Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami Previsione

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 20

Post on X

Inter Miami

Away

Previsione AI Inter Miami o pareggio

32%

24%

44%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami: Sportiko assegna a Philadelphia Union una probabilità di vittoria del 32%, a Inter Miami del 44% e al pareggio del 24%. Ultimo aggiornamento 20 Aug 2026, 01:50.

Pronostici Premium

Premium

1st Half Over 0.5 74%

Gli utenti Premium avevano questi pronostici prima del calcio d'inizio. Vedi le analisi Premium

Timeline

Indiana Vassilev assist: Frankie Westfield

11' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 21'

Daniel Pinter assist: Luis Suárez

⚽ 1–2 26'

Lionel Messi assist: Ian Fray

Kai Wagner Yellow Card

43' ▮

HT 1–2

▮ 50'

Sergio Reguilón Yellow Card

▮ 55'

Ian Fray Yellow Card

Neil Pierre assist: Milan Iloski

58' ⚽ 2–2

Milan Iloski Goal Disallowed - offside

62' 🖵

Indiana Vassilev ⇄ Quinn Sullivan

68' ⇄

⇄ 73'

Sergio Reguilón ⇄ Noah Allen

⇄ 73'

Telasco Segovia ⇄ David Ayala

Bruno Damiani ⇄ Ezekiel Alladoh

82' ⇄

Jesus Bueno ⇄ Alejandro Bedoya

82' ⇄

Milan Iloski Yellow Card

87' ▮

Ezekiel Alladoh Yellow Card

90+5' ▮

⇄ 90+9'

Daniel Pinter ⇄ David Ruíz

Quinn Sullivan Yellow Card

90+13' ▮

Cavan Sullivan Red Card

90+13' ▮

▮ 90+13'

Yannick Bright Red Card

FT 2–2

Philadelphia Union

Match Stats

Inter Miami

42% Ball Possession 58%

2.57 Expected Goals (xG) 1.48

16 Total Shots 5

6 Shots on Goal 3

5 Shots off Goal 0

5 Blocked Shots 2

13 Shots insidebox 3

3 Shots outsidebox 2

4 Corner Kicks 1

3 Offsides 3

16 Fouls 13

2 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 4

278 Total passes 408

220 Passes accurate 330

79% Passes % 81%

0.42 goals_prevented 0.42

Philadelphia Union

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Milan Iloski F	7.7	91'	–	1	2	21 (19%)	–
19 Indiana Vassilev M	7.6	68'	1	–	2	21 (18%)	2
39 Frankie Westfield D	7.5	91'	–	1	–	24 (18%)	1
9 Bruno Damiani F	7.5	82'	–	–	1	16 (11%)	–
44 Neil Pierre D	7.3	91'	1	–	2	24 (18%)	1
21 Danley Jean Jacques M	7.2	91'	–	–	1	33 (29%)	4
6 Cavan Sullivan M	7.2	91'	–	–	2	21 (13%)	4
27 Kai Wagner D	6.9	91'	–	–	1	35 (26%)	–
8 Jesus Bueno M	6.9	82'	–	–	–	30 (28%)	1
18 Andre Blake G	6.7	91'	–	–	–	23 (17%)	–
11 Alejandro Bedoya M	6.5	9'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
33 Quinn Sullivan M	6.5	23'	–	–	–	6 (3%)	–
23 Ezekiel Alladoh F	6.5	9'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
26 Nathan Harriel D	6.2	91'	–	–	–	21 (18%)	–

Inter Miami

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Lionel Messi F	9.0	91'	1	–	1	25 (21%)	1
5 Casemiro M	8.0	91'	–	–	–	55 (45%)	–
97 Dayne St. Clair G	7.7	91'	–	–	–	23 (15%)	–
56 Daniel Pinter F	6.9	91'	1	–	2	28 (23%)	1
42 Yannick Bright M	6.7	91'	–	–	–	43 (36%)	1
32 Noah Allen D	6.7	18'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	–
37 Maximiliano Falcón D	6.7	91'	–	–	–	30 (28%)	1
22 David Ayala M	6.7	18'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	1
9 Luis Suárez F	6.6	91'	–	1	–	40 (28%)	–
17 Ian Fray D	6.3	91'	–	1	–	40 (34%)	–
3 Sergio Reguilón D	6.2	73'	–	–	–	40 (28%)	–
8 Telasco Segovia M	6.2	73'	–	–	–	32 (27%)	1
2 Gonzalo Luján D	6.2	91'	–	–	–	39 (34%)	–

Premium

Sblocca l'analisi completa dell'AI su Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami

Tutti i 70+ mercati di probabilità
Report di analisi approfondita AI
Value Edge — modello vs mercato
Tipologie di esito che scegli

Passa a Premium

Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Inter Miami o pareggio

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.7%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Philadelphia Union

WWWWW

Inter Miami

DWDDD

Last 1 meetings Philadelphia Union · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

32%

10%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

44%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Inter Miami goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	8	9	6	3	1
1	4	12	10	6	3	1
2	3	6	6	4	2	1
3	1	2	2	1	1
4		1	1
5

↑ Philadelphia Union goals · most likely 1–1 (11.7%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Philadelphia Union

M. Iloski 13 gls

Inter Miami

L. Messi 20 gls

L. Suárez 12 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Perché questa scelta? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Away Win

44%

Home Win

32%

Draw

24%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

64%

3.5

36%

82%

4.5

18%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Match Result

Away Win

44%

Home Win

32%

Draw

24%

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Winner

73% Away (No Draw) 27% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Away Win by 2+ 8% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals 21% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

64%

3.5

36%

82%

4.5

18%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

Premium

1-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	7.9%	9.0%	5.8%	2.8%
1	4.0%	11.7%	10.0%	6.5%	3.2%
2	3.0%	5.8%	5.6%	3.6%	1.8%
3	1.1%	2.2%	2.1%	1.4%	0.7%
4	0.3%	0.6%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

21%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Philadelphia Union	Draw	Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union	9.9%	3.2%	2.0%
Draw	8.9%	14.5%	15.5%
Inter Miami	2.1%	5.2%	38.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Away Exact Goals

15%

28%

27%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami

0 Philadelphia Union Wins

0 Draws

1 Inter Miami Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 May 2026	Inter Miami	5 - 4	Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Sporting Kansas City	W	3 - 4
14 Sep	A San Diego	W	0 - 5
09 Sep	H FC Cincinnati	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	H CF Montreal	W	2 - 0
29 Aug	A New York Red Bulls	W	1 - 3

Inter Miami — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H San Diego	D	2 - 2
17 Sep	H Cruz Azul	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Nashville SC	D	2 - 2
10 Sep	A Chicago Fire	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Atlanta United FC	D	2 - 2

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
11	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
12	Real Salt Lake	25	8	5	12	37	42	-5	29
13	Seattle Sounders	24	7	8	9	28	33	-5	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Inter Miami

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Guillermo Hoyos Angel

97 Clair

3 Reguilón

37 Falcón

2 Luján

17 Fray

8 Segovia

5 Casemiro

42 Bright

56 Pinter

9 Suárez

10 Messi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
97	Dayne St. Clair	G
17	Ian Fray	D
2	Gonzalo Luján	D
37	Maximiliano Falcón	D
3	Sergio Reguilón	D
42	Yannick Bright	M
5	Casemiro	M
8	Telasco Segovia	M
10	Lionel Messi	F
9	Luis Suárez	F
56	Daniel Pinter	F

Substitutes

34	Rocco Ríos Novo	G
15	Fricio Caicedo	D
32	Noah Allen	D
4	Facundo Mura	D
88	Alexander Shaw	M
59	Preston Plambeck	M
41	David Ruíz	M
22	David Ayala	M
54	Lovens Delinois	F