–
11 Derrick Etienne F	8.2	11'	1	–	2	4 (3%)	–
90 Lewis Morgan F	6.9	26'	–	–	1	10 (6%)	–
14 Alonso Coello M	6.7	90'	–	–	–	48 (45%)	1
17 Emilio Aristizábal F	6.5	11'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
20 Dániel Sallói M	6.4	90'	–	1	–	23 (18%)	–
71 Markus Cimermancic M	6.4	79'	–	–	–	26 (22%)	–
1 Luka Gavran G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	28 (19%)	–
7 Theo Corbeanu M	6.1	64'	–	–	1	10 (8%)	–
22 Richie Laryea D	6.0	90'	–	–	1	26 (22%)	–
38 Jackson Gilman D	5.7	35'	–	–	–	13 (11%)	–
13 Benjamin Kuscevic D	5.7	90'	–	–	–	38 (32%)	3
3 Matheus Pereira D	5.6	55'	–	–	–	16 (13%)	–
25 Walker Zimmerman D	5.5	90'	–	–	2	39 (33%)	3

Chicago Fire

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Maren Haile-Selassie M	9.2	77'	2	–	5	22 (20%)	–
9 Robert Lewandowski F	8.7	90'	1	1	3	19 (18%)	–
11 Philip Zinckernagel F	6.7	89'	–	1	2	32 (21%)	–
1 Chris Brady G	6.5	90'	–	–	–	30 (24%)	–
18 Johan Gomez F	6.5	1'	–	–	–	1	–
42 Dje Tah D'Avilla M	6.4	78'	–	–	–	39 (31%)	1
3 Jack Elliott D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	83 (75%)	–
15 Andrew Gutman D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	27 (22%)	–
12 Puso Dithejane F	6.2	64'	–	–	2	13 (12%)	1
32 Noah Allen D	6.1	44'	–	–	–	33 (33%)	–
24 Jonathan Dean D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	43 (37%)	1
6 Anton Salétros M	6.0	90'	–	–	2	50 (41%)	–
35 Sergio Oregel M	5.8	13'	–	–	–	11 (8%)	1
5 Samuel Rogers D	5.7	46'	–	–	–	47 (46%)	–
22 Mauricio Pineda D	5.7	12'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	–
17 Robin Lod M	5.6	26'	–	–	1	8 (7%)	–

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Chicago Fire o pareggio

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.8%

Both teams to score

64%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

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Toronto FC

LLWDD

Chicago Fire

LLDDD

Last 3 meetings Toronto FC · 0W 1D 2L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

30%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

44%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Chicago Fire goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	6	6	4	2	1
1	5	12	9	5	2	1
2	4	8	7	4	2	1
3	2	4	3	2	1
4	1	1	1	1
5

↑ Toronto FC goals · most likely 1–1 (11.8%)

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Players in form

Toronto FC

No scorer data.

Chicago Fire

H. Cuypers 13 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Home Win

30%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

79%

4.5

21%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Home Win

30%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

59% Away (No Draw) 41% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Away Scores More 30% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

79%

4.5

21%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

23%

18%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.5%	5.9%	6.4%	3.8%	1.7%
1	4.6%	11.8%	9.2%	5.4%	2.4%
2	4.3%	7.5%	6.6%	3.9%	1.7%
3	2.1%	3.6%	3.2%	1.9%	0.8%
4	0.7%	1.3%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

44%

1.5

56%

73%

2.5

27%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

18%

26%

29%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Toronto FC	Draw	Chicago Fire
Toronto FC	16.5%	4.1%	2.5%
Draw	11.9%	14.9%	14.4%
Chicago Fire	2.7%	5.2%	27.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

17%

31%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire

0 Toronto FC Wins

1 Draws

2 Chicago Fire Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 May 2026	Chicago Fire	2 - 1	Toronto FC
19 Oct 2013	Chicago Fire	1 - 0	Toronto FC
11 Sep 2013	Toronto FC	1 - 1	Chicago Fire

Vedi tutti i 6 incontri — Premium

Toronto FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A St. Louis City	L	3 - 1
12 Sep	A Orlando City SC	L	3 - 0
09 Sep	H Nashville SC	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Chicago Fire	D	4 - 4
29 Aug	H New York City FC	D	1 - 1

Chicago Fire — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Nashville SC	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H New England Revolution	L	1 - 2
10 Sep	H Inter Miami	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Toronto FC	D	4 - 4
29 Aug	A Seattle Sounders	D	2 - 2

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
11	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
12	Real Salt Lake	25	8	5	12	37	42	-5	29
13	Seattle Sounders	24	7	8	9	28	33	-5	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Toronto FC

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Robin Fraser

1 Gavran

3 Pereira

13 Kuscevic

25 Zimmerman

22 Laryea

71 Cimermancic

14 Coello

20 Sallói

10 Mihailović

7 Corbeanu

9 Sargent

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	L. Gavran	G
22	R. Laryea	D
25	W. Zimmerman	D
13	B. Kuscevic	D
3	Matheus Pereira	D
14	Alonso Coello	M
71	M. Cimermancic	M
7	T. Corbeanu	M
10	D. Mihailović	M
20	D. Sallói	M
9	J. Sargent	F

Substitutes

44	R. Edwards	D
11	D. Etienne	F
19	K. Franklin	D
38	J. Gilman	D
15	N. Gomis	D
12	Z. Monlouis	D
90	L. Morgan	F
17	Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga	F
23	W. Yarbrough	G

Chicago Fire

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: G. Berhalter

1 Brady

15 Gutman

3 Elliott

5 Rogers

24 Dean

7 Haile-Selassie

42 D'Avilla

6 Salétros

12 Dithejane

9 Lewandowski

11 Zinckernagel

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	C. Brady	G
24	J. Dean	D
5	S. Rogers	D
3	J. Elliott	D
15	A. Gutman	D
6	A. Salétros	M
42	T. D'Avilla	M
7	M. Haile-Selassie	M
11	P. Zinckernagel	F
9	R. Lewandowski	F
12	P. Dithejane	F

Substitutes

32	N. Allen	D
17	R. Lod	M
35	S. Oregel	M
22	M. Pineda	D
29	D. Poręba	M
47	Samuel Williams	M
18	J. Gómez	F
44	J. Cohen	G
2	Leonardo Barroso	D