Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia Previsione

FT
Post on X
Estadio Mâs Monumental, Buenos Aires
Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Boca Juniors
63%
23%
14%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia: Sportiko assegna a Boca Juniors una probabilità di vittoria del 63%, a Defensa Y Justicia del 14% e al pareggio del 23%. Ultimo aggiornamento 7 Nov 2026, 22:33.

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 74%
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Timeline

Miguel Merentiel Goal cancelled
39' 🖵
HT 0–0
Leandro Paredes Yellow Card
57' ▮
▮ 63'
Maximiliano Porcel Yellow Card
Alan Velasco ⇄ Tomás Aranda
64' ⇄
Sebastián Villa ⇄ Leonel Flores
64' ⇄
⇄ 68'
Jeremías Lucco ⇄ Aaron Molinas
⇄ 68'
Maximiliano Porcel ⇄ David Barbona
Leandro Paredes ⇄ Enner Valencia
76' ⇄
⇄ 78'
Leandro Fernández ⇄ Tiziano Perrotta
▮ 89'
Tiziano Perrotta Yellow Card
⇄ 90+1'
César Pérez ⇄ E. Burdin
⇄ 90+1'
Juan Manuel Gutiérrez ⇄ Ayrton Portillo
Enner Valencia assist: Lautaro Di Lollo
90+6' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 90+7'
Santiago Sosa Yellow Card
▮ 90+9'
Valentín Loza Yellow Card
FT 1–0
Boca Juniors

Match Stats

Defensa Y Justicia
63% Ball Possession 37%
1.78 Expected Goals (xG) 0.44
22 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 1
9 Shots off Goal 6
8 Blocked Shots 3
13 Shots insidebox 4
9 Shots outsidebox 6
10 Corner Kicks 2
2 Offsides 0
7 Fouls 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
513 Total passes 318
410 Passes accurate 224
15 Free Kicks 7
Boca Juniors
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
2 Lautaro Di Lollo D 8.0 90' – 1 2 54 (42%) 1
3 Lautaro Blanco D 7.9 90' – – 1 34 (30%) 3
13 Enner Valencia F 7.7 14' 1 – 1 3 (2%) –
17 Leandro Lozano D 7.3 90' – – 1 46 (36%) 2
42 Facundo Herrera D 7.3 90' – – 2 53 (41%) 1
1 Álvaro Montero G 7.2 90' – – – 27 (21%) –
25 Santiago Ascacíbar M 7.2 90' – – 1 43 (37%) 2
10 Tomás Aranda M 7.1 26' – – 1 32 (25%) 1
22 Sebastián Villa F 7.1 64' – – 2 32 (21%) 2
18 Milton Delgado M 6.8 90' – – 1 58 (54%) 4
5 Leandro Paredes M 6.7 76' – – 2 63 (46%) 3
19 Leonel Flores F 6.5 26' – – 1 28 (26%) 1
16 Miguel Merentiel F 6.4 90' – – 4 19 (14%) –
20 Alan Velasco F 6.3 64' – – 3 21 (15%) 4
Defensa Y Justicia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Matías Borgogno G 7.3 90' – – – 27 (18%) –
29 Damián Fernández D 6.9 90' – – – 31 (24%) 1
24 Juan Manuel Gutiérrez M 6.8 91' – – 3 14 (8%) 2
8 César Pérez M 6.7 91' – – 1 44 (36%) 2
19 David Barbona M 6.6 22' – – – 11 (8%) 1
10 Aaron Molinas M 6.5 22' – – – 16 (10%) –
22 Maximiliano Porcel M 6.4 68' – – – 21 (16%) 2
26 Jeremías Lucco M 6.3 68' – – 1 20 (14%) –
15 Santiago Sosa M 6.3 90' – – – 30 (25%) –
21 David Martínez D 6.2 90' – – 3 31 (19%) –
9 Leandro Fernández F 6.1 78' – – 2 16 (9%) –
30 Demian Dominguez D 6.1 90' – – – 29 (19%) 3
11 Tiziano Perrotta F 6.0 12' – – – 3 (2%) –
28 Valentín Loza D 5.8 90' – – – 23 (15%) 3
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Confidence Medium (63%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Boca Juniors
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Boca Juniors
WWWWW
Defensa Y Justicia
LDWLW
Last 3 meetings Boca Juniors · 2W 0D 1L

Live insights

90' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 1-0! Boca Juniors win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 0-0. Draw looking likely at 65.2%. Late goal chance: 38.5%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 75.8%. Over 1.5 remaining: 44.9%.

40' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Boca Juniors win: 83.8%. BTTS: 41.3%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
63%
45%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
14%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Boca Juniors
M. Merentiel 9 gls
Defensa Y Justicia

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia

2 Boca Juniors Wins
0 Draws
1 Defensa Y Justicia Wins
Date Home Score Away
23 Apr 2026 Defensa Y Justicia 0 - 4 Boca Juniors
27 Sep 2025 Defensa Y Justicia 2 - 1 Boca Juniors
16 Mar 2025 Boca Juniors 4 - 0 Defensa Y Justicia
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Boca Juniors — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Defensa Y Justicia W 1 - 0
01 Nov H River Plate W 1 - 0
25 Oct A Independiente W 0 - 1
21 Oct A Vasco DA Gama W 1 - 3
17 Oct H Talleres Cordoba W 2 - 1

Defensa Y Justicia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Boca Juniors L 1 - 0
02 Nov H Independiente D 1 - 1
24 Oct A Talleres Cordoba W 1 - 2
16 Oct H Instituto Cordoba L 0 - 1
10 Oct A Union Santa Fe W 0 - 2

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

Clausura - Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Instituto Cordoba
16 10 4 2 +11 34
2
Boca Juniors
16 9 6 1 +10 33
3
Velez Sarsfield
16 7 7 2 +8 28
4
Defensa Y Justicia
16 8 4 4 +6 28
5
Lanus
15 7 4 4 +7 25
6
Newells Old Boys
16 5 8 3 +3 23
7
Independiente
16 6 5 5 -1 23
8
Gimnasia M.
16 6 4 6 +1 22
9
Union Santa Fe
16 6 3 7 0 21
10
Platense
16 5 5 6 -2 20
11
San Lorenzo
16 5 4 7 -7 19
12
Estudiantes L.P.
16 4 4 8 -1 16
13
Talleres Cordoba
16 3 4 9 -6 13
14
Deportivo Riestra
16 2 6 8 -8 12
15
Central Cordoba de Santiago
15 2 4 9 -14 10

Clausura - Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Rosario Central
16 10 4 2 +14 34
2
Argentinos JRS
16 9 4 3 +6 31
3
Gimnasia L.P.
16 9 4 3 +5 31
4
River Plate
16 8 2 6 +7 26
5
Barracas Central
16 7 5 4 +4 26
6
Belgrano Cordoba
16 6 5 5 +2 23
7
Independ. Rivadavia
16 6 5 5 -3 23
8
Huracan
16 6 4 6 -2 22
9
Sarmiento Junin
16 6 3 7 -1 21
10
Tigre
16 5 4 7 0 19
11
Atletico Tucuman
16 4 6 6 -1 18
12
Banfield
16 3 6 7 -7 15
13
Racing Club
16 4 3 9 -8 15
14
Aldosivi
16 3 2 11 -10 11
15
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
16 2 3 11 -13 9

Boca Juniors

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: R. Arruabarrena
1 Montero
3 Blanco
42 Herrera
2 Lollo
17 Lozano
18 Delgado
5 Paredes
25 Ascacíbar
22 Villa
16 Merentiel
20 Velasco

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Á. Montero G
17 L. Lozano D
2 L. Di Lollo D
42 F. Herrera D
3 L. Blanco D
25 S. Ascacíbar M
5 L. Paredes M
18 M. Delgado M
20 A. Velasco F
16 M. Merentiel F
22 S. Villa F

Substitutes

19 L. Flores F
4 N. Figal D
24 D. Gorosito D
7 C. Palacios M
26 Marco Pellegrino D
13 E. Valencia F
15 W. Alarcón M
10 T. Aranda M
8 T. Belmonte M
27 M. Braida M
12 L. Brey G
32 A. Costa D

Defensa Y Justicia

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: J. Vaccari
1 Borgogno
30 Domínguez
21 Martínez
29 Fernández
28 Loza
15 Sosa
8 Pérez
24 Gutiérrez
22 Porcel
26 Lucco
9 Fernández

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 M. Borgogno G
28 V. Loza D
29 D. Fernández D
21 D. Martínez D
30 D. Domínguez D
8 C. Pérez M
15 S. Sosa M
26 J. Lucco M
22 M. Porcel M
24 J. Gutiérrez M
9 L. Fernández F

Substitutes

36 L. Amadé G
19 D. Barbona M
27 D. Blanco M
6 E. Burdin D
41 Ramiro Gagliardi F
17 A. Hausch F
10 A. Molinas M
11 Tiziano Perrota F
16 A. Portillo M
3 F. Román D
32 Nazareno Roselli D
33 L. Souto D

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