Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama Previsione

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

04 Nov 2026, 21:00

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Vasco DA Gama

Away

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Atletico Paranaense

61%

29%

11%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama: Sportiko assegna a Atletico Paranaense una probabilità di vittoria del 61%, a Vasco DA Gama del 11% e al pareggio del 29%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:0 · 24.2%

Both teams to score

23%

Over 2.5 goals

24%

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Atletico Paranaense

WDLDW

Vasco DA Gama

WWWDL

Last 3 meetings Atletico Paranaense · 1W 0D 2L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

61%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

11%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Vasco DA Gama goals →

	0	1	2
0	18	7	1
1	24	9	2
2	16	6	1
3	7	3	1
4	2	1
5	1

↑ Atletico Paranaense goals · most likely 1–0 (24.2%)

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Players in form

Atletico Paranaense

K. Viveros 18 gls

Vasco DA Gama

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

61%

Draw

29%

Away Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

97%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

61%

Draw

29%

Away Win

11%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

85% Home (No Draw) 15% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

61% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 11% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

97%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

31%

26%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	18.3%	7.0%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
1	24.2%	9.2%	1.8%	0.2%	0.0%
2	16.0%	6.1%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
3	7.0%	2.7%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
4	2.3%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

47%

36%

14%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atletico Paranaense	Draw	Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense	23.9%	11.3%	4.2%
Draw	31.3%	14.8%	5.5%
Vasco DA Gama	5.5%	2.6%	1.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

68%

26%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

81%

0.5

19%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama

1 Atletico Paranaense Wins

0 Draws

2 Vasco DA Gama Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 May 2026	Vasco DA Gama	1 - 0	Atletico Paranaense
26 Aug 2024	Vasco DA Gama	2 - 1	Atletico Paranaense
05 May 2024	Atletico Paranaense	1 - 0	Vasco DA Gama

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Atletico Paranaense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Bahia	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Coritiba	D	3 - 3
06 Sep	A Cruzeiro	L	3 - 1
30 Aug	H Fluminense	D	3 - 3
24 Aug	A Botafogo	W	2 - 3

Vasco DA Gama — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Coritiba	W	5 - 0
15 Sep	H Santa Fe	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	A Gremio	W	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Santa Fe	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	A Fluminense	L	1 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.