Inter Miami vs Toronto FC Previsione

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 21

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Inter Miami

Home

1 : 2

HT 0 - 0

Toronto FC

Away

Previsione AI Inter Miami vince o pareggia

71%

17%

11%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Inter Miami vs Toronto FC: Sportiko assegna a Inter Miami una probabilità di vittoria del 71%, a Toronto FC del 11% e al pareggio del 17%. Ultimo aggiornamento 23 Aug 2026, 01:41.

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Under 3.5 Gol 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 75%

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Timeline

Gonzalo Luján ⇄ Facundo Mura

26' ⇄

▮ 37'

Richie Laryea Yellow Card

HT 0–0

Maximiliano Falcón Yellow Card

53' ▮

Sergio Reguilón ⇄ Noah Allen

58' ⇄

⚽ 0–1 59'

Josh Sargent assist: Dániel Sallói

⚽ 0–2 62'

Derrick Etienne

⇄ 65'

Dániel Sallói ⇄ Matheus Pereira

Luis Suárez ⇄ Lovens Delinois

73' ⇄

Casemiro ⇄ David Ayala

73' ⇄

Telasco Segovia ⇄ Daniel Pinter

74' ⇄

⇄ 77'

Josh Sargent ⇄ Theo Corbeanu

Lionel Messi assist: Rodrigo De Paul

83' ⚽ 1–2

⇄ 86'

Derrick Etienne ⇄ Jackson Gilman

⇄ 87'

Đorđe Mihailović ⇄ Nickseon Gomis

David Ayala Yellow Card

90+5' ▮

FT 1–2

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Confidence High (71%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Inter Miami vince o pareggia

Most likely score

2:0 · 16.2%

Both teams to score

37%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Inter Miami

DWDDD

Toronto FC

LLWDD

Last 1 meetings Inter Miami · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

71%

45%

Draw

17%

45%

Away

11%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Toronto FC goals →

	0	1	2
0	9	3	1
1	15	9	2
2	16	9	2
3	11	6	2
4	6	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Inter Miami goals · most likely 2–0 (16.2%)

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Players in form

Inter Miami

L. Messi 20 gls

L. Suárez 12 gls

Toronto FC

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

71%

Draw

17%

Away Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

71%

Draw

17%

Away Win

11%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

91% Home (No Draw) 9% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

47% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

72% Home Scores More 21% Equal Goals 7% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	3.0%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
1	14.7%	9.5%	2.2%	0.4%	0.1%
2	16.2%	8.6%	2.3%	0.4%	0.1%
3	11.1%	5.9%	1.6%	0.3%	0.0%
4	5.7%	3.0%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Inter Miami	Draw	Toronto FC
Inter Miami	50.4%	2.9%	0.6%
Draw	21.2%	14.1%	3.9%
Toronto FC	1.5%	2.0%	3.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

40%

1.5

60%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

Home Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

59%

31%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

82%

0.5

18%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Inter Miami vs Toronto FC

1 Inter Miami Wins

0 Draws

0 Toronto FC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 May 2026	Toronto FC	2 - 4	Inter Miami

Inter Miami — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H San Diego	D	2 - 2
17 Sep	H Cruz Azul	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Nashville SC	D	2 - 2
10 Sep	A Chicago Fire	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Atlanta United FC	D	2 - 2

Toronto FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A St. Louis City	L	3 - 1
12 Sep	A Orlando City SC	L	3 - 0
09 Sep	H Nashville SC	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Chicago Fire	D	4 - 4
29 Aug	H New York City FC	D	1 - 1

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	Seattle Sounders	25	8	8	9	30	33	-3	32
11	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
12	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
13	Real Salt Lake	26	8	5	13	37	44	-7	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.