New York City FC vs Nashville SC Previsione

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 23

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Nashville SC

Away

Previsione AI Nashville SC o pareggio

31%

28%

40%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico New York City FC vs Nashville SC: Sportiko assegna a New York City FC una probabilità di vittoria del 31%, a Nashville SC del 40% e al pareggio del 28%. Ultimo aggiornamento 5 Sep 2026, 01:32.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
Casa a Segno 73%
1st Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

▮ 13'

Andy Najar Yellow Card

HT 0–0

▮ 49'

Patrick Yazbek Yellow Card

▮ 53'

Hany Mukhtar Yellow Card

⇄ 66'

Patrick Yazbek ⇄ Matthew Corcoran

Kevin O'Toole Yellow Card

68' ▮

James Sands ⇄ Aiden O'Neill

70' ⇄

Luighi Hanri ⇄ Malachi Jones

76' ⇄

⇄ 81'

Cristian Espinoza ⇄ Shakur Mohammed

⇄ 81'

Elias Saad ⇄ Ahmed Qasem

⇄ 89'

Edvard Tagseth ⇄ Bryan Acosta

⇄ 89'

Andy Najar ⇄ Daniel Lovitz

Malachi Jones Yellow Card

90' ▮

▮ 90+2'

Bryan Acosta Yellow Card

FT 0–0

New York City FC

Match Stats

Nashville SC

44% Ball Possession 56%

6 Total Shots 13

1 Shots on Goal 2

2 Shots off Goal 6

3 Blocked Shots 5

5 Shots insidebox 8

1 Shots outsidebox 5

3 Corner Kicks 3

1 Offsides 4

14 Fouls 13

2 Yellow Cards 4

0 Red Cards 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 1

348 Total passes 448

277 Passes accurate 382

12 Free Kicks 14

New York City FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
49 Matthew Freese G	7.3	90'	–	–	–	21 (17%)	–
8 Andrés Perea M	7.1	90'	–	–	–	26 (24%)	2
9 Bénie Traoré M	6.8	90'	–	–	1	13 (10%)	2
24 Tayvon Gray D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	42 (34%)	1
34 Raul Gustavo D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	51 (41%)	1
21 Aiden O'Neill M	6.5	20'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	–
13 Thiago Martins D	6.4	90'	–	–	–	53 (45%)	1
7 Nicolás Fernández M	6.4	90'	–	–	2	35 (24%)	1
6 James Sands M	6.3	70'	–	–	–	25 (19%)	3
88 Malachi Jones F	6.3	14'	–	–	–	1	–
20 Luighi Hanri F	6.2	76'	–	–	2	9 (6%)	1
26 Agustin Ojeda M	6.1	90'	–	–	1	26 (18%)	–
22 Kevin O'Toole D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	25 (21%)	1

Nashville SC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
3 Maxwell Woledzi D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	55 (50%)	1
27 Reed Baker-Whiting D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	28 (26%)	2
4 Jeisson Palacios D	7.1	90'	–	–	–	59 (54%)	–
11 Elias Saad M	7.0	81'	–	–	2	25 (24%)	2
14 Shakur Mohammed M	6.9	9'	–	–	1	3 (3%)	–
9 Sam Surridge F	6.9	90'	–	–	4	18 (9%)	1
31 Andy Najar D	6.8	89'	–	–	–	56 (48%)	1
8 Patrick Yazbek M	6.8	66'	–	–	1	42 (37%)	–
99 Brian Schwake G	6.7	90'	–	–	–	26 (17%)	–
16 Matthew Corcoran M	6.7	24'	–	–	–	16 (15%)	1
2 Daniel Lovitz D	6.6	1'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	1
7 Cristian Espinoza M	6.6	81'	–	–	–	26 (22%)	1
37 Ahmed Qasem F	6.5	9'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
20 Edvard Tagseth M	6.4	89'	–	–	–	43 (36%)	–
10 Hany Mukhtar M	6.4	90'	–	–	5	43 (35%)	–
6 Bryan Acosta M	6.3	1'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–

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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Nashville SC o pareggio

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.5%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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New York City FC

DLWLD

Nashville SC

WWDLD

Last 1 meetings New York City FC · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

31%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

40%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Nashville SC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	8	7	3	1
1	6	13	9	5	2	1
2	5	8	6	3	1
3	2	3	3	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ New York City FC goals · most likely 1–1 (13.4%)

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Players in form

New York City FC

N. Fernández Mercau 15 gls

Nashville SC

S. Surridge 16 gls

H. Mukhtar 13 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Home Win

31%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Home Win

31%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

57% Away (No Draw) 44% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Away Scores More 31% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.6%	7.6%	6.9%	3.5%	1.3%
1	6.3%	13.5%	9.0%	4.5%	1.7%
2	5.1%	7.7%	5.8%	2.9%	1.1%
3	2.2%	3.4%	2.5%	1.3%	0.5%
4	0.7%	1.1%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

55%

1.5

45%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	New York City FC	Draw	Nashville SC
New York City FC	21.2%	5.8%	3.1%
Draw	9.6%	16.9%	15.9%
Nashville SC	1.3%	3.6%	22.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

34%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: New York City FC vs Nashville SC

0 New York City FC Wins

0 Draws

1 Nashville SC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 May 2026	Nashville SC	2 - 1	New York City FC

New York City FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
26 Sep	A Atlanta United FC	D	2 - 2
18 Sep	H New York Red Bulls	L	0 - 1
13 Sep	A Real Salt Lake	W	0 - 2
10 Sep	H New England Revolution	L	1 - 2
04 Sep	H Nashville SC	D	0 - 0

Nashville SC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
27 Sep	H Toronto FC	W	2 - 0
20 Sep	H Chicago Fire	W	3 - 0
12 Sep	A Inter Miami	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	A Toronto FC	L	2 - 1
04 Sep	A New York City FC	D	0 - 0

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	18	6	3	55	21	+34	60
2	New England Revolution	27	14	4	9	45	36	+9	46
3	Inter Miami	27	12	10	5	64	50	+14	46
4	Charlotte	27	12	7	8	47	38	+9	43
5	Chicago Fire	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	11	6	10	54	44	+10	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	10	4	13	48	64	-16	34
8	New York Red Bulls	27	9	6	12	34	51	-17	33
9	New York City FC	27	8	9	10	41	36	+5	33
10	FC Cincinnati	26	8	9	9	55	64	-9	33
11	DC United	26	6	12	8	34	42	-8	30
12	Columbus Crew	27	8	5	14	39	43	-4	29
13	Toronto FC	27	6	11	10	39	51	-12	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	7	6	14	32	45	-13	27
15	CF Montreal	27	6	6	15	34	54	-20	24

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	26	15	5	6	59	26	+33	50
2	St. Louis City	27	13	8	6	48	36	+12	47
3	FC Dallas	27	13	8	6	50	42	+8	47
4	San Jose Earthquakes	27	13	6	8	49	39	+10	45
5	Houston Dynamo	27	13	5	9	34	32	+2	44
6	Los Angeles FC	28	11	8	9	43	30	+13	41
7	Colorado Rapids	27	11	3	13	38	38	0	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	9	9	10	37	44	-7	36
9	Seattle Sounders	26	9	8	9	33	34	-1	35
10	Portland Timbers	27	9	5	13	48	51	-3	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	9	5	13	40	44	-4	32
12	San Diego	27	8	8	11	47	47	0	32
13	Austin	27	7	10	10	35	47	-12	31
14	Minnesota United FC	27	7	8	12	40	49	-9	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	26	6	3	17	31	63	-32	21